Author: Iowa Climate Science Education

Trevince DCNN 8936 – Entering the 3rd decade of the 21st Century with 19th Century dross.

50.21853 -5.17480 Met Office CIMO Assessed CLASS 5 repeat CLASS 5 Installed 30/9/2020

I quote

Observations from amateur stations and those not part of the Met Office’s official network cannot be considered for entry into the official records as they’re not subject to the same internationally agreed standards that are required for the official records.”

Trevince is one of the Met Office’s official network, it is an amateur site and one so poor it meets no internationally agreed standards because there are no regulatory conditions to be met for a Class 5 site. It is in fact “Class 5 (additional estimated uncertainty added by siting up to 5 °C)” for which the requirements are “Site not meeting the requirements of class 4.” in other words no conditions at all – JUNK………..and this was installed less than 5 years ago.

The Met Office openly gives the entire reason for running this site as:

“Personal” located in a “Field sloping gently down to SE”. They seem to be so concerned about the site’s local attributes that they cannot even be bothered to evaluate them by giving their own standard ratings to each category. Everything is blank.

It really does not seem worth me going further with any site evaluation, the Met Office itself rates it as Junk – more a waste of computer memory storage. There are, however, important questions raised by this site. Why is the Met Office being so untruthful? They falsely claim their standards are very high and “professional” when clearly this and and so many more of their sites demonstrate they are nothing more than poor quality back garden amateur sites. There may be the excuse of older legacy sites originally intended for other specific purposes being pressed into use for climate reporting but there is none of that here. This is an almost brand new, unregulated standard offering that is far worse than most genuine amateur sites.

Why the charade that this is somehow “official”. Just like Astwood Bank this is an amateur site run for “personal” reasons i.e. a hobby! The Met Office portrays itself as some high tech organisation – an elite -when the reality is a “barrow boy” outfit cobbling together data that is not worthy of the name. Bear in mind that if this site were to record a highest ever reading it would almost certainly be regarded as a representative site. Trevince is a tourist attraction – what a way to get yourself “on the map!”

Suffice it to say Trevince nor any others of this almost comedic standard will be anywhere near a serious national historic climate reconstruction.

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July 17, 2025 at 09:42AM

State of the UK Climate Report 2024

By Paul Homewood

The UK Met Office has just published its annual State of the UK Climate report for last year. It reads more like a political pamphlet than a scientific one.

The Press Release sets the tone at the very start:

Record breaking and extreme weather has become increasingly commonplace in the UK as our climate has changed over the last few decades.

The latest assessment of the UK’s climate shows how baselines are shifting, records are becoming more frequent, and that temperature and rainfall extremes are becoming the norm.”

Most people think of extreme weather as events like the winter of 1963, the Great North Sea Flood, the 1987 Storm or the heavy snowfalls and floods in 1948, not a mild February or sunny day in April.

They say the most noticeable change has been the rise in temperatures, which amounts to about a degree in the last 100 years. There are many possible reasons for this:

a) Natural recovery from Little Ice Age lows

b) Urbanisation

c) Poor siting

d) Cleaner air, resulting from Clean Air Acts

e) Greenhouse gases

But taking the Met Office data at face value, a rise of one degree is much less than the official Met Office projection of a five degree rise by 2100.

It is the latter that is the basis for the whole Net Zero agenda. Who would be prepared to spend a trillion and wreck the economy just to avoid a half a degree temperature rise in the next 50 years?

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To put it into perspective, Oxford is about one degree warmer than Birmingham on average. Does that make Oxford’s climate more extreme? Of course not, the whole idea is as absurd as it is unscientific.

The Met Office claims that there has been an increasing frequency and intensity of daily temperature extremes. This is nonsense – while extremely hot days may be more common, these are offset by fewer extremely cold ones. Overall, the frequency of temperature extremes has not changed.

Rainfall

The Met Office also claim that “the UK’s climate has become steadily wetter since the 1980”. However, the 1970s and 80s were unusually dry decades.

