Has Bob Ward Heard Of The AMO?

By Paul Homewood

 

Bob Ward makes a fool of himself again!

 

 

 

 image

 

 

Yes, the number of major Atlantic hurricanes has increased in the last four decades, but this is because of the AMO, not climate change, as NOAA explain:

 

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https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/faq/amo_faq.php

The AMO moved into its warm phase around 1995, following thirty years in its cold phase. Prior to that it was in its warm cycle between the 1930s and 50s:

 

image

https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/gcos_wgsp/tsanalysis.pl?tstype1=91&tstype2=0&year1=&year2=&itypea=0&axistype=0&anom=0&plotstyle=0&climo1=&climo2=&y1=&y2=&y21=&y22=&length=&lag=&iall=0&iseas=0&mon1=0&mon2=11&Submit=Calculate+Results

And when we check out the data for major Atlantic hurricanes, we find that they were just as frequent as now during that earlier warm phase:

 

 image

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd-faq/#1569507388495-a5aa91bb-254c

There has been no trend in major hurricanes worldwide since 1990, confirming the cyclical effect of the AMO:

 

 image

http://climatlas.com/tropical/

This is why the IPCC say there is “low confidence” in long term (multi decadal to centennial) trends in tropical cyclones.

If the clown Bob Ward does not know this, he is incompetent.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/3ju4tuY

August 30, 2021 at 12:48PM

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