Category: Daily News

Great Dun Fell numbers 1 & 2 – A high level of disappointment.

Above annotated map from 2004.

Tim Channon reviewed this station in 2012 when there seemed to be confusion over the location of the screen and its CIMO rating. Tim had identified Great Dun Fell (original) in his report but that had already closed down by then. Commenter Caz correctly identified the rather dingy screen of Great Dun Fell 2 but the surroundings of that site have since significantly changed rendering all previous site assessments way off the mark. The site is now a very poor Class 5 despite the prestigious nature of the setting. Hopefully I can offer some clarification of the very peculiar goings on here.

Great Dun Fell (1) weather station was originally installed in 1958 alongside the National Air Traffic Services (NATS) Radar serving northern England and southern Scotland air traffic control. This is the second highest point in England so whilst it is a very good location for weather forecasting services it really is not a good indicator for climate reporting purposes. It is an exceptional rather than usual site with an unrepresentative climate for the wider surrounding area.

This original site (annotated as GDF1) in headline image from 2004 has digital archived records taken from 4 six hourly observations by staff at the site. This should be at least good for consistency of readings – only it isn’t. The observation recording has regular gaps and missing entries, the scale of which are quite remarkable. There was a period from 1976 to 1994 when there were no readings at all. Rather than being a useful record for the site itself it is largely useless with so little retained data. The diminished data file sizes indicate large numbers of missing readings.

Great Dun Fell Number 2 was part of the Manchester University “Centre for Atmospheric Science” which established its own separate station in 1993. Whether or not this prompted restarting readings from the original site is not known but for a period of 8 years, up to the closure of the original station, there were records for both sites running simultaneously under 50 metres apart. I have not compared the overlapping data sets on the basis this is not a site I was proposing to have any future interest in regarding constructing an alternative historical temperature record. One point to note though is that even the new site does not offer comprehensive data and there are regular gaps in the observations record. Given the Air Traffic Control nature of the site I would hope these recording gaps were not due to “comms errors” often noted in Met Office archived “Remarks”.

The current problem with this site now comes down to its CIMO rating. Whilst Tim Channon was debating Class 2 or 3 ( I disagreed with him on that as it really had to be ruled out simply on its unrepresentative nature) the Met Office rates it as Class 5 (complete Junk) simply because it now looks like this.

The Met Office almost certainly will NOT relocate the screen despite its completely compromised position directly alongside whatever it is that has been built there. The site will now almost certainly achieve their prime objective of elevated temperatures to fulfill their politically motivated, anti–science agenda. After all they have this charade below to maintain for the averaging period from 2000 to 2030 in a few years time – and note how they refer to it as Great Dun Fell No 2 deliberately omitting the site change and non-existent data data from 1976 to 1994. It is obviously beyond ridicule for the Met office to claim filling those observations gaps with averaged readings from “well correlated” other sites. Apart from Little Dun Fell where there is no weather station – where is likely to be “well correlated” with this unique setting?

This should have been a review of an interesting research centre site but, as is so often the case, rather depressingly ended up being yet another example of remarkably poor standards. I find it incredibly worrying that a University research centre is so poorly managed. Meteorologists that I have come to know through this project are mostly very diligent and careful people, but it rather appears this amorphous blob of a subject going under the oxymoron of “climate science” accepts any old nonsense as long as it conforms to its preset conclusions.

via Tallbloke’s Talkshop

https://ift.tt/ANj5vse

July 30, 2025 at 03:28PM

The US Endangerment Finding, like Sauron’s Climate Ring of Power, nears Mount Doom

By Jo Nova

In the end, we have to win the Science battle

Donald Trump is not just slowing down the Blobocrats-of-Climate-Control, he’s on a quest to destroy it at the source. He asked the EPA Chief, Lee Zedlin, to reconsider the 2009 Endangerment Finding, and the EPA chief has delivered. Without the Finding that greenhouse gases endanger public health, the central mechanism for US climate regulation and taxes dissolves.

Skeptics Francis Menton and Anthony Watts are celebrating this historic win, but the quest is not over. Menton estimates that the official unwinding and legal battles could continue for the rest of the Trump Presidency. He hopes it will clear the Supreme Court before the next election.

