Month: September 2023

New research says orbital factors show why and when the Sahara Desert was green 

Sahara desert from space [image credit: NASA]

No trace gases required to drive these climate processes. It was found that ‘the North African Humid Periods occurred every 21,000 years and were determined by changes in Earth’s orbital precession.’
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A pioneering study has shed new light on North African humid periods that have occurred over the past 800,000 years and explains why the Sahara Desert was periodically green, says Science Daily.

The research, published in Nature Communications, showed periodic wet phases in the Sahara were driven by changes in Earth’s orbit around the Sun and were suppressed during the ice ages.

For the first time, climate scientists simulated the historic intervals of ‘greening’ of the Sahara, offering evidence for how the timing and intensity of these humid events were also influenced remotely by the effects of large, distant, high-latitude ice sheets in the Northern Hemisphere.

Lead author Dr Edward Armstrong, a climate scientist at the University of Helsinki and University of Bristol, said: “The cyclic transformation of the Sahara Desert into savannah and woodland ecosystems is one of the most remarkable environmental changes on the planet.

“Our study is one of the first climate modelling studies to simulate the African Humid Periods with comparable magnitude to what the palaeoclimate observations indicate, revealing why and when these events occurred.”

There is widespread evidence that the Sahara was periodically vegetated in the past, with the proliferation of rivers, lakes and water-dependent animals such as hippos, before it became what is now desert. These North African Humid Periods may have been crucial in providing vegetated corridors out of Africa, allowing the dispersal of various species, including early humans, around the world.

The so-called ‘greenings’ are thought to have been driven by changes in Earth’s orbital conditions, specifically Earth’s orbital precession. Precession refers to how Earth wobbles on its axis, which influences seasonality (i.e. the seasonal contrast) over an approximate 21,000-year cycle.

These changes in precession determine the amount of energy received by the Earth in different seasons, which in turn controls the strength of the African Monsoon and the spread of vegetation across this vast region.

A major barrier to understanding these events is that the majority of climate models have been unable to simulate the amplitude of these humid periods, so the specific mechanisms driving them have remained uncertain.

This study deployed a recently-developed climate model to simulate the North African Humid periods to greatly advance understanding of their driving mechanisms.

The results confirm the North African Humid Periods occurred every 21,000 years and were determined by changes in Earth’s orbital precession.

This caused warmer summers in the Northern Hemisphere, which intensified the strength of the West African Monsoon system and increased Saharan precipitation, resulting in the spread of savannah-type vegetation across the desert.

The findings also show the humid periods did not occur during the ice ages, when there were large glacial ice sheets covering much of the high latitudes. This is because these vast ice sheets cooled the atmosphere and suppressed the tendency for the African monsoon system to expand.

This highlights a major teleconnection between these distant regions, which may have restricted the dispersal of species, including humans, out of Africa during the glacial periods of the last 800,000 years.

Co-author Paul Valdes, Professor of Physical Geography at the University of Bristol, said: “We are really excited about the results. Traditionally, climate models have struggled to represent the extent of the ‘greening’ of the Sahara. Our revised model successfully represents past changes and also gives us confidence in their ability to understand future change.”

Full article here.

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September 14, 2023 at 03:27AM

How Cheap & Reliable Coal-Fired Power Drove India From Poverty to The Moon

Coal-fired power is at the heart of India’s mission to lift millions out of poverty. India has 285 plants with a capacity of 211GW already operating; it’s currently building a further 30GW of coal-fired generation capacity, with a further 35GW in pre-construction stages.

A visit to India shows how serious it is about serious power generation.

With solar power seen as ‘fake electricity’, by those Indians being forced to use it: The Cruel Hypocrisy: West Drops Wind Power as it Forces ‘Fake Electricity’ on the World’s Poor – there’s little wonder that coal-fired power tops their Nation’s list of must-haves.

Of course, the upside of having reliable and affordable power on tap is not just reducing the daily misery associated with grinding poverty. It’s what happens to education and literacy standards when the poor have access to meaningful power, as Vijay Jayaraj explains below.

From Poverty to Moon Landing: How Coal Propelled Indian Economy
CO2 Coalition
Vijay Jayaraj
23 August 2023

On August 23, India landed a craft near the Moon’s South Pole – an historic feat matched only by three other countries and made possible by the subcontinent’s largely uninhibited use of fossil fuels.

The acceleration of coal usage between 2000 and 2020 played a pivotal role in bringing electricity to billions and ushering in a new era of economic growth and improved living standards. So much so, that a nation that once did not even have enough food for its population now has funds for space missions.

Fossil Fuels and the Rise of Electricity Access in India

India is a country with a long history of energy poverty — a term that encapsulates the struggle of millions to access basic electricity services. In 1995, only about 50% of the people had access to electricity. Vast segments of the population suffered stunted economic development and substandard education, healthcare and overall quality of life. Rural homes were shrouded in darkness after sunset, hindering productivity and limiting opportunities.

The situation began to change in the early 2000s as the Indian government committed to expand electricity access. One of the key drivers was the use of fossil fuels, especially coal.

Coal is a cheap and abundant source of energy and well-suited for large-scale power generation. Harnessing its abundant coal reserves, India embarked on a journey to alleviate energy poverty, ignite industrial growth and improve the lives of millions.

