BUDE DCNN 8987 – An interesting interpretation of the regulations.

50.82840 -4.54592 Met Office Assessed CIMO Class 3 and Satisfactory (Elevation 15 metres) Installed 1/1/1911

Bude is a long established municipal weather station on the north Cornish coast. The above aerial image suggests an open site free from external heat sources and superficially seems to be a good location. However, the Met Office themselves only rate it as CIMO Class 3 (potential inaccuracy due to siting of 1°C) – on further investigation even that looks rather optimistic. I am again indebted to Phil Marshall for excellent site photography that brings into focus issues not otherwise immediately obvious.

Bude is regularly credited as a national and regional high temperature point (dramatically described as “Extremes” by the Met Office ) as always with no reference to potential inaccuracy.

So what are the issues with this site? Well the clue is in Phil’s image below.

How come the view looks down onto the roofs of two story buildings just a short distance away? Because the site is atop a 15 metre high artificial mound above the almost sea level surroundings. The road level street view image indicates the steepness of the slope – the flagpole marks the weather station.

A different angle confirms the unnatural and unrepresentative nature of the site.

All of this appears to be a question of interpretation of the relevant CIMO rules. Sites should be, where at all possible, flat. Whilst the top of the mound probably is flat, as can be seen from another of Phil’s images below it is only just level in the site compound with sloping ground on all sides. The grass level within the compound is also reaching questionable levels of maintenance.

Quite exactly what effects this artificial mound has on airflows and consequent temperature records is open to debate, however, I doubt the Met Office would accept the data if this was a private weather station. Whether it meets Class 3 is highly debatable and the Met Office’s own assessment procedure states

” The ideal site should be on level ground with no trees, buildings or steep ground nearby that might influence the measurements.” (My emphasis)

Proclaiming national “Extremes” for such a site rather seems to fly in the face of observational integrity and smacks more of click bait for attention grabbing “extreme” headlines.

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October 17, 2024 at 05:25AM

European Trainee Doctors to Have Fake Malaria Climate Myths Added to Their Studies

Essay by Eric Worrall

Malaria was endemic in Northern Europe and the USA during the Little Ice Age. But most people don’t realise how prevalent Malaria was in previous centuries, because our ancestors called Malaria “Ague“.

Europe’s medical schools to give more training on diseases linked to climate crisis

New climate network will teach trainee doctors more about heatstroke, dengue and malaria and role of global warming in health

Kat Lay Global health correspondent Mon 14 Oct 2024 17.00 AEDT

Mosquito-borne diseases such as dengue and malaria will become a bigger part of the curriculum at medical schools across Europe in the face of the climate crisis.

Future doctors will also have more training on how to recognise and treat heatstroke, and be expected to take the climate impact of treatments such as inhalers for asthma into account, medical school leaders said, announcing the formation of the European Network on Climate & Health Education (Enche).

Led by the University of Glasgow, 25 medical schools from countries including the UK, Belgium and France will integrate lessons on climate into their education of more than 10,000 students.

Glasgow University’s Dr Camille Huser,co-chair of the network, said: “The doctors of the future will see a different array of presentations and diseases that they are not seeing now. They need to be aware of that so they can recognise them.”

…

Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2024/oct/14/european-network-climate-health-education-medical-schools-diseases-students-dengue-malaria-heatstroke

The problem with calling diseases like Malaria a “climate change” disease is that Malaria has no problem thriving in cold climates;

Endemic malaria: an ‘indoor’ disease in northern Europe. Historical data analysed

Lena Huldén 1,✉, Larry Huldén 2, Kari Heliövaara 1

  • Author information
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PMCID: PMC1090613  PMID: 15847704

Abstract

Background

Endemic northern malaria reached 68°N latitude in Europe during the 19th century, where the summer mean temperature only irregularly exceeded 16°C, the lower limit needed for sporogony of Plasmodium vivax. Because of the available historical material and little use of quinine, Finland was suitable for an analysis of endemic malaria and temperature.

Methods

Annual malaria death frequencies during 1800–1870 extracted from parish records were analysed against long-term temperature records in Finland, Russia and Sweden. Supporting data from 1750–1799 were used in the interpretation of the results. The life cycle and behaviour of the anopheline mosquitoes were interpreted according to the literature.

Results

Malaria frequencies correlated strongly with the mean temperature of June and July of the preceding summer, corresponding to larval development of the vector. Hatching of imagoes peaks in the middle of August, when the temperature most years is too low for the sporogony of Plasmodium. After mating some of the females hibernate in human dwellings. If the female gets gametocytes from infective humans, the development of Plasmodium can only continue indoors, in heated buildings.

Conclusion

Northern malaria existed in a cold climate by means of summer dormancy of hypnozoites in humans and indoor transmission of sporozoites throughout the winter by semiactive hibernating mosquitoes. Variable climatic conditions did not affect this relationship. The epidemics, however, were regulated by the population size of the mosquitoes which, in turn, ultimately was controlled by the temperatures of the preceding summer.

