Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Important new paper analyzing troposphere/stratosphere measurements and implications for understanding climate change [link]

Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections [link]

Heinrich events show two-stage climate response in transient glacial simulations [link]  

Diagnosing the impacts of Northern Hemisphere surface albedo biases on simulated climate [link

Towards operational prediction of near-term climate [link]

Rapidly receding Arctic Canada glaciers revealing landscapes continuously ice-covered for more than 40,000 years [link]

Implications for Lindzen’s iris hypothesis:  Self-aggregation of deep convection and its implication for climate [link]

Any influence of the 11-year solar cycle in the winter North Atlantic Oscillation is not significant. [link]

Ocean mesoscale mixing linked to climate variability [link]

What Thwaites glacier can tell us about the future of West Antarctica [link]

Four decades of Antarctic Ice Sheet mass balance from 1979-2017 [link]

Massive controversy, including attacks on dissenting scientists: How much can forests fight climate change? [link]

“We conclude that the QBO can potentially provide another source of skill for Northern Hemisphere winter prediction” [link

Aerosol-driven droplet concentrations dominate coverage and water content for oceanic low level clouds – key cloud feedback [link]

Modeling the recent changes in the Arctic Ocean CO2 sink (2006–2013) [link]  

Snow cover trends in Finland over 1961‐2014 based on gridded snow depth observations [link]  

Timescale for detecting the climate response to st ratospheric aerosol geoengineering  [link]

(Re)presenting urban heat islands in Australian cities: A study of media reporting and implications for urban heat and climate change debates [link] 

Are the near-Antarctic easterly winds weakening in response to enhancement of the Southern Annular Mode? [link]  

The solar cycle’s potential impact on weather and climate [link]

Exploring uncertainty in streamflow estimates [link]

The effect of Arctic sea‐ice loss on the Hadley circulation [link

Why Antarctica’s sea ice cover is so low (and no, it’s not just about climate change) [link]

Coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions that lead to the extreme 2017 Coast El Niño event [link]

A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling [link]

20th century redistribution in the drivers of global tree growth [link]

Global atmospheric CO2 inverse models converging on neutral tropical land exchange, but disagreeing on fossil fuel and atmospheric growth rate [link]  

Permafrost is warming at a global scale [link]

Ocean Circulation Signatures of North Pacific Decadal Variability  [link]  

“Although the amount of water contained in the snowpack has declined over the past century, it has been surprisingly stable since the 1980s, despite 1 °C of warming over the same period. ” [link

1D scaling analysis of the ice dynamics suggests that the currently destabilized glaciers are the fastest of all possible MIS-instabilities in #Antarctica. [link

New insight from CryoSat-2 sea ice thickness for sea ice modelling [link

Clarifying the relative role of forcing uncertainties and initial‐condition unknowns in spreading the climate response to volcanic eruptions  [link

How Ningaloo Nino supercharges El Nino [link]

A decadal dataset of global atmospheric dust retrieved from IASI satellite measurements [link]  

Greenland Near-Surface Land Air Temperature Data from Berkeley Earth Present Some Surprises [link]  

Heterogeneous changes in western North American #glaciers linked to decadal variability in zonal wind strength. [link

Uncertainty representations of sea level rise: a telephone game? [link]

 Arctic sea ice (Barents-Kara Sea) anomalies can modulate vertical wave propagation and stratosphere-troposphere coupling in weak polar vortex events [link]  

Millennial‐scale Vulnerability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to Regional Ice Shelf Collapse [link]

Significant Biologically‐mediated CO2 Uptake in the Pacific Arctic During the Late Open Water Season [link]  

Irrigation in the Indian subcontinent strongly modulates water budget and land surface temperature  [link]   

Adapting attribution science to the climate extremes of tomorrow [link]

Disentangling California’s Droughts. [link]
·
Recent review papers on #Arctic climate variability:
+ [Arctic-Midlatitude summer linkages] [link
+ [Arctic-Midlatitude winter linkages] [link]  
+ [Siberian Snow Teleconnection] [link
+ [Arctic Sea Ice] [link]  
.

Social science, technology & policy

Article says high-pressure air in deep saline aquifers could store immense amounts of energy, sufficient to keep the lights on in Britain for a couple of months. [link]

Some of the best environmental #peacebuilding work in the world is currently taking place in Wadi El Ku, Sudan. A @UNEnvironment project has helped triple crop yield, increase farmers’ income, and improve community-based natural resources management [link]  

Incorporation of inland flooding into hurricane evacuation decision support modeling [link]

for Minnesota, it is cheaper to overbuild (and curtail) renewable energy than it is to build long-term storage. [link]

Warming trends in summer heatwaves [link

German wine makers see boon in climate change [link]

EC Report:  Climate Change Adaptation: research, science and innovation [link]

Second largest earthquake in South Korean history tied to geothermal plant [link]

Reshaping Africa’s rural food systems and cutting food losses [link]

Factors influencing the adaptation of farmers in response to climate change: a review [link]

US Oil Boom Is Headed Into Uncharted Territory — 12 Million Barrels Per Day [link

Groundwater monitoring reports at #coalash sites are starting to show widespread contamination from health-harming heavy metals like arsenic. [link]
.

About science & scientists

This is not reality:  excellent analysis of uncertainty and validation in modeling [link]

Feeling Exhausted. That’s how many #womeninscience feel having to fight the constant battles, big and small. [link]

Long but fascinating read: Is ancient DNA research revealing new truths, or falling into old traps? [link]

Finally, a good paper on ‘motivated reasoning’. [link]

“Our habit of dismissing the doomsday messages broadcast by right-wing media has prevented those of us on the left from getting an accurate read on the state of campus free expression.” [link]

“The National Science Foundation and philosophy of science’s withdrawal from social concerns.” [link]

New Institute for Integrity in Science [link]

Listening to people who think we are wrong [link]

Scientific progress is build on failure [link]

Problems with second-order logic: Metalogic and the overgeneration argument [link]

via Climate Etc.

http://bit.ly/2B5nXiC

January 26, 2019 at 12:35PM

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