By 2020, the number of Indians with access to electricity had reached 99%. Yes, fossil fuels improved the lives of billions.

Electric lighting has replaced kerosene lamps, improving indoor air quality and reducing health hazards. It has also extended educational opportunities by enabling students to study after sunset. Daily routines have been transformed because households can engage in activities once limited to daylight hours.

Electrical appliances such as refrigerators and washing machines made lives more comfortable and convenient. Women liberated from the drudgery of handwashing clothes and cooking over smoky fires, are better positioned for educational and occupational opportunities.

Industries ranging from manufacturing and agriculture to information technology have thrived with consistent power supply. As a result, Indian employment has grown at a rapid pace in the past two decades.

India’s progress in eradicating poverty and improving education, gender equality and sanitation aligns with the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals.

During the fiscal year ending March 2022, coal-generated electricity accounted for 72% of all electricity consumed by the country’s 1.3 billion people. In 2022-2023, this rose to 73%.

A famous social media influencer once said, “Facts don’t care about feelings.” And billions of Indians taking pride in their lunar accomplishment and enjoying economic improvements couldn’t care less about the hostility of Western leaders toward the fossil fuels that have made their future brighter.
CO2 Coalition

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September 14, 2023 at 02:35AM

WHY SCIENCE JOURNALS CAN NO LONGER BE TRUSTED

 WesleyJ Smith: Why we can’t trust the science journals

National Review, 5 September 2023


A climate scientist has written that he pulledhis punches in a climate-change article in order to be published bythe prestigious journal Nature. From, “I Left Out the Full Truth to Get My Climate ChangePaper Published,” by Patrick T. Brown:
 
"The paper I just published—“Climate warming increases extreme daily wildfire growth risk inCalifornia”—focuses exclusively on how climate change hasaffected extreme wildfire behavior. I knew not to try to quantify keyaspects other than climate change in my research because it would dilute thestory that prestigious journals like Nature and itsrival, Science, want to tell.
 
This matters because it is critically important for scientists to be publishedin high-profile journals; in many ways, they are the gatekeepers for careersuccess in academia. And the editors of these journals have made it abundantlyclear, both by what they publish and what they reject, that they want climatepapers that support certain preapproved narratives—even when those narrativescome at the expense of broader knowledge for society."
 
In other words, if Brown provided a thorough and nuanced study, it would neverhave passed the ideological blockade he knew controls the scientific discourseon this important topic.
 
Brown explains why we see such an anti-science paradigm:

"In theory, scientific research should prize curiosity, dispassionateobjectivity, and a commitment to uncovering the truth. Surely those are thequalities that editors of scientific journals should value.

In reality, though, the biases of the editors (and the reviewers they call uponto evaluate submissions) exert a major influence on the collective output ofentire fields. They select what gets published from a large pool of entries,and in doing so, they also shape how research is conducted more broadly. Savvyresearchers tailor their studies to maximize the likelihood that their work isaccepted. I know this because I am one of them."

Brown left academia so he could engage in better science. And, that allowed himto write this article. […]

Brown has done a true service in illustrating how science has been distorted bynonscientific agendas at the highest level of “expert” discourse — aided andabetted by the media. Until and unless that changes, public trust in thescientific and medical sectors will continue to fall. 
 
Full post

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September 14, 2023 at 01:58AM

Grid Wind Power: More Pre-history (1979 DOE bust)

“I was in Boone, North Carolina from 1977 through May 1983 at Appalachian State and trust me, we got many laughs out of this windmill. Especially how it generated one MW of reliable electricity and, somehow, did so without the blades ever turning.”   – Victor Culpepper

On social media, environmental scientist Victor Culpepper remarked (above) about an early wind project with reference to an article, Ill-Fated Windmill Just Outside Boone (July 11, 2016). A previous MasterResource post recounted the 1940–45 Knob Hill grid wind power project in Vermont; the article below from North Carolina’s Department of Natural and Cultural Resources summarizes a 1979 wind project.

On July 11, 1979, Boone celebrated “Windmill Day” with a street festival to dedicate NASA’s Mod-1, the world’s largest megawatt industrial windmill on Howard’s Knob.

The windmill was installed on the 4,400-foot peak as part of a program run by NASA and the U.S. Department of Energy to study wind power in response to the petroleum shortages of the 1970s OPEC oil embargo. The mammoth steel structure—which was 140 feet tall, 200 feet wide across the blades, and weighed more than 350 tons—had propellers supplied by Boeing and generator by General Electric.

The Blue Ridge Electric Membership Corporation ran the project locally to return electricity, anticipated to power 500 homes, to the energy grid.

A harbinger of the project’s fate, the winds only blew at about 6 miles per hour that first day, requiring manual rotation of the propeller blades. The windmill was soon plagued by terminal structural issues, inconsistent winds and negative public perception from complaints of noise, disrupted television reception and wasted public dollars.

Too costly to repair, the federal government dismantled and sold the windmill in 1983.

The windmill also became the centerpiece of pranks by Appalachian State University students. In one account, TV news cameras were met by students dressed in sheets, calling themselves “Wooshies” who worshipped the god Nay-zuh.

The post Grid Wind Power: More Pre-history (1979 DOE bust) appeared first on Master Resource.

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September 14, 2023 at 01:04AM