Coleshill WMO 03535 – An interesting comparison made with Private Weather Stations.

52.48022 -1.69063 Met Office CIMO Assessed Class 5S Installed 1/9/1997

Tim Channon reviewed this site in 2012 and back then felt it was probably good enough for a fully accurate and representative Class 2. What has happened to degrade the site to the Met Office’s own assessment as the worst possible is a typical tale of lack of oversight and diligence. Astonishingly this site was also used as a comparison site for testing private weather station equipment with Met Office equipment – only it wasn’t really!

Tim was a very astute and methodical judge of weather station sites, he would not have called this so wrong. The intervening 13 years of unfettered tree growth that he noted has been one factor creating the obvious heavy shade (those are very long shadows) but there are other problems now evident. The blurry headline image indicates a vehicle parking alongside the enclosure which is a recurring theme in google Earth historic imagery. Caravans, also mentioned by Tim, come and go and the extensive ground rutting and discolouration of the grass in the adjoining field indicates a high level of activity and occupancy period. Street View looks as below and is now getting worse. Even the Met Office inspectors could not fail to mark down such a publicly visible site but why nothing has been done to correct matters is a mystery. Not only temperatures but wind speed and direction readings will now be suspect.

As I have often emphasized in the past, the Met Office makes a big play about how its sites meet much higher standards than private sites. However, it far too frequently seems Met Office sites are inferior to a large proportion of private sites. In researching this issue of Met Office versus private sites I came across equipment comparative testing research carried out by Aston University.

There are a number of numeric errors in this piece i.e. “the Met Office runs 250 or so land surface stations in its professional Meteorological Monitoring System,”. “250 or so” seems rather vague considering it is actually 384. I am also concerned with the definitions given to private (“citizen”) weather stations which states:

“A citizen weather station (CWS) is defined as a weather station set up by a member of the public for whom the terms weather enthusiast, volunteer, hobbyist and amateur observer are fitting
descriptions. Crucially, these stations are set up out of personal interest (or, in schools, for
educational purposes) rather than because it is the owner’s job.”

The authors seem unaware that very many official sites are in schools, playing fields, domestic back gardens, walled gardens, botanic gardens, sewage plants, water treatment works, surrounded by solar farms, alongside jet engines and wind turbines, heliports and on and on.

The amateur suggestion is also quite incorrect as many private sites are genuinely for professional purposes. The nearest three PWS to me, as examples, are variously at a vineyard for horticultural purposes, a private airfield and a golf course/spa leisure centre. Certainly not the almost hapless, but well meaning, amateurs being portrayed above. This globally searchable map is a better indicator of PWS sites https://www.weatherlink.com/map

However, the main point of the above research that concerns the Surface Stations Project is the applicability of PWS readings versus Met Office stations for wider area representation. This section is very apt:

This research is starting from the unfounded assumption that Met Office sites are better locations. “Can CWS really compete with accurate equipment installed by professional organisations at well calibrated
and exposed sites?” Calibration is one issue but “well…..exposed sites” is clearly a false assertion for Met Office sites like Coleshill in question here in more ways than one. The key noted item

“5 Representativity error – It’s difficult to assess whether CWS observations represent a
scale suitable for the application.”

Is an issue far more relevant to the Met Office who openly have to admit to the vast majority of sites being Class 4 and 5 having such wide error margins of +/- 2°C or even +/-5°C making minute calibration variations rather irrelevant. I would argue that all three of the previously mentioned PWS near to my home are better sited than the majority of Met Office sites.

In the case of this research, the chosen site to monitor the private instrumentation against Met Office equipment was the Met Office/Birmingham University Winterbourne No 2 – a Class 5 (junk status) site subject to severe UHI where the Met Office parodied the term “extraneous heat sources” by concerning themselves withthe siting of low power electricity junction boxes. { talkshop comment Bingley No 2 with its attendant massive electricity sub station is not a concern though.} This site was certainly chosen for local convenience over site quality, but the astonishing admission of Met Office inadequacy came in the tiny footnotes to Table 2 in the “results”:

  • Winterbourne No. 2 site does not have MMS MSLP readings, instead observations from the Coleshill MMS site 16km away were used. CWS pressure readings were set to match the Coleshill
    reading at the start of the period, except for the WMR200 for which the MSLP correction is based upon the elevation the user enters into the electronic console.

To clarify “Winterbourne No.2 site does not have Meteorological Monitoring System Mean Sea Level (air) Pressure (MMS MSLP) readings that the comparison technologies automatically include. So instead the “data” from the Coleshill Class 5S site subject of this review (even worse than Winterbourne) that is 16km (10 miles) away was inserted. This rather exposes the myth of Met Office equipment superiority and brings this research into question when casually dropping in data from a distant site.

In conclusion the issues with Coleshill reflect poor siting and ongoing maintenance that is the responsibility of the Met Office. Despite this clear lack of adequacy the Met Office is still seen by its “peer” academic institutions as credible in its claims of high quality even in the face of researchers having to “amend” comparison terms. The research subsequently found “possible” variations of calibration quality of readings measured in one or two tenths of a degree (assuming the Met Office equipment was correct) whilst completely ignoring the known plus/minus 5°C wider area representation which was a key factor noted in the testing.

Given all the above, I feel the Surface Station Projects objective of identifying good quality sites from which to reconstruct an accurate and reliable long term national temperature record is all the more important. The Met Office and its peers do not appear to be interested in genuine credibility.

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February 27, 2025 at 03:57AM

Worst January In Two Years For UK Car Industry

By Paul Homewood

 

From the Telegraph:

 image

Britain’s car industry has suffered its worst January for two years amid concerns about sluggish demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and the threat of US tariffs.

