Month: September 2023

Net Zero ban on petrol cars may wipe out European car makers, BMW chief warns

By Paul Homewood

 

 

A net zero ban on petrol and diesel cars means European car makers risk being wiped out by cheaper Chinese competition, the chief of BMW has warned.


Oliver Zipse said mid-market manufacturers in Britain and the EU would be unable to compete with Chinese rivals on price when it came to electric cars.
Mr Zipse told the Financial Times: “The base car market segment will either vanish or will not be done by European manufacturers. I want to send a message: I see that as an imminent risk.”


Chinese manufacturers can make electric cars much more cheaply than European competitors since the country started building its lithium battery production industry much earlier than rivals.
The average price of an electric car in China was less than €32,000 (£27,300) last year, compared to €56,000 in Europe, according to research by Jato Dynamics.


The cheapest Chinese EV, the BYD-made Seagull, costs less than £8,000 for Chinese customers, while the cheapest European-made EV available in the UK is the Fiat 500 at £28,195.
Comparison is not perfect, since Europe has stricter safety standards.
The gulf in price has led to concerns that looming bans on petrol and diesel cars in the EU and UK will effectively hand the market for affordable cars to Chinese manufacturers.
The sale of new petrol and diesel cars will be banned in Britain from 2030 and from 2035 in the EU.


Mr Zipse said his concerns were focused on the cheaper end of the market, rather than higher-end manufacturers such as BMW. Luxury manufacturers can better protect their business thanks to higher margins and the value of their brand.
His comments come weeks after China’s biggest electric carmaker called on the country’s auto industry to unite and “demolish” the competition.

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September 14, 2023 at 05:33AM

Hurricanes, Tornadoes and Wildfires in 1953

By Paul Homewood

Hurricane Carol was the strongest Atlantic hurricane of 1953 in what was a quiet season. Its 160 mph winds fortunately stayed well away from any land, before making landfall in New Brunswick as a Cat 1 storm.

But it was out in the western Pacific where the year’s biggest storms played havoc, including three Cat 4 and four Cat 5 Super Typhoons:

  • Typhoon Judy – Cat 4 – hit the Japanese island of Kyushu, leaving 37 dead and 15 missing
  • Typhoon Kit – Cat 5 – although it had winds of 175 mph, it stayed away from land until it had considerably weakened.
  • Typhoon Nina – Cat 5 – the strongest typhoon in 1953, made landfall in China as Cat 4. Nina is believed to have had the 2nd lowest central pressure of any Western Pacific typhoon. Only Typhoon Tip in 1979 had lower.
  • Typhoon Rita – Cat 4 – again did not make landfall until it had weaken to a tropical storm
  • Typhoon Tess – Cat 5 – struck the Central Honshū Island in Japan. 393 people were killed and 85 were missing.
  • Typhoon Betty – Cat 4 – hit Hong Kong
  • Typhoon Doris – Cat 5 – A rare late-season Super Typhoon. Did not affect land.

A tropical cyclone also hit Madagascar in January 1953, killing twelve.

Tornadoes

1953 was one of the deadliest tornado years on record in the US, with 519 dead. There were five F5/EF5 tornadoes, the third most on record. In stark contrast, there have been no EF5s at all since the Moore Tornado in 2013.

Some of the worst included:

  • Feb 6th – an F3 killed two people in Centerville, La
  • Feb 19th/20th  – an outbreak of 15 tornadoes struck Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi and Alabama leaving one dead.
  • March 12th to 15th – a major outbreak of 23 tornadoes, including an F4, hit areas from the Great Plains to the Ohio Valley, killing 21
  • March 21st/22nd – another outbreak killed three
  • April 18th – three strong and destructive tornadoes struck Alabama and Georgia, killing eight people
  • April 23rd/24th – another deadly outbreak killed two in Oklahoma
  • April 28th to May 2nd – a major tornado outbreak sequence struck areas from the Great Plains to the Southeast, producing 24 tornadoes, including five F4 tornadoes. Overall the death toll was 36
  • May 9th to 11th – Well known as the Waco Tornado Outbreak, at least 33 tornadoes hit the Great Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley killing 144. Of these, 114 died when Waco, Texas was obliterated by an F5, the deadliest tornado in Texas history
  • May 20th/21st – three intense tornadoes hit Iowa, Michigan and Ontario killing eight.
  • May 29th – an F5 hit Fort Rice, ND, killing two people.
  • June 7th to 9th  – another notorious outbreak, known as Flint-Worcester, which hit the Great Plains, Great Lakes and even New England, and included five F4s and another F5. This outbreak was even deadlier than the Waco one. Overall, at least 50 tornadoes touched down, killing 247.
  • June 27th – yet another F5 destroyed four farms in Iowa, but luckily only one person died.
  • Dec 1st to 6th – five violent tornadoes, including an F5, something unheard of in December, hit the South. The F5 hit Vicksburg, MS, killing 38.

image

Downtown Waco, Texas – Before and After

https://wacohistory.org/items/show/53

US Wildfires

The Rattlesnake Fire was the most famous one that year, killing 15 firefighters after being started by an arsonist.

