Coastal dwellers not being warned of rising sea level risk and property prices skewed, says nutty professor

By Paul Homewood

h/t Ian Magness

 

More drivel from Sky, who should be utterly ashamed of themselves for printing silly scare stories:

 

 

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People living on Britain’s coast are not being warned of the serious risks they face from rising sea levels, a world expert has told Sky News.

Professor Jim Hall, who is on the prime minister’s Council for Science and Technology and internationally recognised for his work on climate risks, said some coastal communities would disappear in the coming decades.

But little help is being given to existing homeowners to move inland and people buying properties are unaware of their financial gamble.

He said holding back the sea along the entire coastline would be too expensive and the government should instead have an "honest conversation" with coastal communities.

"I don’t think people really recognise the way in which things are going to change in the future," he said.

"The price of coastal property is not reflecting the risk to which people are exposed.

"Now maybe if people are moving to the coast for their retirement, they are there for a limited amount of time and it’s a perfectly rational thing to do.

According to the Met Office, sea levels around the British coast are likely to rise by around 115cm by the end of the century.

But some scientists say the predictions are too conservative and that accelerating rates of melting of mountain glaciers and the polar ice caps will result in much bigger rises.

The east and south coast of England are particularly vulnerable because the rocks are made of sand, gravel and clay. But low-lying estuaries countrywide are also at risk.

According to analysis by the University of East Anglia’s Tyndall Centre, 200,000 properties in England could be vulnerable to rising sea levels by 2050.

Yet fewer than 35,000 have been recognised as at risk by official planning documents.

https://news.sky.com/story/coastal-dwellers-not-being-warned-of-rising-sea-level-risk-and-property-prices-skewed-says-climate-professor-12744578

Hall claims that seas will rise by 115cm by the end of the century, which equates to 15mm a year. This is utterly absurd, as the current rate is only 2.56mm a year, and sea level rise has more or less stopped in the last couple of decades.

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It is certainly not true that 200,000 houses have been lost due to rising seas and coastal erosion (two separate things) in the last 30 years, so there is no reason to believe that the next 30 years will be any different. Indeed even the figure of 35,000 is wildly overstated.

Coastal erosion in East Anglia has been a constant feature for millennia, but the simple reality is that only a tiny number of houses are built in vulnerable coastal areas. The article quotes the example of Happisburgh, which is always wheeled in these propaganda exercises as it is one of the most vulnerable villages. But Happisburgh boasts only about 600 houses, and many of these are well away from the cliffs that are eroding. And Happisburgh has been getting closer to the sea for centuries:

Happisburgh is a settlement located on the Norfolk coast, eastern England. It has a population of around 1400 people in 600 houses. Although now a coastal village, this was not always the case. When founded over 1000 years ago, there was another village separating Happisburgh from the sea. Historical records indicate that over 250m of land was lost between 1600 and 1850.

https://www.internetgeography.net/topics/happisburgh-case-study/

Along the Norfolk coastline, it is a similar picture, a handful of tiny villages and the number of homes at risk in coming decades probably numbered in the hundreds. Some may disappear under the waves in a hundred years time, but so what? That will have no effect on property values now, and most houses in the UK will probably have been knocked down by then anyway.

Jim Hall’s answer, of course, is to demand taxpayers’ money to relocate people, even though there is no evidence of any need to do so. But behind his absurd demands is his real motivation – to crank up the climate scare, and persuade the public of the need for “climate action”.

You may be familiar with his name – Jim Hall was a member of the Committee on Climate Change from 2009 to 2019, so has been peddling the scare for a long time.

But worse still, he is currently a member of the Prime Minister’s Council for Science and Technology, Expert Advisor to the National Infrastructure Commission, and Chair of the Science Advisory Committee of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

How do these con merchants get into such positions of authority and influence?

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/lATZRFo

November 13, 2022 at 06:42AM

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