BBC/Met Office Heatwave Predictions Backfire

By Paul Homewood

 

There was inevitably much hype from the BBC/Met Office about a bit of pleasant weather last week, and the inevitable blaming on climate change:

 

 

 image

The UK has recorded its hottest day of the year so far, with temperatures set to rise on Friday, the Met Office said.

Northolt, west London, saw temperatures reach 29.5C (85.1F), surpassing the previous hottest day of the year on Wednesday which saw 28.2C (82.8F).

On Friday the mercury is expected to rise to 34C in the south east of England, exceeding temperatures in parts of Jamaica and the Maldives.

Across most of England and Wales, highs of between 27C and 30C are expected.

The Met Office said the "unusual" temperatures for June were a result of high pressure over the southern half of the UK and a south-westerly airflow bringing warm air across the UK and Europe.

The weather has not yet beaten the record for the hottest June day ever, which was a high of 35.6C at Southampton Mayflower Park in June 1976.

Dr Mark McCarthy, head of the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, said climate change had increased the average temperatures of UK summers and the likelihood of experiencing more extreme temperatures during hot spells and heatwaves.

He said: "Reaching 34C during June is a rare, but not unprecedented, event in the historical climate records for the UK.

"But if it should happen this week it would be notable that it would have occurred on three days during the last six Junes."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-61831290 

 

Friday came and went, but as the actual data showed afterwards, the weather was not remarkable at all.

Temperatures peaked at 32.7C, well below the record for June of 35.6C , set in 1957 and 1976:

image

image 

And as Dr McCarthy should know, hot days like these are WEATHER EVENTS, NOT CLIMATE!

CET hit 28.2C on Friday 17th, again in no way an unusual temperature for June. There have been 46 days of 28C and over since 1878:

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/graphs/2022/daily_maxtemp_cet_2022.png

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/graphs/2022/daily_maxtemp_cet_2022.png

Finally, let’s return to McCarthy’s comment:

 

“But if it should happen this week it would be notable that it would have occurred on three days during the last six Junes”

Notice how he is trying to ramp up alarm based on data which did not even exist at the time, and which eventually proved to be a woefully inaccurate prediction.

Apparently this is what we pay our Met Office for!

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/0pMAQEf

June 22, 2022 at 04:51AM

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