Month: February 2017

Brussel declaration on principles for science & policy making

Brussel declaration on principles for science & policy making

via Climate Etc.https://judithcurry.com

by Judith Curry

In this age of politicization of science and activist scientists, the Brussel Declaration offers some very good advice and deserves to be widely read and discussed.

The authors of the Brussel Declaration have written an essay entitled Policy Making Manifesto: Squaring Science with the Human Factor.  Subtitle: Brussels Declaration gives the ethics approach and guiding principles for revolutionising how scientific evidence is transferred into science & society policy making.  Excerpts:

The guiding principles of recommendations included in the declaration hinge on responsibility, integrity, independence, and accountability. They are the backbone for developing and communicating science to inform and evaluate policy.

Currently, much of the information—including that of scientific nature—citizens receive on a topic where policy has yet to be decided is not accepted de facto. Often, counter-evidence immediately challenges the original standpoint.  

Our philosophy remains that everybody’s science is welcome under scrutiny. Bans or cherry-picking just does not work.

Think-tanks, politically appointed commissions and expert groups are manifest. Yet, there are few checks and balances in place nor are there means to contest when policies proposed by academics, thought leaders and liberals are clearly not evidence-based, nor in the interest of those tax paying citizens they are supposed to serve. And people’s well-being suffers as a result.

The full version of the Brussel Declaration can be downloaded [here].  Here is a list of their 20 recommendations:

Section 1: science and policy – a crucial relationship

1. Science is a fundamental pillar of knowledge-based societies
2. Science can help provide the evidence base for public policy
3. Sound public policy is crucial for the direction and priorities of science            4. The dialogue between science and policy is never straight-forward

Section 2: what we expect from the scientific community 

5. The integrity of science needs to be clear and the integrity of scientists providing advice must be unimpeachable
6. The full range of scientific disciplines should be included; notably, the social sciences can play a key role in improving how the public may react or adapt        7. Scientists must learn to use established communication channels for providing policy advice more effectively and be less aloof and perhaps less arrogant
8. Scientists must listen and respond to criticism

Section 3: what we expect from the policy-making community 

9. Policy-makers must listen, consult and be held accountable
10. Ethical consideration of the impact of policy decisions is crucial
11. Policy-makers have to challenge science to deliver on public investment
12. Policy-makers should be willing to justify decisions, particularly where they deviate from independent scientific advice
13. Policy-makers should acknowledge the potential for bias and vested interests contrary to the scientific consensus

Section 4: what we expect from the public, media, industry and interest groups 

14. The public plays a critical role in influencing policy and must be included in the decision-making process
15. Industry is an investor in knowledge generation and science and has every right to have its voice heard
16. Interest groups similarly have every right to have their voice heard as guardians of the common good or legitimate sectoral interests
17. Advice from any source to policy-making must acknowledge possible bias

Section 5: what needs to change: how scientific advice & greater inclusivity need to be integrated more effectively 

18. Scientific advice must be more involved in all stages of the policy-making process
19. Policy-making must learn to cope with the speed of scientific development and include greater foresight and policy anticipation
20. Societal investment in science will always require priority-setting; nevertheless, advances in public health deserve special attention

There is a lot of good text in this declaration, but I highlight this text in particular:

Scientists need to convey the best current evidence while acknowledging the limits of science and listening and responding seriously to criticism. Scientists must justify their recommendations and better engage when faced with such argument and criticism. “Trust me, I’m a scientist” does not, and should not convince. Scrutiny matters too and discounting ‘citizen science’ is erroneous. Where there are disagreements as to the interpretation of scientific data this should be acknowledged and addressed. Scientists need to recognise that they are advocates with vested interests too – in their case, in their own science.

JC reflections

The science-policy interface has become increasingly dysfunctional in recent decades, especially on topics where there is political disagreement.  Climate change is an obvious example, but there are many others.

