The Met Office’s Model Muddle In July, the UK Meteorological office announced a new study estimating the risk of monthly rainfall records being exceeded in any year between the months of October and March.
But the methods and result of this study are questionable. Emphasis on simulations of climate do not seem to give better advice than the historical record, which the Met Office seems to have ignored. This short film looks at a decade of Met Office failures, and suggests that observations may be a better guide to policymaking than computer models.
Climate Politics as Manichean Paranoia – Roger Pielke Jr @ The GWPF, July 2017 The decision by US President Donald Trump to remove the US from the Paris Agreement on climate change was met with both derision and applause. Such is climate politics in the United States in the 21st century. This talk focuses on climate politics as “Manichean paranoia” — a term used by the late US statesman Zbigniew Brzezinski to describe an worldview in which your opponent is considered to be malign and willfully ignorant, whereas your own side is noble and uniquely enlightened.
While the two sides of the contemporary US climate debate disagree on many things, they are firmly united in their Manichean paranoia. Pielke describes this pathological approach to climate politics and why it matters. Pielke recommends five specific actions to improve political debate over climate. Changing climate politics won’t be easy and isn’t possible without a demand for change. The shared commitment to partisan battle between otherwise dueling camps of the climate debate is deeply held, and the siren calls to join the ranks on one side or the other is difficult to resist. However, rethinking climate politics should matter — not just for those who care about climate policy, but more generally for achieving the broadly shared goals of economic growth and the sustainability of liberal democracy.
GWPF Lecture – “The Great Climate Fervour” – Christopher Essex Professor Chris Essex gives a lecture on The Great Climate Fervour to the GWPF in London, May 2017.
GWPF State of the Climate 2016 A report on the State of the Climate in 2016 which is based exclusively on observations rather than climate models is published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF).
Compiled by Dr Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the University Centre in Svalbard (Norway), the new climate survey is in sharp contrast to the habitual alarmism of other reports that are mainly based on computer modelling and climate predictions.
Iowa Climate Science Education 