What weird weather puzzle? Static high or low pressure systems (blocking patterns) are not that uncommon or unusual, but are likely to be pounced on by headline-seeking climate alarmists. And statistics for calendar months (‘wettest February’) are to some extent just arbitrary period selection. Better theories might be at least as useful as fancier computers.
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A top climate scientist has called for more investment in climate computing to explain the UK’s recent topsy turvy weather, reports BBC News.
Prof Tim Palmer from Oxford University said there were still too many unknowns in climate forecasting.
And in the month the SpaceX launch grabbed headlines, he said just one of the firm’s billions could transform climate modelling.
Short-term weather forecasting is generally very accurate.
And long-term trends in rising temperatures aren’t in doubt.
But Prof Palmer says many puzzles remain unsolved: take the recent weird weather in the UK, with the wettest February on record followed by the sunniest Spring.
Meteorologists were astounded by this unprecedented weather somersault – and especially by the amazing amount that May sunshine exceeded the previous record.
This year’s figure was 13% higher than the previous record – that’s like the winner of the 100 metres leaving opponents 13 metres behind.
Some point the blame on manmade climate change, but the Met Office says, as yet, there’s no strong evidence for that.
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
June 5, 2020 at 03:21AM