Earth and climate – an ongoing controversy

Below are a few quotes from the GWPF article. More discussion with graphics via the link. Is the handbrake about to be re-applied to so-called human-caused warming of the planet, in contradiction of alarmist ‘projections’?

Back around 2014 many people, me included, were commenting on the discrepancy between climate models and observations [writes Ross McKitrick].
. . .
The IPCC itself in the 5th Assessment Report (2013) noted that out of 114 model runs, 111 had overstated observed warming since the late 1990s.

That same year, Hans von Storch told Der Spiegel that

If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations.”

But before 2018 came along, the modelers were saved by the El.

El Niño, that is. The powerful 2015-16 El Niño caused temperatures to surge, apparently erasing the discrepancy. It was just in the nick of time.
. . .
Well it’s a couple of years later and the El Niño heat has mostly gone from the climate system. What does the model-observational comparison look like now?
. . .
The El Niño disguised the model-observational discrepancy for a few years, but it’s coming back.
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Source here.

via Tallbloke’s Talkshop

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November 13, 2019 at 03:25AM