The Met Office’s Model Muddle
In July, the UK Meteorological office announced a new study estimating the risk of monthly rainfall records being exceeded in any year between the months of October and March.

But the methods and result of this study are questionable. Emphasis on simulations of climate do not seem to give better advice than the historical record, which the Met Office seems to have ignored. This short film looks at a decade of Met Office failures, and suggests that observations may be a better guide to policymaking than computer models.

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