Overall 9,976,000 acres burnt in the US, compared to the average these days of 7,400,400.

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September 14, 2023 at 05:27AM

Zero Net EV economic or climate Benefits and government admits it

Deep in the bowels of a the Federal Register lie some candid admissions about EVs.

The post Zero Net EV economic or climate Benefits and government admits it appeared first on CFACT.

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September 14, 2023 at 04:14AM

You Will Build Nothing & Be Happy

UN report urges ‘massive emission cuts in construction sector’ by using ‘gov’t regs & enforcement’ to achieve ‘Net Zero’ – Replace ‘concrete & steel’ with ‘stone, timber, & bamboo’

From Climate Depot

UN Environment Program Press Release of new study with Yale Center for Ecosystems & Agriculture: “Rapid urbanization worldwide means every five days, the world adds buildings equivalent to the size of Paris, with the built environment sector already responsible for 37 percent of global emissions. A report published today by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) and the Yale Center for Ecosystems + Architecture (Yale CEA), under the Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction (GlobalABC), offers solutions to decarbonize the buildings and construction sector and reduce the waste it generates.” …

“Until recently, most buildings were constructed using locally sourced earth, stone, timber, and bamboo. Yet modern materials such as concrete and steel often give only the illusion of durability, usually ending up in landfills and contributing to the growing climate crisis,” said Sheila Aggarwal-Khan, Director of UNEP’s Industry and Economy Division. “Net zero in the building and construction sector is achievable by 2050, as long as governments put in place the right policy, incentives and regulation to bring a shift the industry action,” UNEP’s Aggarwal-Khan added.

Government regulation and enforcement is also required across all phases of the building life cycle – from extraction through end-of-use – to ensure transparency in labeling, effective international building codes, and certification schemes…“The decarbonization of the buildings and construction sector is essential for the achievement of the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C.

By Marc Morano

https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/press-release/un-plan-promises-massive-emission-cuts-construction-sector-most

Nairobi, 12 September 2023 – Rapid urbanisation worldwide means every five days, the world adds buildings equivalent to the size of Paris, with the built environment sector already responsible for 37 per cent of global emissions. A report published today by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) and the Yale Center for Ecosystems + Architecture (Yale CEA), under the Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction (GlobalABC), offers solutions to decarbonize the buildings and construction sector and reduce the waste it generates.

The report, Building materials and the climate: Constructing a new future, offers policy makers, manufacturers, architects, developers, engineers, builders and recyclers a three-pronged solution to reduce “embodied carbon” emissions and the negative impacts on natural ecosystems from the production and deployment of building materials (e.g., cement, steel, aluminium, timber, biomass):

  • Avoid waste through a circular approach: building less by repurposing existing buildings is the most valuable option, generating 50-75 per cent fewer emissions than new construction; promote construction with less materials and with materials that have a lower carbon footprint and facilitate reuse or recycle.
  • Shift to ethically and sustainably sourced renewable bio-based building materials, including timber, bamboo, and biomass. The shift towards properly managed bio-based materials could lead to compounded emissions savings in many regions of up to 40 per cent in the sector by 2050. However, more policy and financial support is needed to ensure the widespread adoption of renewable bio-based building materials.
  • Improve decarbonisation of conventional materials that cannot be replaced. This mainly concerns the processing of concrete, steel, and aluminium – three sectors responsible for 23 per cent of overall global emissions today – as well as glass and bricks. Priorities should be placed on electrifying production with renewable energy sources, increasing the use of reused and recycled materials, and scaling innovative technologies. Transformation of regional markets and building cultures is critical through building codes, certification, labelling, and the education of architects, engineers, and builders on circular practices.

The three-pronged Avoid-Shift-Improve solution needs to be adopted throughout the building process to ensure emissions are slashed and human health and biodiverse ecosystems are protected. The solution also requires, in its implementation, sensitivity to local cultures and climates, including the common perception of concrete and steel as modern materials of choice.

“Until recently, most buildings were constructed using locally sourced earth, stone, timber, and bamboo. Yet modern materials such as concrete and steel often give only the illusion of durability, usually ending up in landfills and contributing to the growing climate crisis,” said Sheila Aggarwal-Khan, Director of UNEP’s Industry and Economy Division.