The number of cars produced last month fell to 78,012, compared with 98,811 a year earlier, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

Mike Hawes, the lobby group’s chief executive, warned that manufacturers were battling rising costs and uncertainty, particularly around demand levels for EVs and Donald Trump’s plans to slap tariffs on vehicles shipped to America. Some 80pc of cars made in the UK are destined for export.

Full story here.

According to SMMT, electric vehicles (inc hybrids) increased by about 400 units, ICE units fell by more than 17200, a drop of 27%.

Although they do not mention it specifically, it is clear that manufacturers are cutting back on production for the home market because of the threat of ZEV mandate fines.

image

https://www.smmt.co.uk/vehicle-production-down-in-january-as-sector-faces-global-headwinds/

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February 27, 2025 at 03:10AM

BP GET BACK TO FOSSIL FUELS

This is a seismic U-turn, one that should take the oil giant firmly away from its fancy Beyond Petroleum slogans and even more fanciful attempts to become a renewables group.

Five years ago, BP set some of the most absurd targets among its peers to cut production of oil and gas by 40 per cent by 2030, while ramping up investment in renewables. 

Now Auchincloss is doing the reverse: looking to increase investments in fossil fuels by 20 per cent to £8billion by 2027 while cutting spending on renewables to around £1.2billion a year, more than £4billion less than planned.


Back to petroleum at last: BP’s switch back to fossil fuels is a seismic U-turn, says MAGGIE PAGANO | This is Money

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February 27, 2025 at 01:30AM

Climate Censorship? (CAAD pushing on a string)

“Sounds like the alarmists are losing when they call in the thought police. And they are losing.”

A new international group, Climate Action Against Disinformation (CAAD), advertises itself as the policer against “climate change misinformation and disinformation.”

We are a global coalition of over 50 prominent climate and anti-disinformation organisations, calling for decisive, unified action against widespread climate misinformation and disinformation.

Why? CAAD continues:

Climate change misinformation and disinformation create a distorted perception of climate science and solutions; meanwhile they weaken the public mandate for effective domestic and international policies aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Nothing subjective about it. CAAD’s “Universal definition” is stated:

Climate disinformation and misinformation refers to deceptive or misleading content that:

Undermines the existence or impacts of climate change, the unequivocal human influence on climate change, and the need for corresponding urgent action according to the IPCC scientific consensus and in line with the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement;

Misrepresents scientific data, including by omission or cherry-picking, in order to erode trust in climate science, climate-focused institutions, experts, and solutions; or

Falsely publicises efforts as supportive of climate goals that in fact contribute to climate warming or contravene the scientific consensus on mitigation or adaptation.

Their recommendation?

Governments should encourage social media, advertising technology, and broadcast and publishing companies to take these steps:

1 Acknowledge climate disinformation as a major threat damaging the information ecosystem, hindering climate action and policy, risking public safety and health and further widening societal and political divides.

2 Produce, publicize and resource a transparent company plan to stop the spread of climate disinformation.

3 Report on the prevalence of climate disinformation on their products and services.

4 Allow researchers access to all data needed to conduct research and prevent the monetisation of climate disinformation.

5 Implement platform-wide inoculation efforts to expose mis- and disinformation.

6 Implement strong labor policies for content moderation staff.

7 Produce and enforce transparency, safety, equity, and accountability measures related to company use of AI and other emerging technologies.

Government? Big Brother? The one institution that has a legal monopoly on the initiation of force? Shame on Climate Action Against Disinformation.

Losing Arguments

Sounds like the alarmists are losing when they call in the thought police. And they are losing. WUWT is the world’s most viewed climate information site. Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. reigns as the go-to for bottom-line science. LinkedIn and X are populated with skepticism and debate with all-things-climate. DeSmog’s climate disinformation database cannot keep up with all the individuals and groups that criticize climate alarmism and point out exaggerations and failed predictions.

And who won the U.S. election and is replacing the Podesta-Biden-Harris ‘all-of-government’ climate policy with none-of-government? Don’t even mention “climate change” and ‘decarbonization” in polite company.

Course Correction?

New opportunities abound for questioning climate alarm and debating climate policy. Climate censorship is dead on arrival in a new political world. CAAD should change its name and call out the exaggerators and climate cult. A new organization could reject the Sunrise Movement, Climate Defiance, and other groups who are expected to rev up their civil disobedience in 2025? That would turn down the heat.

Appendix: Pushing Censorship against Heartland Institute

On October 24, 2024, a group of far Left organizations wrote an open letter to Google’s “Trust and Safety Team” to censor the Heartland Institute. [1]

“We are urgently asking Google to fully enforce its existing policy and immediately and permanently demonetize Heartland Institute and all other outlets that continue to spread climate disinformation on YouTube,” the letter read. Continuing:

As evidenced by the above research and reporting, Google ads are directly contributing to the spread of outright lies about our planet’s changing climate– with dire impacts…. We urge immediate and thorough
action to end Google’s monetization of accounts that spread and profit from climate
disinformation….

Sorry, but the bullying and censorship days are over. It is cool to question the heat of climate change activism, intellectually and politically.

——————–

[1] Accountable Tech; Action Center on Race & the Economy; Center for Countering Digital Hate; Check My Ads; ClimateVoice, a project of Tides Center; Ekō; Friends of the Earth; Greenpeace USA; Kairos Fellowship; The Tech Oversight Project; UltraViolet; Union of Concerned Scientists

The post Climate Censorship? (CAAD pushing on a string) appeared first on Master Resource.

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February 27, 2025 at 01:10AM