By Paul Homewood

An important new paper from GWPF:

For example, while warming might be expected to be fairly uniform, measurements suggest that it is regionalised, with parts of the South Pacific, in particular, warming more than elsewhere.

As the report’s author, Dr David Whitehouse, says, it is hard to draw firm conclusions about what is happening in the seas:

“The oceans can absorb far more heat than the atmosphere, so temperatures changes are extremely small and therefore hard to measure reliably.”

“The energy that would raise the temperature of the atmosphere by 4 degrees C would only raise the ocean temperature by a thousands of a degree, barely detectable.”

“Measuring changes in the ocean heat content are at the limits of our current capability and are made with significant uncertainties and unknowns.”

A recent claim that warming of the oceans was accelerating had to be withdrawn after errors were found in its uncertainty estimates by an independent scientist.

https://www.thegwpf.org/ocean-temperature-changes-are-uneven-and-uncertain/

This is the paper:

https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2019/11/Cold-Water-Whitehouse.pdf

David Whitehouse covers three points, which I have been belabouring for some time:

1) The global distribution of ocean warming has been patchy to say the least. The theory claims that GHGs are directly warming the oceans, but if this was the case we should see its effect worldwide.

The fact we don’t implies that natural factors are much more powerful than the supposed effect of GHGs.

2) The heat content of the oceans is so vast that any theoretical effect from GHGs is so tiny as to be virtually unmeasurable, even with ARGO buoys. Prior to those, any measurements should be treated with the utmost circumspect.

3) Ocean cycles can have powerful climatic impacts, and are long term, slow moving events. They are also not well understood.

We cannot be certain that recent warming of the oceans is not just a part of a much longer term, natural event.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

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November 9, 2019 at 01:30PM