By Paul Homewood
Atlantic Hurricane Tracks – 2017
With the Atlantic now devoid of tropical cyclones, I trust we can declare the season closed.
As we all know, its been one of the busier seasons in recent years. But it may surprise many to find that it has not been that unusual.
There have been ten hurricanes this year, a total equalled or beaten on fourteen previous occasions.
Bear in mind as well, that comprehensive monitoring of the entire Atlantic basin only began in 1966. It is almost certain that hurricane numbers were greater prior to then.
There have been six major hurricanes this year, ie Cat3 and over. This is well below the record of eight set in 1950:
There were two Cat 5s, Irma and Maria, but again this is not unprecedented, as two such storms also occurred in 1932, 1933, 1961, 2005 and 2007.
Finally, Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) has totalled 230 this year.
The season of 1933 still remains way out in front. Again, remember that ACE was almost certainly underestimated in the early years because of the lack of observation.
Globally, ACE is actually running below average this year, whilst the 24-month running average is also unremarkable.
But I doubt if you will read any of these facts in the alarmist media.
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November 12, 2017 at 10:39AM