Month: June 2018

Daily News

Two More Major Actions Are Needed before We Can Celibrate Victory over the CIC

A number of skeptic observers have recently marked the one year anniversary of President Trump’s decision to leave the Paris accord (for which the Senate never approved US participation) with favorable comments concerning how it was the right decision and how much progress has been made in the last year in decreasing the Climate-Industrial Complex‘s (CIC’s) hold on the expenditure of resources on the CIC’s “decarbonization” campaign. I believe that President Trump made the right decision on the Paris accord, but that there are two vital additional changes that need to be made. These are the reevaluation of the EPA Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Finding and the elimination of Federal subsidies for building ever more unjustifiable “renewable” power plants. Only when both have been accomplished on a permanent basis will skeptic celebrations be in order.

As it is now, the CIC climate alarmist agenda may be back in business as soon as President Trump leaves office. Surely the country and world is better for the actions of the Trump Administration to reduce the influence of the CIC, but the likelihood that the CIC could in the end “win” is a sobering reality that unless these twin bases for the CIC stranglehold on the climate issue are accomplished by January, 2021, or possibly January, 2025, the changes made by the Trump Administration will soon vanish. The Endangerment Finding requires that EPA promulgate regulations to control carbon dioxide emissions, and the subsidy enables the CIC to force taxpayers to pick up the costs.

Without these subsidies, construction of additional solar and wind plants will come to an immediate end since they are not an efficient way to generate the reliable electricity needed for modern life. It is long past time to reevaluate the Endangerment Finding from a scientific viewpoint and to end the subsidies.

When and if these two actions are taken then we can rightfully celebrate victory over the CIC since it will be very difficult for them to resurrect the regulations and subsidies that make it possible for them to achieve their decarbonization agenda. The Endangerment Finding is best addressed by an EPA decision to start a reevaluation, which can be done entirely by the US Environmental Protection Agency, but is likely to lead to a long court review of the legal aspects of the reevaluation. This would take a number of years, so there is an urgent need to undertake this as soon as possible.

The subsidies require Congressional action and a resolve to never reinstitute them. Without the subsidies, new wind and solar projects will die a quick and well deserved death. It would also be very helpful if those states that offer homeowners retail prices for the unreliable wind and solar power they generate and sell to their utilities should only offer what the power is actually worth on the wholesale market (close to zero in most cases) rather than the full retail price which many but not all the states currently do. Both of these subsidies end up being paid by ratepayers and tax payers, and achieve no public purpose beyond enriching the homeowners involved and those who make and install the hardware involved.

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June 8, 2018 at 10:00PM

Daily News

Heavy snowfall across the Arctic – Near blizzard conditions in some areas – In June

Hard for the ice to melt when temperatures are below the freezing point.

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“My little brother works in Barrow, Alaska, says reader. “He just sent me this weather statement. Apparently their spring is still on hold. He tells me the oven is still frozen solid.”
_________________

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
Fri Jun 8 2018

Western Arctic Coast-Northern Arctic Coast-Central Beaufort Sea Coast-Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast-Northwestern Brooks Range-Northeastern Brooks Range-Including Wainwright, Atqasuk, Point Lay, Cape Lisburne, Barrow, Alaktak, Pitt Point, Nulavik, Nuiqsut, Prudhoe Bay, Alpine,
Deadhorse, Kuparuk, Kaktovik, Flaxman Island, Singiluk, Umiat, Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake, Sagwon, and Franklin Bluffs

…Storm will spread snow to the Arctic Coast and Brooks Range this weekend…

A strong storm will move into the Beaufort Sea Saturday spreading snow, colder temperatures, and strong gusty winds to the area
Saturday through Monday.

The storm will move over the North Pole tonight into the Beaufort Sea, and a weather front will move to the Arctic Coast east of
Wainwright by Saturday afternoon.

The front will spread snow over most of the coastal areas, the Arctic Plains, and the Brooks Range. Heavy snow will develop in
the Eastern Brooks Range mainly east of the Dalton Highway with up to 6 inches of snow possible. 2 to 4 inches of snow is expected
in Atigun Pass with lesser amounts on the coast and in the plains.

Temperatures will cool with lows falling into the mid 20s for most of the Arctic tonight, and highs in the lower 30s Saturday.
Temperatures will warm a degree or two on Sunday.

Winds will swing around to west and northwest tonight and increase to 20 to 35 mph by Saturday afternoon with the strongest
winds east of Nuiqsut. Gusts to between 45 and 55 mph are also possible from Deadhorse east. This will create near blizzard
conditions at times.

For the latest forecast and warning information go to www.weather.gov/fairbanks.

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=AKZ203&warncounty=AKC185&firewxzone=AKZ203&local_place1=Deadhorse%20Airport%20AK&product1=Special+Weather+Statement&lat=70.208&lon=-148.412

Thanks to Chuck Clancy for these links

The post Heavy snowfall across the Arctic – Near blizzard conditions in some areas – In June appeared first on Ice Age Now.

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June 8, 2018 at 06:32PM

Daily News

Record cold mornings if the Center of Russia 

In Moscow, on the calendar is June, but there is no summer heat.

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Record cold mornings if the Center of Russia 

The past night in most of the European territory was cold, the average daily air temperature was 2-4 degrees below the climatic norm. Above the central regions the average daily value lagged behind the perennial by 6 degrees.

