Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.

• George Orwell

Arctic sea ice volume is normal, and highest in 13 years.

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icethickness/txt/IceVol.txt

FullSize_CICE_combine_thick_SM_EN_20180605.png (1337×1113)

Polar temperatures are far below normal and below the freezing point.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Greenland’s surface has gained 600 billion tons of ice since last September 1.

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI

Meanwhile, the press and scientific community continues to tell the exact opposite fake news.

via The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

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June 6, 2018 at 05:49AM

Global ocean air temps are now the lowest since April 2015, and those in the Southern Hemisphere the lowest since May 2013.

Presently sea surface temperatures (SST) are the best available indicator of heat content gained or lost from earth’s climate system.  Enthalpy is the thermodynamic term for total heat content in a system, and humidity differences in air parcels affect enthalpy.  Measuring water temperature directly avoids distorted impressions from air measurements.  In addition, ocean covers 71% of the planet surface and thus dominates surface temperature estimates.  Eventually we will likely have reliable means of recording water temperatures at depth.

Recently, Dr. Ole Humlum reported from his research that air temperatures lag 2-3 months behind changes in SST.  He also observed that changes in CO2 atmospheric concentrations lag behind SST by 11-12 months.  This latter point is addressed in a previous post Who to Blame for Rising CO2?

The May update to HadSST3 will appear later this month, but in the meantime we can look at lower troposphere temperatures (TLT) from UAHv6 which are already posted for May. The temperature record is derived from microwave sounding units (MSU) on board satellites like the one pictured above.

The UAH dataset includes temperature results for air above the oceans, and thus should be most comparable to the SSTs. The graph below shows monthly anomalies for ocean temps since January 2015.

The anomalies have reached the same levels as 2015.  Taking a longer view, we can look at the record since 1995, that year being an ENSO neutral year and thus a reasonable starting point for considering the past two decades.  On that basis we can see the plateau in ocean temps is persisting. Since last October all oceans have cooled, with upward bumps in Feb. 2018, now erased.

As of May 2018, global ocean temps are slightly lower than April and below the average since 1995.  NH remains higher, but not enough to offset much lower temps in SH and Tropics (between 20N and 20S latitudes).  Global ocean air temps are now the lowest since April 2015, and SH the lowest since May 2013.

The details of UAH ocean temps are provided below.  The monthly data make for a noisy picture, but seasonal fluxes between January and July are important.

The greater volatility of the Tropics is evident, leading the oceans through three major El Nino events during this period.  Note also the flat period between 7/1999 and 7/2009.  The 2010 El Nino was erased by La Nina in 2011 and 2012.  Then the record shows a fairly steady rise peaking in 2016, with strong support from warmer NH anomalies, before returning to the 22-year average.

Full post

via The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

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June 6, 2018 at 04:04AM

Australia’s enviable prosperity is the product of reliable and affordable energy. The path out of poverty starts and ends with cheap and readily available electricity. A bit over a generation ago China determined to leave behind its agrarian misery and to modernise, with a view to becoming an industrial superpower. It’s achieved that status, thanks … Continue reading "Renewables Rejected: Modern Coal-Fired Plants Powering Asian Prosperity"

via STOP THESE THINGS

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June 6, 2018 at 02:31AM

Relationships with China are the subject of many news items lately.
China’s “rightful place in the world” is a phrase we often hear and now “sinophobia” is being bandied around.
Anybody reading this blog is likely well aware of all the above so I will cut to the chase and summarize recent history how I see it.
After the economic failures and deaths of millions in the Mao years the more worldly Deng Xiaoping assumed power, we heard more about “capitalist roaders” and the 1980’s witnessed steady growth of the economy. At the end of the 1980’s the USSR imploded and many in the West thought “history had ended” and there was no more need to be vigilant guarding Western security & prosperity won over the bodies of millions over centuries.
As the chart shows the Chinese economy grew at a more rapid pace in the 1990’s and maybe in that decade leading Western nations should have come to a clear treaty understanding with China about the following. I realize diplomats would not express all this as plainly as I will. Here is what should have been conveyed.
We in the West welcome the improved Chinese economy and better living standards for hundreds of millions of your hard working people. However China should realize that in order to keep growing your economy you need to participate in the Western capitalist system.
The West expects your political structure to evolve to be more democratic, we were alarmed and shocked by the Tiananmen Square massacre but as you know we did little.
The West will not encourage the growth of a potentially dangerous colossal communist dictatorship in effect parasitic on our hard won capitalist economic system, the most successful in global history.
So there you have it – we need assurances about your political evolution or expect China to be blocked from full participation in the Western economic system as it suits us.
Now OK that “treaty with China” never happened but many in the West probably had a belief that China would evolve towards a democracy. Just as in the 1930’s many “useful idiots” in the West assumed the USSR and the West would converge – never happened. Now we know that China is trending towards an aggressive communist dictatorship, witness the 2014 onslaught of building military bases in the South China Sea and other aggressive moves disputing islands further north. More recently we have seen President Xi confirmed as ruler for life – exactly the opposite of increased democratization.
That explains my main point – keeping this short but there is a vast area to discuss later in the light of my contention.

via Errors in IPCC climate science

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June 6, 2018 at 02:25AM