The world can’t afford to politicize climate change research kriszti
The idea that there is only one correct policy — cutting carbon emissions to zero in a short time frame — is absurd, and especially so when this sole policy is failing globally.
The big sunspot cluster that created the auroras a few weeks ago is very likely just over the horizon on the sun, and it appears to have spat out a doozy of an X2.9 flare to announce its return. While we can’t see the sunspots themselves yet, astronomers estimate that they are the same angry AR3664 set that has been circling across the far side of the sun for the last two weeks. This hyperactive region launched the X class flares that produced auroras on May 10th that were so powerful they lit up the skies far from the poles in Florida and Queensland. Some officials at NASA even think it was “one of the strongest auroras in 500 years”. They argue that some 7 different coronal mass ejections traveling at 3 million miles per hour, piled up together on the way and arrived all at once. In the last 70 years the other two big events were in 1958 and 2003. The Carrington event was so big it was seen in the Caribbean.
The global climate models agree that the effect of the solar-magnetic-wind and electric-field is exactly 0.0 degrees (per doubling of their NSF grants).
Some very active sunspots may last for months and each full rotation of the sun takes 27 days, so we may get more bites at this cherry. Or, if the sun is particularly grumpy, it may get more bites at us.
As the sun rotates we’ll see more of what is probably AR3664, though when it rolls over the horizon it will promptly get a new number-name. It’s difficult to track exactly what happens to every sunspot cluster as they travel across the far side of the sun, so all sunspots shifting into view are automatically given a new number. Though according to Daisy Dobrijevic at Space.com“scientists can track the sunspot’s progress across the sun’s far side by observing how it affects the sun’s vibrations or seismic echoes, using helioseismology data.” Sounds tricky. You’d think we’d have a camera on an asteroid on the far side recording the sun, but we don’t. We spent $100 billion trying to blame a fertilizer for our storms, but a lot less than that trying to understand the sun.
People who want to see an aurora may get lucky in the next two weeks if a flare is ejected in our direction
Look out for notices of a large X Class flares. Depending on how fast the ejections travel, the charged particles usually arrive here about two days later, but may come anytime from 15 hours to 4 or 5 days later. Once the particles hit the satellites at the Lagrange point the instruments give us about 15 to 45 minutes of warning. The Lagrange point is 1.5 million miles away from Earth towards the Sun in an area where gravitational and centripetal forces equal out, and it takes very little fuel for the satellites to maintain their position. It is the closest thing to a parking spot in space where our space-cars won’t roll away if we’re not looking.
For the record: Solar flares are graded B, C, M and X class, with X being the largest and each grade putting out ten times more energy than the grade before. Within each grade there are nine log divisions (Eg. M1, M2 etc.) There is no upper limit on X class flares and the one in 2003 overloaded the instruments (which max out at X17). It was later estimated to be X45. X class flares can trigger planet wide radio blackouts and potentially widespread auroras. The flares in May were
According to Renew Economy, Retirement funds are investing $5 into fossil fuel for every $1 invested in renewables. My question – why are they wasting $1 in $5?
Super funds back fossil “climate wreckers” over clean energy
For every dollar invested in clean energy companies, superannuation funds have five dollars invested in the expansion of fossil fuels, an index has found.
Australia’s top 30 super funds have more than $39 billion invested in the global expansion of gas, coal and oil, according to a report released on Tuesday by shareholder organisation Market Forces.
Retirement savings allocated across the Climate Wreckers Index – a group of 190 coal, oil and gas companies – have more than doubled in the two years to December 2023 in the largest or default investment options, based on the latest available disclosures.
Simultaneously, the amount allocated to listed clean energy companies has declined by half a billion dollars to a mere $7.7 billion despite the funds’ climate pledges.
It’s becoming painfully obvious by now that renewable energy is a bust. The skyrocketing energy demands of the AI age have likely smashed every green energy transition model which assumed energy efficiency measures would mitigate growth in demand.
Maybe I’m being a bit harsh with the retirement funds, they seem to be heading the right direction, gradually reducing their exposure to high risk green investments. Perhaps the slow drawdown is strategic, perhaps they are divesting green investments slowly to preserve member policy value, to avoid spooking the market with big selloffs. Or maybe they are selling simply because their green investments are failing to perform.
It is the beginning of my third week in Seattle, and I still haven’t swum in Green Lake. There is a sign that says, ‘Early Season at Madrona and East Green Lake begins Memorial Day weekend’.