Essentially the sacred EPA finding of 2009 was that atmospheric concentrations of six key greenhouse gases threatens both the public health and the public welfare of current and future generations. At that moment, CO2, the building block of life, became also “a pollutant”. By issuing this “finding”, the EPA was therefore legally required under the Clean Air Act to regulate cars, houses, power plants, factories, hamburgers and your light bulbs.

Thus the Endangerment Ring binds all others, employs a million […]

via JoNova

https://ift.tt/yu8SDNR

July 30, 2025 at 03:25PM

“Solar champion” the Netherlands has the highest prices on a summer day?

Came across this tweet by Martien Visser questioned the very high electricity price in the Netherlands just past noon on a summer day translated from Dutch:

Quite remarkable: tomorrow afternoon, July 23rd, in the middle of summer, ‘solar champion the Netherlands’ will have the highest electricity prices in all of Northwestern Europe.
#graphoftheday
Source: http://epexspot.com

Tweet BM_Visser 20250722

It is accompanied by this image showing the prices on the day-ahead electricity market (I colored the borders of the Netherlands in blue):

Tweet BM_Visser 20250722 image

The Netherlands was forecast to have the highest electricity price (€54/MWh) of Northwestern Europe on July 23 in the 14:00 – 15:00 time slot. For those who looked a bit closer to this image, Austria has an even higher price (€73.10/MWh), but Austria is generally considered a Central European country. Just for those who were wondering.

I can understand what Visser is trying to convey in this tweet. Because the marginal cost pricing system of the spot market, the (day-ahead) prices are generally low in summer because solar production is then at it highest. Especially around noon when there is an abundant production and in countries with a large solar capacity. But now “solar champion” the Netherlands somehow managed to have the highest prices just past noon in the heart of summer?

The next day, there was this follow-up tweet emphasizing this point even more (translated from Dutch):

This is particularly special because this afternoon the Netherlands will be able to generate more than 100% of its own electricity demand from solar and wind power. Source: Energieopwek.

Tweet BM_Visser 20250723

It has this graph of the situation on July 23 on the energieopwek.nl app attached to it:

Tweet BM_Visser 20250723 image

It was initially not clear what the graph shows exactly. It seems to show renewable electricity production of the Netherlands, but that doesn’t make much sense. There is unfortunately no clear explanation on the website itself.

Looking deeper, Energieopwek (“Energy production”) is an app conceived by Visser. It receives data from weather stations every ten minutes and then calculates how much electricity could be provided by solar and wind.

That makes sense. That is why the second tweet mentions “will be able to generate” and not “generates”. What is shown in that graph is therefore not actual production, but the potential electricity production by solar and wind based on weather data. A pity that this is not stated on their website.

Basically, the graph shows that the potential renewable electricity production (largely solar) was 18 GW in the 14:00 – 15:00 time slot on July 23. From what I understand of the tweet, this is more than the demand.

Sure, but then why the high price when electricity production by solar (and wind) could potentially exceed demand? Shouldn’t the price then be pretty low, maybe even negative? That question was unfortunately not answered in that tweet and also not in its comment section. I now want to make an attempt to explain how this could be possible.

Let’s start on Tuesday July 22. It had been sunny, but there have been (sometimes heavy) showers in the past couple days. The forecast was changeable weather until at least Friday.

Electricity producers need to trade on the day-ahead market what they can provide every hour of the next day. Because the weather at that moment was forecast as changeable, the solar electricity providers were probably not that sure of their production in that time slot. I think that therefore they only bid small volumes and left the rest of the expected demand to be filled in by other providers. These however have higher marginal costs and this will drive up the day-ahead price.

The next day, it is very sunny in the 14:00 – 15:00 time slot and solar (plus wind) energy could potentially produce more than demand. Leading to the situation where there was plentiful of generation after all, but the day-ahead price was set high.

That is what I think is (one of) the reason(s) why “solar champion” the Netherlands ended up with the “highest day-ahead prices in all of Northwestern Europe” during a time when its potential was at its peak.

via Trust, yet verify

https://ift.tt/PJfYslm

July 30, 2025 at 02:45PM

The Climate Change Cult Is Encountering More Resistance These Days

By Gary Abernathy

This article was originally published at The Empowerment Alliance and is re-published here with permission. 

The devastating Texas flooding over the July 4 weekend was a natural disaster of immense proportions. The lives lost brought unthinkable heartache for families. Especially difficult to fathom is that so many victims were young children.