“Net zero in the building and construction sector is achievable by 2050, as long as governments put in place the right policy, incentives and regulation to bring a shift the industry action,” she added.

To date, most climate action in the building sector has been dedicated to effectively reducing “operational carbon” emissions, which encompass heating, cooling, and lighting. Thanks to the growing worldwide decarbonisation of the electrical grid and the use renewable energies, these are set to decrease from 75 per cent to 50 per cent of the sector in coming decades.

Since buildings contain materials produced in disparate regions across the globe, reducing “embodied carbon” emissions from production and deployment of building materials requires decisionmakers to adopt a whole life-cycle approach. This involves harmonized measures across multiple sectors and at each stage of the building lifecycle – from extraction to processing, installation, use, and demolition.

Government regulation and enforcement is also required across all phases of the building life cycle – from extraction through end-of-use – to ensure transparency in labelling, effective international building codes, and certification schemes. Investments in research and development of nascent technologies, as well as training of stakeholders in the sectors, are needed, along with incentives for cooperative ownership models between producers, builders, owners, and occupants to the shift to circular economies.

“The decarbonisation of the buildings and construction sector is essential for the achievement of the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C. By providing cutting-edge scientific insights as well as very practical recommendations to reduce embodied carbon, the study ”Building materials and the climate: Constructing a new future” advances our joint mission to decarbonise the sector holistically and increase its resilience”, said Dr. Vera Rodenhoff, Deputy Director General for International Climate Action and International Energy Transition of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK), which together with the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) has funded the study.

Case studies from Canada, Finland, Ghana, Guatemala, India, Peru, and Senegal, demonstrate how decarbonisation takes places using “Avoid-Shift-Improve” strategies: developed economies can devote resources to renovating existing ageing buildings, while emerging ones can leapfrog carbon-intensive building methods to alternative low-carbon building materials.

Cities worldwide can drive the implementation of decarbonisation. Many are already integrating vegetated surfaces, including green roofs, façades, and indoor wall assemblies to reduce urban carbon emissions and cool off buildings, increase urban biodiversity and more.

NOTE TO EDITORS

About the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)

UNEP is the leading global voice on the environment. It provides leadership and encourages partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring, informing and enabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations.

About the Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction (GlobalABC)

Founded at COP21, hosted by UNEP and with 289 members, including 40 countries, the GlobalABC is the leading global platform for all buildings stakeholders committed to a common vision: A zero-emission, efficient and resilient buildings and construction sector.

About Yale Center for Ecosystems + Architecture (Yale CEA)

Yale CEA unites researchers and practitioners across multiple fields, synthesising innovations in science, art and humanities towards ecosystems that prioritise the requirements of living organisms and ecologies. Our mission is to transform the DNA of the Built Environment, which is currently the sector responsible for the largest real-time climate change impacts and the consumption/production of toxic, non-renewable resources.

For more information, please contact:

News and Media Unit, UN Environment Programme

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Key excerpts:

UN Environment Program Press Release of new study with Yale Center for Ecosystems & Agriculture: “Rapid urbanization worldwide means every five days, the world adds buildings equivalent to the size of Paris, with the built environment sector already responsible for 37 percent of global emissions. A report published today by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) and the Yale Center for Ecosystems + Architecture (Yale CEA), under the Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction (GlobalABC), offers solutions to decarbonize the buildings and construction sector and reduce the waste it generates.” …

UN plan promises massive emission cuts in the construction sector – the most polluting and toughest to decarbonize…building materials (e.g., cement, steel, aluminum, timber, biomass)…materials that have a lower carbon footprint…[to] promote construction with less materials and with materials that have a lower carbon footprint and facilitate reuse or recycle.

Shift to ethically and sustainably sourced renewable bio-based building materials, including timber, bamboo, and biomass…Priorities should be placed on electrifying production with renewable energy sources, increasing the use of reused and recycled materials, and scaling innovative technologies.

“Until recently, most buildings were constructed using locally sourced earth, stone, timber, and bamboo. Yet modern materials such as concrete and steel often give only the illusion of durability, usually ending up in landfills and contributing to the growing climate crisis,” said Sheila Aggarwal-Khan, Director of UNEP’s Industry and Economy Division. “Net zero in the building and construction sector is achievable by 2050, as long as governments put in place the right policy, incentives and regulation to bring a shift the industry action,” UNEP’s Aggarwal-Khan added.

Government regulation and enforcement is also required across all phases of the building life cycle – from extraction through end-of-use – to ensure transparency in labeling, effective international building codes, and certification schemes…“The decarbonization of the buildings and construction sector is essential for the achievement of the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C.

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September 14, 2023 at 04:02AM