Although the UK is currently in a run of wet years, there have been similarly wet periods in the past – the 1870s, 1910s and 1920s, for example.

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Similarly, the Met Office claim that rainfall has become more extreme since the 1960s. But the full datasets show no such long-term trends.

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Sea Levels

According to the Met Office report, sea level rise around the UK is accelerating, though no actual data is provided to support this claim.

The UK has three long running tidal gauge records – Aberdeen, North Shields and Newlyn. All three show the same pattern – sea levels have been rising no faster in recent years than in the first half of the 20th century.

A period followed where sea level rise slowed, before returning back to earlier rates. For instance, North Shields:

image

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Storms

Despite the hyping of winter storms by giving them all names, the Met Office report admits:

For the UK overall there are no storms in recent years which compare in severity with exceptional storms in the observations such as the ‘Burns’ Day Storm’ of 25 January 1990, the ‘Boxing Day Storm’ of 26 December 1998 and the ‘Great Storm’ of 16th October 1987.

Weather v Climate

Throughout the report, the Met Office confuse WEATHER and CLIMATE. Individual weather events are presented as evidence of a changing climate.

A good example is winter rainfall, which is said to have been increasing in the last decade or two.

The report includes a section on the North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAO), which is explained as follows:

This index is a measure of the large-scale surface pressure gradient in the North Atlantic between Gibraltar and Iceland, which determines the strength of westerly winds across the Atlantic, and is the principal mode of spatial variability of atmospheric patterns in this region. When the pressure difference is large, the WNAO is positive and westerly winds dominate with stronger and more frequent storms. When the pressure difference is small, the WNAO is negative with an increased tendency for blocked weather patterns, reducing the influence of Atlantic weather systems. The WNAO index is therefore associated with winters which are either mild and wet or cold and dry.

image

In recent years, the NAO has been strongly positive, just as it was in those equally wet years in the 19th and early 20th centuries.

The NAO is a natural meteorological phenomenon, and clearly its switching to positive mode in the last decade must explain much of the recent increase in winter rainfall. Yet the Met Office ignore this fact and instead put the blame on climate change.

The whole report is 68 pages long, which I doubt anybody will bother to read.

The real intention was to publish a Press Release with scary, apocalyptic soundbites for the media to propagate.

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July 17, 2025 at 08:14AM

Sunnova’s Enronish Ending

from MasterResource

By Robert Bradley Jr. — July 16, 2025

“’The [Sunnova] summit [last November] was really part of the swindle,’ said Chris Pélissié, chief executive at Senga Solar, which is owed more than $680,000 by Sunnova. ‘None of us dealers knew we were playing chess until it was just too late’…” (below)

Previous posts at MasterResource (below) have chronicled the government-enabled rooftop solar industry, which is now in distress. Bankrupt Sunnova Energy heads the list, with others either bankrupt or struggling.

In the Wall Street Journal article last week, “Sunnova Pushed Sales as Woes Mounted” (July 3, 2025), Alicia McElhaney wrote:

Each year, hundreds of dealers for solar-panel company Sunnova Energy International gather for a summit to celebrate a year’s hard work. But this February, they came to the glitzy Town & Country resort in San Diego looking for answers.

Enron was all glitz. The game was imaging–creating a non-financial reality where political cronies (“pull peddlers,” as Ayn Rand described them in Atlas Shrugged) ruled. “It is of such pennies and smiles that the destruction of your country is made,” bringing to mind the toothy white smile of Sunnova founder and now ex-CEO John Berger.  

But the reality was dire, so (Enron-ex) John Berger spun a tale.

Sunnova was months behind on its payments to dealers, who sell and install its home solar-energy systems and depend on timely reimbursements from the company to recoup upfront costs. Sunnova’s stock was tumbling, and its liquidity had worsened. But on that early February day in San Diego, Sunnova’s then-chief executive assured dealers they would get repaid as long as the dealers kept installing solar projects.

Dealers didn’t know the severity of the company’s financial problems at the time, or that it was already working with bankers to manage its debt burden and fix its rapidly eroding liquidity, several dealers told The Wall Street Journal.

