Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

I will be at this meeting:  Next week, 300+ scientists will exchange ideas on and variations on subseasonal to decadal timescales. Watch the meeting live: [link]

“Potential surface hydrologic responses to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations and land use and land cover changes” [link] Illustrates that land use/land management is a 1st order human climate forcing.

On the Relative Roles of the Atmosphere and Ocean in the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability [link]

NGeo: Hydrologic cycle controls on aerosols preserved in Antarctic ice [link]

Sea level rise doesn’t necessarily spell doom for coastal wetlands [link]

Researchers conduct a comprehensive review of summer weather stalling, focusing on the influence of amplification and how it could interact with other factors influenced by . [link]

How net nitrous oxide & methane emissions from irrigated rice farms across the world can be reduced by up to 60% by shallow intermittent flooding alone.[link]

The strange science of melting ice sheets: three things you didn’t know [link]

No impact of anthropogenic aerosols on early 21st century global temperature trends in a large initial‐condition ensemble [link]

Wunsch:  Towards determining uncertainties in global ocean heat, salt and surface elevation.  [link]

“The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America” [link]

how deep learning can be used in a climate model to parameterize convection.[link]

Better data for modeling the sun’s influence on climate [link]

Can we use ocean temperatures in the Arctic to predict temperatures in Europe? [link

Scientists call for steps to improve air-quality forecasts [link]

Atlantic’s overturning decreases w/warming in models due to GHG, but overturning & warming have opposite relationship in internal variability. How does forced response compare w/variability? Check it out: [link]

Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005–2016 [link]

Indus River Basin: Future climate and water budget [link]

Hysteresis and Resilience of the AMOC in an Eddy‐Permitting GCM [link]

Shifts in Precipitation Accumulation Extremes During the Warm Season Over the United States (open access) [link]

Is long-term climate memory important in temperature/precipitation predictions over China?[link]

Atmospheric CO2 growth rate strongly related to observed variations in global land water storage (dry and wet years). Present-day carbon cycle models underestimate this relationship. [link]

Modelling the impacts of projected sea ice decline on the low atmosphere and near‐surface permafrost on the North Slope of Alaska [link]

ENSO’s changing influence on temp, precip, and wildfire in a warming  [link

Probabilistic verification of Arctic sea ice edge forecasts [link]

Reconstructing 800 years of summer temperatures in Scotland from tree rings [link]

“We are creating a New Pangea,” “What plate tectonics did over tens of millions of years is being undone by shipping in a few centuries and aviation in a few decades.” [link]

Ozone-depleting chemicals may have caused the largest mass extinction in history [link]

Historical black carbon deposition in the Canadian High Arctic: a >250-year long ice-core record from Devon Island (open access) [link]

Southern Ocean absorbs less CO2 than previously thought [link]

Lovejoy: The spectra, intermittency and extremes of weather, macroweather and climate,  [link]

Conditions associated with rain field size for tropical cyclones landfalling over the Eastern United States [link]

An researcher realized air pollution was impacting the output of solar panels in urban environments. Now, that research shows the effects of haze can mean the difference between success and loss. [link]

Re‐Framing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States (open access) [link]

“The analysis indicates possible links in the prediction skill of AO with the SST forcing from the tropics”-Causes of skill in seasonal predictions of the Arctic Oscillation- [link]

Extratropical Atmospheric Predictability From the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation in Subseasonal Forecast Models [link

Peter Bauer of ECMWF on numerical weather prediction [link]

.

Social science and policy

Walter Russell Mead: The conventional green movement is stuck; to succeed, it needs to ditch the hair shirt and go high tech.[link]

The secret entrepreneurial lives of animals [link]

Economic anatomy of optimal climate policy [link]

Let’s stop treating our soil like dirt. [link]

Ernest Moniz notes that the lack of seasonal energy storage will be a real challenge for California’s 100% clean electricity bill, an issue nearly all the researchers I speak with stress (And it’s not a problem lithium-ion seems well suited for.) [link]

The Cost of Certitude [link]

Why land use is vital for meeting the 1.5C climate goal [link]

About science and scientists

The woman who smashed codes: the untold story of cryptography pioneer Elizabeth Friedman [link]

Echo chamber incites mob to attack maths prof [link]

“There are two main reasons we have authorship: credit and responsibility. I think both are in danger.” Ioannidis [link]

Why the web has challenged scientists’ authority – and why they need to adapt [link]

Psychologist Rick Mehta’s statement regarding his dismissal from Acadia university [link]

Michael Mann receives AGU’s Climate Communication Prize [link]

Peter Gleick: I’m deeply honored to be the recipient of the 2018 Carl Sagan Prize for Science Popularization. His early efforts to communicate the wonders of science to the public and policy makers were inspirational to a whole generation. [link]

Is there a better, more “scientific” way of doing climate history, one that takes the messy subjectivity out of historical scholarship? [link] 

Is statistics meeting the needs of science? [link]

How ideological bias in academia hampers the search for truth [link]

John Ioannidis, the scientific equivalent of the Fourth Horseman of the Apocalypse, aims his bazooka at nutrition science. By

As climate scientists speak out, sexist attacks are on the rise (of course, I don’t ‘count’) [link]

 

via Climate Etc.

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September 15, 2018 at 10:39AM

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