Bob Ward’s Fake Claims Of Heatwave Deaths

By Paul Homewood

 

 

h/t Ian Magness

 

More garbage from the Telegraph:

 

 

 image

To attempt to compare the UK climate with the Pacific Northwest is not only absurd, but highly irresponsible. The latter frequently sees temperatures well over 100F, for the simple reason of its close proximity to the hot deserts of Nevada.

Bob Ward, of course, is not an “expert”, as the Telegraph claim, but the PR man for the Grantham Foundation, whose sole purpose is the promulgation of climate alarmism.

But what about these thousands of heat related deaths in 2019 (not last summer as Ward or the Telegraph have incompetently claimed)?

As Ward certainly knows, it is winter, and not summer, when deaths peak:

 

 image

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/excesswintermortalityinenglandandwales/2018to2019provisionaland2017to2018final

 

And 2019 was no exception. As is always the case, it was summer which recorded the fewest deaths.

image

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/monthlyfiguresondeathsregisteredbyareaofusualresidence

If we compare the summer of 2019 with recent summers, we see that there were fewer deaths than in 2016 and 2017, when summer temperatures were below average and there were no notable heatwaves.

Also note that the very hot summer of 2018 recorded fewer deaths than those two years:

 

image

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/monthlyfiguresondeathsregisteredbyareaofusualresidence 

 

It is difficult to make longer term comparisons of actual deaths, because the number of deaths each year tends to rise as the population gets older. This is why the ONS use Age Standardised Mortality Rates for long term comparisons, as they explain:

Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) allow for differences in the age structure of populations and therefore allow valid comparisons to be made between geographic areas, over time and between sexes.

 

The best way to compare summer deaths is to calculate the percentage of annual deaths. When we do this, we find that death rates in both 2018 and 2019 were well below most other years since 2011:

 

 image

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/monthlyfiguresondeathsregisteredbyareaofusualresidence

 

In short, Ward’s claims are utterly fake. Shame on the Telegraph for printing this rubbish.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/3wPH5v5

July 20, 2021 at 05:48AM

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