Reality bats last.

Weeks after the gathering, Sunnova warned that it may not be able to operate as a going concern. By June, the company had filed for chapter 11, leaving its 175 dealers collectively owed around $347 million.

“The summit was really part of the swindle,” said Chris Pélissié, chief executive at Senga Solar, which is owed more than $680,000 by Sunnova. Dealers are facing payment challenges beyond Sunnova, with some also waiting to be paid by SunPower and Lumio, both of which filed for bankruptcy in 2024 amid a downturn in the renewables industry….

Berger gave his side of the story:

In bankruptcy court filings, Sunnova said it aims to settle dealer claims to ensure completion of 22,000 ongoing solar projects…. John Berger, Sunnova’s former CEO, separately told the Journal that he explained to dealers at the summit the company retained long-term cash flows for a rainy day. Berger said he told dealers that what Sunnova was facing was more like a hurricane than a rainy day, and that the company planned to use the cash to stabilize the company.

“I understand the frustration, but I consistently engaged with dealers openly and truthfully, even when the
news was difficult,” Berger said.

What was the reserve fund? The $2.92 billion loan guarantee from the U.S. Department of Energy (Project Hestia)? Enron thought it had a billion dollar reserve from accounts receivables from California utilities in the aftermath of the power crisis in that state. It was only a paper asset that byzantine regulation gave and the legal system and politics took away.

Turns out Sunnova would get a $185 million loan from asset KKR in March (good money after bad)? But that money, little doubt, is long gone, feeding into the high-cost structure of an extravagant company (a la Enron).

“Sunnova didn’t respond to these allegations,” the article continues.

Sunnova stopped paying its dealers last November, and some of them stopped routing solar installation financing requests through the company. Val Berechet, co-founder and CEO at Sunsolar, said he is owed some $800,000, but that it could have been worse if he continued to sell his customers Sunnova products.

Berger was fired. He cashed in over the years, making him a rare winner amid thousands of losers. He has a lot of explaining to do. No more sermonizing about “clean” energy (solar is not ecologically blessed) and climate benefits (there are none from Sunnova or the U.S. solar industry on close inspection).

Sunnova wants to blame others for its bubble business model enabled by special government favor (graft, in retrospect). The article ends:

Around the end of March, Sunnova said in a letter to dealers reviewed by the Journal that it “will pursue all available legal remedies to seek damages for lost business and profits resulting from any intentional violation” of its policy that dealers can’t transfer their solar projects to another company after installation. “None of us dealers knew we were playing chess until it was just too late,” Senga’s Pélissié said.


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July 17, 2025 at 08:06AM

Clean Power 2030 projects risk becoming stranded assets

By Paul Homewood

 

 

London: 17 July 2025
For immediate release
Net Zero Watch: Clean Power 2030 projects risk becoming stranded assets

Reform’s Richard Tice has written to green energy bosses warning them that a Nigel Farage-led government would terminate green subsidy contracts associated with Labour’s Clean Power 2030 agenda. He argues that the economics do not add up and that operators do not have a social licence to operate with their intrustive infrastructure.

In response to Tice’s letter, Maurice Cousins, Campaign Director at Net Zero Watch, said:

Richard Tice is absolutely right to put developers on notice that any new investments will become stranded assets under a Reform government. The cost-of-living crisis is voters’ top priority and expensive green energy is a major driver. This is the political reality investors must confront.

But the real problem with renewables is not political risk but nature itself: the fundamentals of physics and economics, which make wind and solar inherently uneconomic. The industry has been constructed on subsidy, not on market fundamentals. After decades of windfarm handouts, consumers can no longer afford to foot the bill. Politicians can’t override physics or economics – no matter how much they subsidise failure.

Tice’s intervention comes at a time when political risk around Net Zero is rising fast, as public concern over energy bills mounts and cross-party consensus begins to fracture. For further background information of the political risks facing Clean Power 2030 and the upcoming renewables auction, see our latest briefing note here.

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July 17, 2025 at 06:04AM