The Brussel Declaration is very timely.  It rightly lays out responsibilities for scientists, social scientists, policy makers, the public, media, industry and interest groups.  I don’t agree with everything as stated in the Declaration but the Declaration is not intended to be dogmatic, but rather to serve as a spring-board for discussion of these issues.

As a group, scientists tend to be naive and unrealistic regarding the translation of their scientific  ‘facts’ or ‘factoids’ into policies.  Saying ‘trust me, I’m a scientist’ has increasingly become a trigger for public skepticism.

The role of Science Advisor in national governments plays a critical role in the function at the interface between science and policy.  President Obama’s Science Advisor, John Holdren, acted to politicize science and scientize politics — exactly what you DON’T want a Science Advisor to do.

President Trump has an opportunity to select a Science Advisor that can lay the ground work for restoring a healthy interface between science and policy.  I hope that he does not select a Science Advisor that is a partisan on one of the big science-policy controversies of the day, but rather someone who can frame a healthy relationship between science and policy.

 

 

 

via Climate Etc. https://judithcurry.com

February 25, 2017 at 04:05AM

Weekend Unthreaded

Weekend Unthreaded

via JoNovahttp://joannenova.com.au

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February 25, 2017 at 03:44AM

German Electric Power Giant Loses Staggering 5.7 Billion Euros in 2016 As Renewables Wreak Havoc!

German Electric Power Giant Loses Staggering 5.7 Billion Euros in 2016 As Renewables Wreak Havoc!

via NoTricksZonehttp://notrickszone.com

Germany’s second largest power producer, RWE, reported staggering losses of 5.7 billion euros over the fiscal 2016 year, after the company had posted a net loss of near 200 million euros for 2015.

RWE profits up in smoke as renewables crush wholesale prices. Image: RWE.

The latest results continue the growing string of woes occurring since 2013 when RWE posted a net loss of 2.76 billion euros – its first full-year loss since the power giant was founded in 1949.

Marketwatch here also reported that the Essen, Germany-based power company recommends scrapping the pay out of any dividends to shareholders. The scrapping of dividend payments would especially be a blow to stock owners such as municipal shareholders because they often depend on them each year to fund public facilities like schools and hospitals.

RWE scrapped dividend payments in 2015 as well.

The company booked impairment charges of 4.3 billion euros for electricity generation in 2016 “amid weak wholesale power prices“, Marketwatch reported.

Earnings were curtailed significantly through impairments of €4.3 billion. CEO of RWE AG Dr. Rolf Martin Schmitz: “The difficult market environment made impairments necessary. In addition, the nuclear energy fund imposed a substantial one-off burden on us.”

German wholesale power prices have massively eroded over the past years as a flood of highly subsidized wind and solar power has been given the right away into the power grid over fossil fuels. At times so much power is fed into the grid, especially on sunny and windy days, that the wholesale price even dips into negative territory, meaning power producers such as RWE have to pay to unload the surplus power.

Meanwhile many conventional plants must be always kept on standby for the many times wind and solar do not produce. The sub-capacity operation of the conventional power plants make them inefficient and non-profitable. On the consumer side, electricity prices have reached record levels at near 30 euro-cents per kilowatt-hour.

via NoTricksZone http://notrickszone.com

February 25, 2017 at 01:45AM

Radiation Physics Laws Give the Effect of CO2 on Earth’s Temperatures – A Primer

Radiation Physics Laws Give the Effect of CO2 on Earth’s Temperatures – A Primer

via Current News – Principia Scientific Internationalhttp://principia-scientific.org

Abstract: A new chemical process control systems engineering model of Earth’s atmosphere quantifies the effect of CO2 on Earth’s surface temperature. It uses the rigorous S-B radiant energy transfer rate law. The Earth’s surface and atmospheric temperatures are given explicitly as linear ordinary differential and algebraic equations; the only system properties needed are absorptivity and…

Click title above to read the full article

via Current News – Principia Scientific International http://ift.tt/1kjWLPW

February 25, 2017 at 01:42AM