Obfuscation and greenwash in the name of climate policy exposed once again.
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Claims of low cost were based on “grossly misleading” assumptions, says The Global Warming Policy Forum.
* Highly optimistic assumptions about EV costs have been called into question by the actual development of EV costs since the CCC advised Parliament
* Committee on Climate Change spreadsheets only revealed after 2 year freedom of information campaign
* Costs could be £60,000 per per household higher than the CCC estimates that MPs used when they were considering Net Zero legislation
London, 26 September – The Sunday Telegraph reports today that Parliament was misled into supporting Net Zero plans to decarbonise the economy.
The Climate Change Committee (CCC) told MPs that British households and businesses would face only a modest cost for reaching Net Zero emissions in 2050, but analysis of their financial models by the Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) shows that key assumptions were not credible even at the time the report was published.
The revelations come after the CCC spent two years and tens of thousands of pounds resisting attempts to have the Net Zero model spreadsheets released under Freedom of Information legislation. The Information Tribunal finally forced their disclosure in August this year.
The first results of the GWPF’s analysis focus on the Transport sector costings. The work reveals that the CCC’s claims that decarbonisation could be achieved at no net cost was based on wildly optimistic and sometimes bizarre assumptions.
According to GWPF Deputy Director Andrew Montford:
When they published their report in 2019, the CCC said that small electric car prices would have fallen to around £13,000 by 2021. However, the CCC’s figures for 2019 EV prices were wildly wrong at the time they published their report, so it’s unsurprising that the current cost of a small electric car is double, or even triple their estimate.”
If instead of the CCC’s optimistic assumptions, we project a realistic decline in EV costs, this adds a staggering £1.8 trillion to the cost of Net Zero, or £60,000 per household, and altogether wipes out the claimed net benefit of decarbonising the transport sector.
Dr Benny Peiser, GWPF director said:
Lord Deben, chairman of the Climate Change Committee, told Parliament the Net Zero report was ‘the most seriously presented, costed effort’ – but it is now clear that the CCC’s costings were incomplete, biased, and grossly misleading.
Parliament was, in essence, misled and Net Zero was badly mis-sold. The public is now facing the price for that deception.”
In a striking new development, the Sunday Telegraph is also reporting that they were initially given misleading information by the CCC, in an attempt to cover up the error and prevent publication. Only repeated requests for clarification revealed the truth.
Dr Peiser said that the CCC’s attempts to whitewash the matter meant that this supposedly independent advisor to government could no longer be seen as a credible source:
The CCC spent years trying to hide their absurd assumptions, and even after the Information Tribunal compelled them to release their spreadsheets, they tried to throw the Sunday Telegraph off the scent. I don’t think Parliament or the public can ever trust them again.”
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
September 26, 2021 at 04:42AM