Record low temperatures for June 6 were set in Tula +4.7, half a degree below the previous +5.2 set in 2008.

In Orel, the air cooled to +3.6°C, compared to the 1962 temperature of +5°C.

In Yelets, it dropped to +4.3°C, beating the previous record of +5.0°C set in 1968.

The upcoming night in the center of Russia will be cold, which means that the record low temperatures are again possible.
http://hmn.ru/index.php?index=1&ts=180607132155
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In Moscow, on the calendar is June, but there is no summer heat.

The average daily air temperature in Moscow is below long-term values ​​by 3-4 degrees.

And in coming days the invasion of cool air will continue. In the early morning hours in the capital of 5..7, in the Moscow region from 3 to 8 degrees.

On Sunday, the Moscow land will be in the city around +5°C, in suburbs 1..6°C.  The average daily air temperature will remain below perennial values ​​by 5-6°C.
http://hmn.ru/index.php?index=1&ts=180607115359
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Frosts on the Russian Plain

Arctic air last night settled over most of the European territory: from Karelia to the Kirov and Nizhny Novgorod regions, dropping to -1 ..- 2°C.

In Karelia and the Novgorod region to -1°C, in Arkhangelsk to -2°C, in Leningrad to -1°C, and on the surface of the soil to -4°C.

Last night, frosts to -1°C were observed in the Moscow, Ryazan, Kirov and Nizhny Novgorod regions, to -2°C in the Kostroma region.

On Friday night, fresh cool air will continue, dropping to -3°C in the central Murmansk region, in the south of the Komi to -2°C, in Karelia even more intense, up to -1 ..- 3°C. Frozen to -1°C will remain in the Kostroma and Volga-Vyatka regions. The next night, frosts will expand to the Middle Volga region to -2°C.
http://hmn.ru/index.php?index=1&ts=180607123156

Thanks to Martin Siebert for these links

 

The post Record cold mornings if the Center of Russia  appeared first on Ice Age Now.

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June 8, 2018 at 04:31PM

Daily News

Carbon14 Dating flaw discovered: CO2 uptake isn’t as predictable as once thought

Carbon dating accuracy called into question after major flaw discovery

by Colm Gorey

When news is announced on the discovery of an archaeological find, we often hear about how the age of the sample was determined using radiocarbon dating, otherwise simply known as carbon dating.

Deemed the gold standard of archaeology, the method was developed in the late 1940s and is based on the idea that radiocarbon (carbon 14) is being constantly created in the atmosphere by cosmic rays which then combine with atmospheric oxygen to form CO2, which is then incorporated into plants during photosynthesis.

When the plant or animal that consumed the foliage dies, it stops exchanging carbon with the environment and from there on in it is simply a case of measuring how much carbon 14 has been emitted, giving its age.

But new research conducted by Cornell University could be about to throw the field of archaeology on its head with the claim that there could be a number of inaccuracies in commonly accepted carbon dating standards.

If this is true, then many of our established historical timelines are thrown into question, potentially needing a re-write of the history books.

In a paper published to the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the team led by archaeologist Stuart Manning identified variations in the carbon 14 cycle at certain periods of time throwing off timelines by as much as 20 years.

The possible reason for this, the team believes, could be due to climatic conditions in our distant past.

…

This is because pre-modern carbon 14 chronologies rely on standardised northern and southern hemisphere calibration curves to determine specific dates and are based on the assumption that carbon 14 levels are similar and stable across both hemispheres.

However, atmospheric measurements from the last 50 years show varying carbon 14 levels throughout. Additionally, we know that plants typically grow at different times in different parts of the northern hemisphere.

Read more at Silicon republic

 

The paper: (open access) http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2018/05/23/1719420115

Fluctuating radiocarbon offsets observed in the southern Levant and implications for archaeological chronology debates

Significance

We observe a substantive and fluctuating offset in measured radiocarbon ages between plant material growing in the southern Levant versus the standard Northern Hemisphere radiocarbon calibration dataset derived from trees growing in central and northern Europe and North America. This likely relates to differences in growing seasons with a climate imprint. This finding is significant for, and affects, any radiocarbon application in the southern Levant region and especially for high-resolution archaeological dating—the focus of much recent work and scholarly debate, especially surrounding the timeframe of the earlier Iron Age (earlier Biblical period). Our findings change the basis of this debate; our data point to lower (more recent) ages by variously a few years to several decades.

Abstract

Considerable work has gone into developing high-precision radiocarbon (14C) chronologies for the southern Levant region during the Late Bronze to Iron Age/early Biblical periods (∼1200–600 BC), but there has been little consideration whether the current standard Northern Hemisphere 14C calibration curve (IntCal13) is appropriate for this region. We measured 14C ages of calendar-dated tree rings from AD 1610 to 1940 from southern Jordan to investigate contemporary 14C levels and to compare these with IntCal13. Our data reveal an average offset of ∼19 14C years, but, more interestingly, this offset seems to vary in importance through time. While relatively small, such an offset has substantial relevance to high-resolution 14C chronologies for the southern Levant, both archaeological and paleoenvironmental. For example, reconsidering two published studies, we find differences, on average, of 60% between the 95.4% probability ranges determined from IntCal13 versus those approximately allowing for the observed offset pattern. Such differences affect, and even potentially undermine, several current archaeological and historical positions and controversies.

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June 8, 2018 at 04:09PM