French President Offers US Climate Scientists €1.5 Million Each to Move to France

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June 10, 2017 at 03:11AM

Weekend Unthreaded

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June 10, 2017 at 03:09AM

Ocean Warming Dominates The Increase In Energy Stored In the Climate System

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By Paul Homewood

 

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It is often claimed that the seas are warming up because of GHGs.

This analysis by CO2 is Life shows this to be unscientific nonsense:

 

 

Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report Summary for Policymakers

Ocean warming dominates the increase in energy stored in the climate system, accounting for more than 90% of the energy accumulated between 1971 and 2010 (high confidence), with only about 1% stored in the atmosphere. On a global scale, the ocean warming is largest near the surface, and the upper 75 m warmed by 0.11 [0.09 to 0.13] °C per decade over the period 1971 to 2010. It is virtually certain that the upper ocean (0−700 m) warmed from 1971 to 2010, and it likely warmed between the 1870s and 1971. {1.1.2, Figure 1.2}

The IPCC Report does more to prove it is engaged in sophistry than real science. In its 2014 report, the IPCC states that “Ocean warming dominates the increase in energy stored in the climate system, accounting for more than 90% of the energy accumulated between 1971 and 2010 (high confidence).” It also states that only about 1% of the energy is stored in the atmosphere.

From these observations, the IPCC concludes:

“It is extremely likely [95 percent confidence] more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.”

Just from a weighted factor approach, it is clear the atmosphere can’t warm the oceans. In reality, the oceans contain 2,000 more energy than the atmosphere and water has a specific heat 4x of dry air. If all the energy in the atmosphere was transferred to the oceans, it wouldn’t move the needle. On the other hand, the Satellite temperature records demonstrate a clear correlation between ocean events like El Nino and La Nina. Clearly, ocean temperatures drive atmospheric temperatures.

Like a Magician using slight of hand, the IPCC states “on a global scale, the ocean warming is largest near the surface, and the upper 75 m warmed by 0.11 [0.09 to 0.13] °C per decade over the period 1971 to 2010.” Poof!!! The Oceans are warming, it must be CO2, do not look behind that curtain or up my sleeve. Wow, are you amazed? You shouldn’t be. Just look up the IPCC’s sleeve and you will see what really is happening. The graphic at the top of this article shows the ocean penetration of various electromagnetic wavelengths. The “75 m” identified by the IPCC is significant because that is the depth at which INCOMING VISIBLE WARMING radiation penetrates and warms the oceans. The oceans are warmed by vast amounts of incoming high-energy visible radiation, not downwelling background long-wave infrared between 13 and 18-microns.

The basic physics behind CO2 warming the oceans, and therefore the atmosphere simply don’t exist. The only defined mechanism by which CO2 can affect climate change is by “thermalizing” long-wave infrared radiation between 13 and 18-microns. In reality, there is another one, radiation,  but that carries heat away from the earth and results in atmospheric cooling. Climate alarmists seem to forget that effect, and I will too for this article. This article focuses on the ability of CO2 to warm the oceans and therefore the atmosphere.

The preceding chart shows the spectral absorption of H2O, starting at 0 microns through the visible spectrum (0.4 to 0.7 microns) and ending in the long-wave infrared spectrum (18 microns). H20 efficiently absorbs much of the high energy electromagnetic spectrum in the visible light range. Energy is inversely related to wavelength (directly related to frequency), so the left side of the scale holds far more energy than the right. The longer the wavelength, the less energy it contains.  The left side of that graphic is what warms the oceans, not the right side that contains the long-wave infrared radiation that CO2 absorbs in the atmosphere. The following chart shows the CO2 absorption of long-wave Infrared radiation between 13 and 18-microns. CO2 has two other spikes at 2.7 and 4.3 microns, but those don’t play a role in the “thermalization” defined by the greenhouse gas effect.

Long-wave infrared radiation doesn’t warm water. It is absorbed in the very top “microlayer” of the oceans. If anything the infrared radiation produced by CO2 between the wavelengths of 13 and 18-microns results in surface evaporation and COOLING of the ocean surface much like evaporating sweat cools the body. The physics of CO2 and background long-wave infrared radiation downwelling warming the oceans simply doesn’t exist.

In Conclusion:

The IPCC claims that the oceans are by far the largest heat sink in the climate system. The IPCC claims that the oceans are warming. Data proves the oceans drive atmospheric temperatures, not vice verse.  The problem is, the IPCC can’t explain how CO2 warms the oceans. If the IPCC can’t explain how CO2 is warming the oceans, it can’t explain how/why the atmosphere is warming. To explain why the atmosphere is warming you have to explain why the oceans are warming. The oceans are warming because more visible radiation is reaching them. If that is the case, I would stop looking at CO2 and try to discover if anything has happened that would allow more visible radiation to reach the oceans. Has the frequency of volcanic eruptions slowed, has there been any changes to the Hadley Cells or cloud cover over the oceans especially the tropics, have we cleaned the air of sun blocking particulate matter? Explain why the oceans are warming and you explain why the atmosphere is warming, and it isn’t due to CO2. To quote Dr Singer, “evidence of warming isn’t evidence that man is causing that warming.”

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June 10, 2017 at 01:30AM

No Scientific Integrity At The EPA

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I’m off to DC, where the EPA just cancelled their Scientific Integrity meeting after they found out who was showing up to call them out on their complete lack of integrity.

Never mind that dozens of people flew in from all over the country and already paid for plane tickets and accommodations. This is the government – where facts, integrity, science and basic norms of civility don’t exist.

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June 10, 2017 at 01:12AM