Adding to the grief was the irresponsible blame game that almost immediately arose in the wake of the tragedy. Many on the left couldn’t wait to point fingers at Republicans, from President Donald Trump to Texas Gov. Greg Abbott.

Of course, the climate cult again demonized fossil fuels, global warming and other predictable villains from the days of yore (or Gore). The group Climate Central could only contain itself until July 8 before rushing out to hold a press briefing to reiterate its dogma that “climate change drives more extreme weather,” and that the Texas storms were “made more likely and powerful in a warmer climate.”

Leftwing climate groups often accuse anyone who disagrees as being a “climate denier.” But few actually deny that the climate indeed changes, often dramatically. The archeological record makes clear that the earth has warmed, cooled, experienced flooding and undergone a number of other climate-related upheavals through the centuries, long before human activity could be faulted. But groups like Climate Central identify the manmade practice of burning fossil fuels as the modern culprit.

Any brave soul who dares to challenge the extent to which carbon emissions and greenhouse gases impact climate change is shouted down by the cult and buried under an avalanche of “scholarly” papers produced by “the overwhelming majority of the scientific community.”

The good news is that the same day that Climate Central was regurgitating its tried-and-true rhetoric, the New York Times reported (in what it likely considered an expose), “The Energy Department has hired at least three scientists who are well-known for their rejection of the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change, according to records reviewed by The New York Times.”

What seemed frightening to the Times and the indoctrinated left comes as welcome relief for millions of other Americans who believe that the war on affordable and reliable energy sources is based more on politics than science.

The extent to which fewer Americans are being successfully propagandized is made clear by recent polling. On July 11, CNN data analyst Harry Enten told viewers that as early as 1989, 35% of Americans were “greatly worried” about climate change, a number that jumped to 46% by 2020. But, as Enten admitted with some astonishment, only 40% of Americans currently feel “greatly worried” about climate change. The reason for growing public skepticism on climate change is probably because most Americans have wised up to how data can be easily manipulated for political ends.

We know from experience it’s not hard to convince “experts” to sign on to a “consensus” opinion to add gravitas to the cause de jour. Back in 2020, more than 50 former intelligence officials famously signed onto a letter claiming that emails found on Hunter Biden’s laptop had “all the classic earmarks of a Russian information operation.” That was not true, and it was later discovered that former CIA Acting Director Michael Morell had drafted the letter to help Joe Biden’s campaign. Everyone else just signed on, their devotion to a particular election outcome apparently outweighing the lack of evidence backing their claim.

Similarly, individual treatises on climate science aren’t authored by hundreds of scientists. Each one is written by, at most, a handful of researchers who then circulate their work and ask others to sign on – giving activists the fodder they need to claim that “the overwhelming majority” of the scientific community is in agreement. In fact, scientific papers being published as authoritative when, in fact, they are not is a growing problem.

“Last year the annual number of papers retracted by research journals topped 10,000 for the first time. Most analysts believe the figure is only the tip of an iceberg of scientific fraud,” according to a 2024 report in The Guardian.

Fortunately, there has always been a segment of the scientific community willing to stand up to the mob and interpret climate data independently. The three scientists hired by the Energy Department and targeted by the Times for expressing skepticism on manmade climate change – physicist Steven E. Koonin, atmospheric scientist John Christy, and meteorologist Roy Spencer – are among the brave.

In decades past, a key tenet of science was to question everything, on the theory that raising doubts and concerns was the best path to the truth. As Dr. Koonin wrote in a Wall Street Journal essay, “Any serious discussion of the changing climate must begin by acknowledging not only the scientific certainties but also the uncertainties, especially in projecting the future.”

Instead of natural disasters serving as excuses to launch attacks and place blame using the same tired, lockstep rhetoric, here’s hoping for a new age of climate enlightenment, led by scientists, journalists and others with the curiosity – and courage – to question everything.

Gary Abernathy is a longtime newspaper editor, reporter and columnist. He was a contributing columnist for the Washington Post from 2017-2023 and a frequent guest analyst across numerous media platforms. He is a contributing columnist for The Empowerment Alliance, which advocates for realistic approaches to energy consumption and environmental conservation. The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Empowerment Alliance.

This article was originally published by RealClearEnergy and made available via RealClearWire.


Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

via Watts Up With That?

https://ift.tt/leIwVvK

July 30, 2025 at 12:02PM