…

Read more: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1090613/

There has been an uptick in Malaria in Europe recently. So if climate change is not the main driver, what is causing the recent uptick in Malaria cases?

From the American society of Microbiology;

The History of Malaria in the United States

Sept. 15, 2023

…

While malaria infection is still prevalent south of the Sahara and in parts of Oceania, such as Papua New Guinea, prior to the 1880s the disease was also endemic in areas that have no longer sustained transmission, including the United States. Recent cases of malaria acquired in Southern U.S. states have raised concerns about future outbreaks, climate change and the possibility of sustained transmission in areas where the disease is no longer considered to be endemic.

…

CDC reports that these locally-acquired cases of malaria are the first in the U.S. in the past 2 decades. Malaria typically resurfaces via imported cases in the U.S. after an individual travels to a malaria endemic region or country. However, locally-acquired malaria cases can occur, as the Anopheles mosquito vectors (which transmit this disease to humans) do exist throughout the U.S. Importantly, with COVID-19 travel restrictions lifted, there is more opportunity for international travel. If an individual becomes infected in an endemic country, then there is a possibility for infected individuals (with or without symptoms) to seed local transmission. For example, in 2003 there were 8 cases of locally-acquired P. vivax malaria identified in Palm Beach County, Fla.

…

Those in the global malarial community are at a perilous tipping point; the progress made prior to COVID-19 has stalled, and the countries hardest hit by the disease are facing multiple fronts of the infectious disease war. Likewise, the ongoing climate changes occurring around the world, which impact the ability of vectors (mosquitoes, ticks, flies, etc.) to expand their geographic range into areas of susceptible populations to malaria and other infectious diseases, continue to create ongoing and new regions for the spread of vector-borne disease.

…

Read more: https://asm.org/articles/2023/september/the-history-of-malaria-in-the-united-states

While the CDC article above does genuflect to climate change, two points are very clear;

  1. The mosquitoes which carry Malaria are already prevalent throughout the United States, and have been for a long time.
  2. The main source of Malaria in the United States and presumably other countries like Europe is infected people arriving from Malaria hotspots.

My point is, you don’t need climate change to make Malaria prevalent in a temperate Western country. Mosquitoes which can carry Malaria have no problem thriving in any climate where water is available and Summer temperatures reach at least 16C (61F).

Anyone who thinks mosquitoes can’t thrive in Arctic climates has never visited the Arctic – midges, many of which can carry Malaria, are a horrible nuisance at certain times of the year in high latitudes. Calling Malaria a tropical disease, implying that a tropical climate is required for Malaria to thrive, is a gross distortion of the truth. Teaching doctors that climate change causes Malaria is as absurd as teaching doctors how to use magic to cure a fever.

Shakespeare himself may have died from Malaria. According to Wikipedia, “… Half a century later, John Ward, the vicar of Stratford, wrote in his notebook: “Shakespeare, Drayton, and Ben Jonson had a merry meeting and, it seems, drank too hard, for Shakespeare died of a fever there contracted …“.

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October 17, 2024 at 04:04AM

Electric wallpaper trialled as ‘green’ alternative to central heating in Scotland

Glasgow tenements
Electric wallpaper ‘is applied to the ceiling and is painted over’. It’s promoted as another way to reduce the supposedly fearsome ‘carbon’ emissions, for example where heat pumps aren’t an option. The makers explain how it works here. Any good? You decide.
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Electric wallpaper is being trialled as a green alternative to central heating in social housing properties in Glasgow, says The National Scot.

Scottish homes are among the oldest and worst insulated in Europe, with about 70,000 tenement flats in Glasgow alone, and heating accounts for more than 36% of total carbon emissions in the UK.

The average [Scottish] home loses heat three times faster than in many European countries.

Now electric wallpaper is being trialled in 12 tenement properties in Glasgow owned and managed by West of Scotland Housing Association, to assess its effectiveness as a “clean” heat source.

Electric wallpaper, which is applied to the ceiling and is painted over, is hoped to become a “viable” replacement for central heating – which began this year, however, data on energy consumption has yet to be collated.
. . .
Funded by Scotland Beyond Net Zero – a coalition of leading climate and sustainability experts from Scotland’s universities – the trial is one of eight new research collaborations aimed at the transition to net zero.

Andrew Kubski, director of development and asset management for West of Scotland Housing Association, said: “We have been trialling this technology for a few months now and have had excellent feedback from our tenants where this has been installed.

“We are delighted to have the opportunity to work with both the University of Glasgow and University of Strathclyde to bring a thorough academic lens to the effectiveness of the electric wallpaper.”

Full article here.
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Image: Glasgow tenements [credit: caingram.com]

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October 17, 2024 at 03:44AM

It’s a mistake to abandon fossil fuels

Benzinga interviews Ron Stein on the damage a rushed transition out of fossil fuels would cause.

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October 17, 2024 at 03:21AM