Decreasing Trend In South Indian Ocean TC Intensity Since mid–1990s

By Paul Homewood

 

And here’s the study:

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Abstract

Tropical cyclone activity often leads to many adverse impacts and assessing their destructiveness is a crucial scientific concern. Here we investigated changes in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones worldwide using the power dissipation index and found that there is no clear trend in most basins, but a significant decrease in power dissipation index has been detected in the South Indian Ocean basin since 1994, which is almost entirely due to a decrease in both tropical cyclone frequency and duration in this basin. The decrease in tropical cyclone frequency is influenced by increased atmospheric stability. The decrease in tropical cyclone duration can be attributed to the changes in tropical cyclone locations. In addition, the weakened subtropical high is only observed in the South Indian Ocean (i.e., the Mascarene High), which is also associated with the decrease in tropical cyclone destructiveness. These findings have implications for assessing the destructive potential of future tropical cyclones.

Fig. 1

Fig. 1: Time series of the cumulative power dissipation index (PDI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) for each basin and the global.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01683-2

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January 5, 2025 at 03:38AM

New Study Finds 30 Year Drop In Hurricanes

By Paul Homewood

Chris Morrison on hurricanes and weather attribution:

 

 

 

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Last month a small but powerful cyclone named Chido made landfall in Mayotte before sweeping into Mozambique, causing considerable damage and leading to the loss of around 100 lives. Days after the tragedy, the Green Blob-funded Carbon Brief noted that scientists have “long suggested” that climate change is making cyclones worse in the region, while Blob-funded World Weather Attribution (WWA) at Imperial College London made a near-instant and curiously precise estimate that a Chido-like cyclone was about 40% more likely to happen in 2024 than during the pre-industrial age. Not to be outdone, Green Blob-funded cheerleader the Guardian chipped in with the obligatory “cyclones are getting worse because of the climate emergency”. Almost unnoticed, it seems, among all the Net Zero dooming and grooming was a science paper published during December by Nature that found no increase in the destructive power of cyclones – the generic term for typhoons and hurricanes – in any ocean basin over the last 30 years. In the South Indian basin, the location of cyclone Chido, there was a dramatic decrease in both frequency and duration in recent times.

Read the full story here.

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January 5, 2025 at 03:30AM

The U.K. gov wants to “de-westernize” science

As most of the world abandons woke ideology, the U.K. blunders on.

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January 5, 2025 at 03:01AM

REDUCED ELECTRICITY BILLS? THEY MUST BE JOKING!

Just look at the latest figures for subsidising wind and biomass energy. A record high of £2.36 billion for last year. Meanwhile subsidies for wind power via the Renewable Obligation Scheme cost a further £4.6 billion in the year ended March 2024.  In short, wind power is now being subsidised to the tune of about £7 billion a year, when constraint payments are included.

 CfD Subsidies Hit Record High In 2024 | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

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January 5, 2025 at 01:58AM