We are obsessed by time series, and rightly so. Daily changes in the stock market; monthly movements of unemployment or inflation; annual trends in birthrates or immigration; these graphs are the key to understanding the direction in which our society is heading, and how fast. It is quite impossible to formulate sensible economic or social … Continue reading "Twice as Likely as Not: Attribution of Increased Probability of Discrete Events"
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August 5, 2018 at 09:50PM