So, I was hoping it would be warm enough to go swimming Monday/Memorial Day, but with the surface water temperature just 15.6°C/60°F – and after some discussion with the lifeguard who was on duty. I declined.
The lifeguard explained that there was no issue with water quality despite all the duck poop, but that my body may be shocked by the cold. I am unaccustomed to it – swimming at 60°F.
Noone else was swimming – not a single local. Rather many people were walking, running, skating, biking around the perimeter.
My daughter tells me that there are indigenous American peoples who following tradition (pre-European settlement) would dunk their newborn babies in cold water every day for the first year of the baby’s life. So, the child becomes accustomed and resistant to cold. Perhaps also to hard things – and the mother as well, who would wade out often into icy cold water.
I am a fan of Wim Hof who teaches the benefits of cold-water exposure for building resistance and immunity, both physically and psychologically within our bodies – though so far, I have only done his breath work. I have never tried an ice bath – not yet.
That noone was swimming in Green Lake this Memorial Day would suggest that the population of Seattle has become somewhat resistant not to cold, but to the idea of being exposed to the benefits of cold – perhaps even hard things.
Another possible explanation is that it was unseasonally cold – never mind the claims that it is getting warmer and warmer, year on year because of all the carbon dioxides.
Given all the measuring you might assume it would be easy to know how cold it is now at Green Lake (Seattle) relative to how cold it was back in 1928 when the bathhouse was built, and everyone was swimming on Memorial Day. You might think, of course we know. We know the average global temperature to some fraction of a degree – if you believe the propaganda.
I’ve been reading ‘Our Polyvagal World’ by Stephen & Seth Porges – explaining why it is safer to believe. To believe the propaganda, I mean. At least for the individual.
It should be easy to know how air and water temperatures have changed at Green Lake over the last few decades. But with all the equipment changes, and all the adjusting of the temperature measurements here and in Australia, I can reliably inform you that no one really knows. Not for Green Lake or even equivalent bodies of water in Australia, not even for air temperatures.
More importantly perhaps, no one cares. It is actually dangerous for the individual to care about such things in a world where temperature and its year-on-year increase has become so politically important.
Very few ask the hard questions anymore – because it is not safe.
Almost everyone wants to believe together that somehow it is hotter, and if not hotter, then maybe colder. That the climate has become catastrophic.
Of course, those of you who have been following my work for some years know the effort that I have put into attempting some integrity in temperature measuring.
It is exactly ten years ago now, that I was working really hard and being very transparent with my numbers, showing that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology produces fraudulent remodelled temperature series that are then promoted as historically accurate records of our temperature history in accordance with the theory of catastrophic human-caused global warming.
Gerard Henderson from The Sydney Institute was kind enough to give me a platform to explain this, though he asked I not use the word fraudulent.
What I said that evening on 25th June 2014 – ten years and one month ago – is still relevant so relevant, and the notes are still available at my website, CLICK HERE. Of course, I have expanded on this, demonstrated again and again not only problems with the remodelling but also, subsequently, problems with how the actual temperatures have been recorded beginning with the transition to platinum resistance probes in November 1996. I’ve explained how the Bureau needs to make the parallel data public so we can compare measurements today from platinum resistant probe with the measurements decades ago taken with mercury thermometers, CLICK HERE.
But who really cares – and how are they helping?
If they really cared, they wouldn’t have let Greg Hunt ‘kill’ the idea of a review into the Bureau. The article published by the Australian Broadcasting Corporation is quite blasé about it all – there is mention of ‘following reports in The Australian newspaper’, CLICK HERE.
Each one of those articles in The Australian newspaper followed an extraordinary effort on my part, with checking done by Ken Stewart, to convert daily to monthly to annual values for whichever temperature series journalist Graham Lloyd requested. Since then, over the last ten year a lot more of the data has subsequently become available, including monthly values for the remodelled ACORN-SAT series. And so many numbers for other temperature series were crunched, with corresponding articles never written.
I was converting daily to monthly to annual and then charting the difference to shown the extent of the deceit. I was crunching numbers no one had crunched before so the comparisons between the adjusted and the raw for the individual weather stations could be seen – along with the step changes. Then my numbers were sent by Lloyd to the Bureau, for more checking. It was never reported back to Lloyd that I got anything wrong. Just that there was always good reason to remodel the original temperatures – to change what had been measured at the official recording stations by accredited officers decades ago.
A couple of Green Lake ducks.
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Iowa Climate Science Education 