Decarbonization Myth Frays as Hydrocarbon Use Grows

By Vijay Jayaraj

One cannot peruse the morning headlines or scroll through the digital ether without being assailed by the global media’s solemn decree: Society is gracefully, unequivocally and inexorably decoupling from the deathly embrace of fossil fuels.

Many in the “enlightened” professional classes, forgoing independent scrutiny of the issue, regurgitate the declaration with the vigorous conviction of newly converted acolytes. What we have today is a digital amphitheater flooded with hashtags and half-truths, where perception cosplays as accomplishment and misinformation marches under the banner of inevitability.

Take China for example: Online posts about the country’s undeniable dependence on coal is glossed over or misrepresented. Popular reporting has Beijing showing great interest in “net zero” as evidenced by the installation of record amounts of solar and wind energy generators. Cherry-picked are the ebbs and flows of fossil fuel use and investments in “renewable” technology to argue that Chinese hydrocarbon use is waning.

However, the energy sector in China cares little about these fantasies. Beijing began building 94.5 gigawatts (GW) of new coal-powered capacity in 2024, in addition to resuming 3.3 GW of suspended projects. This is the highest level of construction in the past 10 years!

As recently as May, China deployed the world’s largest fleet of driverless mining trucks to fast-track efficient operations, partially to overcome the challenging conditions of harsh winter weather at the Yimin coal mine in northeastern Inner Mongolia.

Indeed, both China and India are pouring colossal sums into wind turbines and solar panels. Yet, let us not, for a moment, confuse this fervent activity with the zealous repudiation of fossil fuels seen in some European countries. The Asian nations are not renouncing fossil fuels but rather grabbing every energy source as would hoarders before an expected crisis.

Speaking at the Heartland International Conference in 2023, I dubbed this the “twin strategy” –  a clever diplomatic pas de deux – where Beijing and Delhi strike photogenic “green” poses for the Western press while quietly constructing new coal-fired plants and excavating and importing ever more fuel for them.

The result? Applause from climate summiteers and megawatts from smokestacks – a brilliant balancing act of virtue signaling and strategic realism. The West calls it hypocrisy; China and India call it another day at the office.

Climate doomsayers must advance a narrative of Asian complicity in the increasingly fraying “green” agenda to help keep alive the myth of a decarbonizing world, which for most sensible people has become about as believable as the Easter Bunny.

India’s target for achieving net zero is set for a distant 2070 – 100 years after the first Earth Day, whose observance by then will be about as relevant as tossing virgins into volcanoes. More lasting will be the country’s commitment to economic growth through the use of coal, oil and natural gas – a path to having the highest rate of increase in energy demand going forward.

The case is similar in dozens of other countries across Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa, where new discoveries of energy reserves and an appetite for economic progress have the oil and gas industries booming.

Approximately 120 oil and gas discoveries were made globally in 2024, with significant drilling expected in Suriname, Cyprus, Libya and South Africa. About 85% of these discoveries occurred in offshore regions, the bigger ones being in Kuwait and Namibia.

Rystad Energy predicts deepwater drilling to hit a 12-year high in 2026. Once the poster child of climate repentance, the British multinational oil and gas company BP is abandoning plans to reduce production in favor of drilling deeper in the Gulf of Mexico. Norway’s Equinor announced early this year that “renewables” would take a back seat, as the country’s offshore oil fields roar back to life.

The climate commentariat, already breathless from their creative contortions to recast reality, now finds itself rattled by President Trump’s funding cuts that turned off the tap to the climate-industrial complex.

Meanwhile, the digital battleground remains an arena for the ongoing tug-of-war between the realities of economics and physics and fanciful rhetoric about an energy transition. The growth in consumption of fossil fuels continues apace, nonetheless.

This commentary was first published at BizPac Review on June 20, 2025.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Science and Research Associate at the CO₂ Coalition, Fairfax, Virginia. He holds an M.S. in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia and a postgraduate degree in energy management from Robert Gordon University, both in the U.K., and a bachelor’s in engineering from Anna University, India.


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June 22, 2025 at 08:05AM

“Current heatwave ‘likely to kill almost 600 people in England and Wales”- Latest Guardian Fake News

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Ian Magness

 

This shameful article surely marks a new low for the wretched Guardian, and its author, Damian Carrington:

 

 image

Almost 600 people are expected to die early in the heatwave roasting England and Wales, a rapid analysis has found.

The surge in deaths would not be occurring without human-caused global heating, the scientists said, with temperatures boosted by 2C-4C by the pollution from fossil fuels.

More than 10,000 people died before their time in summer heatwaves between 2020 and 2024, according to the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA). The government’s preparations to protect people from the escalating impacts of the climate crisis were condemned as “inadequate, piecemeal and disjointed” by official advisers in April.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jun/21/heatwave-expected-deaths-england-and-wales-analysis?CMP=oth_b-aplnews_d-5

You don’t even have to read it to realise what a load of drivel it is. And they cannot even wait a week or two to get the actual mortality data.

It is hard to know where to start with the pack of lies.

For a start, temperatures in the last few days have not been unusually high. CET maxed out at 28.5C, a level reached in most of the years on record.

TXX_257__SUMMER-HALF(AMJJAS)

The allegation that temperatures [were] boosted by 2C-4C by the pollution from fossil fuels is clearly fake.

As for the claim that 600 will die as a result, if true the same must apply to every summer in Britain. Yet every single year, the death rate in summer is the lowest of every season.

The Guardian links to a report by Swiss Re:

image

In turn, Swiss Re link to the well known Lancet study to justify their propaganda:

image

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(21)00081-4/fulltext

However, neither Swiss Re nor the Guardian mention the fact that, according to the Lancet, excess deaths from cold far exceed those from heat:

image

image

In particular, deaths from cold in Western Europe run at four times the rate of heat ones.

And as I always like to point out, if people are dropping like flies in summer, what is killing far greater numbers in spring and autumn? Extreme mildness?

Swiss Re also provide a link to the EPA’s Heat Wave index, in an attempt to prove their argument that extreme heat is killing people. Unfortunately they obviously did not bother to fully read the EPA analysis, which shows that heatwaves in the US were much more severe at times in the past. Nor are recent heatwaves in any way exceptional

image

.

Quite insultingly the Guardian quotes Dr Lorna Powell, an NHS urgent care doctor in east London, as saying “We must stop burning coal, oil and gas if we are to stabilise our climate and prevent scores of preventable health issues, hospital visits and deaths

Maybe this silly woman might like to justify the deaths of tens of thousands in winter, when people will no longer be able to  heat their homes with cheap gas.

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June 22, 2025 at 05:03AM

Open Thread


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June 22, 2025 at 04:01AM

MELTING WILL LEAD TO COOLING – NEW STUDY

Scientists are beavering away coming up with new information all the time, but the mainstream media only focuses on one small part of the picture – that which is fed to them by the climate alarmists. Here is an example of the type of information you will never see on your main TV channels.

 New Study: Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt Will Lead To Widespread Cooling, Sea Ice Expansion

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June 22, 2025 at 02:39AM