Extreme Weather Last Month? Sorry, I Must Have Missed It!

By Paul Homewood


The BBC’s weather forecasters are obviously under instruction to label our weather “extreme”, whenever the opportunity arises:





According to Sarah Keith-Lucas, a few dry Aprils in the last few years means that Aprils are becoming more extreme at both the dry and wet ends. As usual, she is talking poppycock.

According to the Met Office data, only one April since 1980 appears in the ten driest since 1936. This was in fact last year, hence the attempt to fool the public while it is still fresh in people’s minds.

April 2012 obviously appears as an outlier as the wettest, but it is the only one on the list of wettest since 2000. It certainly is not part of any “trend”, as she claims.




This April ended up being only the 52nd driest in 187 years, well within the normal range. In Sarah’s world, of course, anything above or below average is extreme and must be due to global warming!

Much more significant are the seasonal trends, which show that springs have certainly been wetter than they were during the 19thC, but are little different now to the early 20thC. Springs were also noticeably much wetter in the 1980s:

The reality is that no sane person would call the weather we had last month “extreme”, unless you are a BBC weather girl.



May 2, 2022 at 05:42AM

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