Net Zero Watch warns of growing grid instability

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

London: 29 April 2025
For immediate release
Net Zero Watch warns of growing grid instability

With more than 50 million EU electricity consumers suffering blackouts yesterday, campaign group Net Zero Watch has reiterated its warning that the UK power grid is also becoming increasingly unstable.

Grid analysts have suggested a high likelihood that the extent of yesterday’s blackout in Iberia was a result of the Spanish grid operating almost entirely on renewables at the time. The stability of power grids depends on so-called ‘inertia’, a resistance to rapid change that is an inherent feature of large spinning turbines, such as gas-fired power stations, but not of wind and solar farms. Too much renewables capacity on a grid can therefore mean inadequate inertia. As a result, in grids dominated by wind and solar, faults can propagate almost instantaneously across grids, leading to blackouts.

In a recent Net Zero Watch paper, entitled Blackout Risk in the GB Grid, energy system analyst Kathyn Porter pointed out that our own electricity system is also becoming increasingly unstable. Large fluctuations in grid frequency – the first sign of problems – are becoming much more common.

In the past four years, the upper operational [frequency] limit was breached around 500 times in each winter season…the number of such breaches has also been growing steadily, which is consistent with falling grid inertia…and a perception that the grid is becoming less reliable.

In addition, Ms Porter points out that the GB grid experienced a ‘near miss’ at the start of the year.

Net Zero Watch director Andrew Montford said:

For 20 years, every aspect of the grid has been subordinated to the concerns of the eco-warriors. It’s no surprise that our electricity system is now both unaffordable and dangerously unstable. We can no longer afford to have energy policy determined by fantastists.

Notes for editors

Kathryn Porter’s paper can be downloaded from the Net Zero Watch website.


Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

via Watts Up With That?

https://ift.tt/xQSE87s

April 30, 2025 at 04:06AM

CFACT challenges PSE&G over fast-tracking green energy

CFACT to CEO: "How do you plan to maintain reliability when you’re fast-tracking green energy mandates while retiring dependable baseload capacity?"

via CFACT

https://ift.tt/xSqCKhF

April 30, 2025 at 03:58AM

THE TIME BOMB IN RENEWABLE GRIDS

Over the past decade, the UK has seen a rapid deployment of renewable energy sites. Solar and wind farms are being rolled out at scale and, on the surface, it’s a clean, green revolution. But step behind the glossy headlines and you’ll find an uncomfortable truth: the power infrastructure supporting these sites is being built to a dangerously low standard.

This isn’t just about cutting corners – it’s about systemic failure in how we treat the backbone of renewable power delivery.

 Built to fail: the silent crisis in green infrastructure

via climate science

https://ift.tt/teXmsE0

April 30, 2025 at 01:31AM

Deepwater Horizon at 15: Remember “Beyond Petroleum” BP

“On the 15th anniversary of the BP blowout, the real takeaway is that oil companies that think they are ‘beyond petroleum’ are value destroyers for shareholders and for the environment.”

Every April commemorates BP’s Deepwater Horizon oil spill (April 2010). To the anti-energy Left, Deepwater Horizon is the epitome of oil-gone-bad, coming some 21 years after the Exxon Valdez oil spill. It was not supposed to happen again, but ….

The sad facts of Deepwater Horizon will forever remain; the multiple failures behind the seafloor accident meticulously documented. But a paradox remains. Mighty BP, captained by John Browne, the leading “environmentalist” of the petroleum industry, created a corporate culture that resulted in lax safety and environmental protocols. By saving about $5 million out of $100+ million in drilling costs, the company ended up paying out in excess of $60 billion.

At MasterResource, I addressed the irony, the paradox, in terms of global warming as the great environmental distraction. Greenwashing and political correctness resulted in the “green” company being the worst. Ditto for Ken Lay and Enron on the natural gas side, another story of a postmodern corporation putting sizzle before steak, hat before cattle.

These posts covered the subtle lessons of BP and Enron.

BP Fools the “Socially Responsible” Investors (‘Green’ Enron did too)

They Loved BP and Enron: Climate Alarmism as the Great Environmental Distraction (Part I: Worldwatch Institute quotations)

BP’s ‘Beyond Petroleum’: Climate Alarmism as the Great Environmental Distraction (Part II: Why the ‘greenwashing’?)

Harvard Business Review Article: BP as Environmental Role Model (Part III on global warming as the great environmental distraction)

Opportunity Cost

The time, money, and focus that go in one direction do not go in another. The most highly valuable foregone alternative is the opportunity cost to the chosen action. In terms of the foregone, the results can be spectacularly bad. As I wrote in the aftermath of the BP spill:

Just imagine if John Browne had used the time and resources BP spent on climate alarmism and ‘beyond petroleum’ on real safety and environmental issues.

Browne resigned in 2007, but his successor, Tony Hayward, might have had inherited a coporate culture to put safety first. Hayward himself was a victim of Deepwater Horizon, replaced by Bob Dudley. And the bad management, trying to appease the enemies of BP’s basic business, would fail.

Two Companies, Similar Result

As I added at the time:

BP might still have a capitalization of $150 billion and not face a potential worst-case scenario of bankruptcy and ruin. And more importantly, the U.S. Gulf would not be in an environmental crisis.

And another example, Enron:

Just imagine if Enron’s Ken Lay had used the time and resources spent on climate alarmism and forced energy transformation on accounting, risk control, and the real things that promote business sustainability. (Lay was a big Christopher Flavin/Worldwatch fan too.)

The lesson:

Diverted management attention has an opportunity cost. Left environmentalists lobbied and praised BP and Enron for putting form over substance. A few shouted ‘greenwashing’, but most applauded their coveted split within the fossil-fuel industry on climate and energy.

The ironic conclusion:

… fake environmentalism driving out real environmentalism. Climate and energy reality, anyone?

On the 15th anniversary of the BP blowout, the real takeaway is that oil companies that think they are “beyond petroleum” are value destroyers for shareholders and for the environment.

———–

BP Update: Wounded from environmental torts, BP continued down the EU/UK “green” path of wind and solar. But bad economics, even with government favor, penalized stockholders, and the Browne-remade company eventually, belatedly, reversed course.

“BP slashed planned investment in renewable energy,” reported Reuters earlier this year, “and said on Wednesday it would increase annual oil and gas spending to $10 billion, in a major strategy shift aimed at boosting earnings and investor confidence.”

Author Arunima Kuman explained:

The oil major, which has underperformed peers like Shell and Exxon has come under increasing pressure to change strategy after news U.S. activist investor Elliott Investment Management has built a 5% stake in the company.

BP cut planned annual investment in renewable energy businesses by more than $5 billion, from its previous forecast, to between $1.5 billion and $2 billion per year. It now aims to grow oil and gas production to between 2.3 million and 2.5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2030. It pumped 2.36 million oil equivalent per day in 2024.

BP was following a trend:

It is the latest big energy company to change its position in response to the need to lower carbon emissions and curb climate change, returning the focus to oil and gas.

==========

And most recently, according to Reuters:

Elliott has met with more than 20 investors who are among BP’s largest active shareholders, the source said.

Reuters reported in March that Elliott had discussed the need for deeper spending and cost cuts and potential leadership changes with other BP shareholders…. Elliott also suggests that BP divest its solar and offshore wind power businesses, the source said, adding that Elliott believes the broader executive team around CEO Murray Auchincloss has underperformed and has not been held accountable.

The post Deepwater Horizon at 15: Remember “Beyond Petroleum” BP appeared first on Master Resource.

via Master Resource

https://ift.tt/zIdGJDw

April 30, 2025 at 01:08AM