Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry

A few things that have caught my eye these past several weeks.

Using a medium-range weather forecast model that predicted the European heatwave of February 2019, researchers demonstrate the utility of forecast-based approaches in attributing human influence on isolated extreme weather events. http://ow.ly/6HpS50H0kXt

Warm phase of AMV damps ENSO through weakened thermocline feedback [link]

More plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5oC warming by 2100 [link]

Does regional hydroclimate scale linearly with global warming? [link]

Assessing the dependence struture between oceanographic, fluvial, and pluvial flooding drivers along the U.S. coastline [link]

Storylines of weather-induced crop failure events under climate change [link]

The Great Chicago Flood of 1849 [link]

Climate change is making the Antarctic Circumpolar Current flow faster [link]

The Combined QBO and ENSO Influence on Tropical Cyclone Activity over the North Atlantic Ocean” [link]

How well do CMIP models simulate heat waves? Not very well [link]

Progress in understanding of Indian Ocean circulation, variability, air–sea exchange, and impacts on biogeochemistry [link]

Impact of anthropogenic emissions on future glacial cycles [link]

Special issue on Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) [link]

Improved estimates of pre-industrial biomass burning [link]

Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability [link]

Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability [link]

Why study geysers? [link]

Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events [link]

On the controlling factors for globally extreme humid heat [link]

influence of the Kuroshio and of the Gulf Stream on the nearby coastal sea level https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1449-2021…

Mount Everest and the Alps are weirdly getting taller [link]

A simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WGI to the assessment and communication of climate change risks [link]

response of the Asian monsoon to the collapse of the North Atlantic circulation during the penultimate deglaciation [link]

the #Antarctic ice sheet went through repeated phases of abrupt destabilization in the past that lasted for centuries. [link]

First, do no harm: Scaling usable knowledge for just and equitable outcomes [link]

A history of the global carbon budget [link]

Past megadroughts in central Europe were longer, more severe and less warm than modern droughts https://nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00130-w#Bib1

The dominant mechanism driving Greenland’s recent ice melt (surface) has been downwelling shortwave radiation modulated by changes in cloud and wind patterns. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL090653

[Do CMIP models capture long-term observed annual precipitation trends? Nope [link]

Policy and Technology

Politics of attributing extreme events and disasters to climate change [link]

How are we going to build all that clean energy infrastructure? [link]

Carbon accounting loophole: Millions of tons of carbon emissions that don’t officially exist – the biomass loophole [link]

Why the climate panic about Africa is wrong [link]

Think climate change is messy? Wait until geoengineering [link]

Could roads recharge electric cars? The technology could be close [link]

Health co-benefits of climate change mitigation depend on strategic power plant retirements and pollution controls [link]

Nuclear shines bright at COP26 [link]

Reimagining coastal cities as sponges to protect them from climate change risks [link]

Some big investors are backing nuclear energy [link]

“…there are growing concerns that the rapid growth in land purchases for carbon offsetting will push up land prices and rents, displacing local communities”. [link]

Glyphosate herbicide key driver of reduced carbon emissions in agriculture, academic study finds https://geneticliteracyproject.org/2021/11/24/glyphosate-herbicide-key-driver-of-reduced-carbon-emissions-in-agriculture-academic-study-finds/…

Reactions to the current energy crisis bode ill for GHG emissions reductions [link]

NASA is practicing asteroid deflection [link]

Demand-side solution can cut GHG emissions in half by 2050 – and improve quality of life. [link]

The enormous hole that whaling left behind [link]

Rich countries climate policies are Colonialism in green [link]

Indian PM slams “COLONIAL MINDSET” of Western Leaders – threatening India’s growth prospects in the name of Climate [link]

India’s coal phase out challenge [link]

The role of urban trees in reducing land surface temperatures in European cities. [link]

How to slash the shipping industry’s enormous carbon emissions [link]

Is mud construction a partial solution to extreme heat? [link]

UN crowns nuclear as the lowest carbon electricity source [link]

We are hearing a lot new climate pledges this week at COP, but they are often still built on flawed “net zero” logic. It’s time to do better. [link]

Separating signal from noise at the COP26 [link]

First time this new power cycle, the zero-emissions supercritical CO2 Allam-Fetvedt cycle, is producing electricity for export to a regional synchronized AC grid. [link]

Can the auto industry meet the ambitious COP26 pledges? [link]

America isn’t ready for the electric vehicle revolution [link]

How climate activists caused the global energy crisis [link]

“Costs due to extreme weather events have had marginal macroeconomic impacts in Europe” https://scopegroup.com/dam/jcr:eb50a1cd-7bcd-46db-a2fe-80fa9b1d76da/Scope%20Ratings_Extreme%20climate%20events_2021%20Nov.pdf

Climate change programs are rife with corruption – the clowns are running the circus [link]

Nuclear fusion is close enough to start dreaming [link]

the clean cow [link]

The technology that could turn buildings into climate fighting tools [link]

The costs of mining [link]

“A developed country is not a place where the poor have cars. It’s where the rich use public transportation.” Why Tokyo Works. [link]

Decarbonisation requires a return to strategic planning non market-led shock therapy [link]

About science and scientists

US Research Universities and the National Interest [link]

Darwin’s brilliant strategy for preempting criticism [link]

Scientific gullibility [link]

How to erode academic freedom – the playbook [link]

Civilization and the culture of science [link]

A survey by @Nature of @IPCC_CH authors found that 88% said the world is in “climate crisis”. https://nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02990-w…

Replacing academic journals [link]

Yes, there is a third way on wokeness [link]

UN climate panel confronts implausibly hot forecasts of future warming [link]

The tragedy of the Climate Wars: a scathing review of Mann’s book by Mike Hulme [link]

Dan Sarewitz: How good is science? [link]

What should Bayesians do when their awareness grows? [link]

The effects of “emergency” and “crisis” framing in climate change news [link]

Michael Shermer: Scientific American goes woke [link]

Manufacturing consensus [link]

A veneer of objectivity [link]

How 12th century Genoese merchants invented the idea of risk [link]

Paper by Ted Shepherd on connecting physical reasoning and statistical practice in climate science research: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-021-03226-6…

A billion dollar donation: estimating the cost of researchers’ time spent on peer review [link]

via Climate Etc.

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December 11, 2021 at 12:44PM

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