Month: May 2024

More Insanity: Carbon-Footprint Analyses in Random Controlled Trials

The intersection of health care and environmental sustainability has recently gained attention, with increasing calls for the medical sector to reduce its carbon footprint. A recent article in the New England Journal of Medicine argues for integrating carbon-footprint analyses into randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to promote sustainable clinical practices. However, this initiative raises critical questions about its underlying assumptions and the practical implications for health care delivery.

The Ideological Push for Green Health Care

The article opens with a stark declaration:

“Human-induced climate change and destruction of nature is a global health emergency. By [year], an estimated [number] billion people will reside in areas considered to be not well suited for sustaining human life. Extreme weather events, water and food insecurity, and the risk of infectious diseases are increasing. Immediate action to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions in all sectors of society is paramount to support a livable future”​​.

Yawn, such alarmist statements often lack the rigorous scientific backing needed to justify drastic changes in policy. The drive to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, particularly in health care, is clearly rooted in ideology than in evidence-based necessity.

Health Care’s Role in the Environmental Crisis?

The article asserts:

“Health care is a substantial contributor to the current environmental crisis. In [year], the [number]th United Nations Climate Change Conference health program urged the health care community to reduce emissions by building low-carbon, sustainable health care systems”​​.

While health care does have an environmental impact, this in no way justifies the substantial shifts proposed. Health care’s primary mandate is to provide effective patient care, and diverting resources to achieve questionable environmental goals will clearly undermine this mission.

The Case for Carbon-Footprint Analyses in RCTs

The authors propose integrating carbon-footprint analyses into RCTs, suggesting that:

“Evaluation of new interventions typically involves conducting randomized, controlled trials (RCTs) that assess clinical benefits and harms. Only after clinical implementation, if at all, have the environmental effects of some interventions typically been assessed. We believe that an intervention’s carbon footprint should be examined in parallel with its clinical benefits and harms”​​.

This approach, while seemingly comprehensive, adds layers of complexity to an already rigorous process. RCTs are designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of medical interventions. Introducing environmental impact as a secondary endpoint would dilute the focus, effectiveness and increase the cost of these trials.

Practical Challenges and Dubious Benefits

The article highlights several challenges:

“Differences among health systems, including variation in energy sources and equipment, can mean that carbon-footprint analyses may not be generalizable across health care systems, countries, and regions”​​.

“Another challenge involves the current lack of freely accessible databases containing information from LCAs of health care products and processes”​​.

These challenges underscore the impracticality of the proposal. The variability in health care systems globally makes standardizing carbon-footprint analyses difficult, if not impossible. Additionally, the lack of comprehensive data on life-cycle assessments (LCAs) further complicates the endeavor.

Ideological Motivations Over Practical Necessity

The push for carbon-footprint analyses in RCTs is clearly ideologically driven, not scientifically warranted. The fundamental goal of health care should be to improve patient outcomes, not to serve as a proving ground for environmental activism. This is particularly concerning when the benefits of such environmental considerations are speculative at best.

Conclusion

The recent call for integrating carbon-footprint analyses into RCTs represents a misguided attempt to merge health care with environmental activism. Prioritizing so-called sustainability in health care trials adds unnecessary complexity and diverts focus from patient care. Health care must remain focused on its primary objective: providing the best possible care for patients. Diverting resources and attention to environmental concerns, particularly when their benefits are not clearly substantiated, risks undermining the efficacy and integrity of medical research and practice. The pursuit of a green future and sustainable development in this context is an unfounded ideological goal that lacks any practical justification.

H/T Greg A

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May 20, 2024 at 08:07AM

Electric Van Sales In Decline

By Paul Homewood

 

 

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LCV Registrations

https://www.smmt.co.uk/vehicle-data/lcv-registrations/

Whilst EV car sales remain sluggish, the market for electric vans is even worse. The government’s ZEV mandate demands that 10% of van sales are electric this year, and this figure rises rapidly in the next few years.

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https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pathway-for-zero-emission-vehicle-transition-by-2035-becomes-law

However sales of the useless things gave actually fallen this year, and only account for 4.9% of the market.

Fleetworld sum up the problem:

The Association of Fleet Professionals (AFP) said several major van makers now insist that a proportion of all vehicle orders must be electric vans in order to reflect the percentage of ZEV vehicles they are now legally required to sell – creating a dilemma for fleets that can’t go electric yet.

AFP chair Paul Hollick explained: “It’s quickly becoming a widespread practice that when a fleet wants to order a quantity of vans, manufacturers are asserting that a percentage is electric – often 10% to reflect the 2024 ZEV mandate.

“The problem is that some fleets just don’t have a role for these electric vans within their business. Their payload and range requirements mean there is no operational profile for which the electric van can be practically used, or there is no suitable charging infrastructure.”

Hollick said that the situation presented a dilemma for fleets – whether to switch to manufacturers not insisting on order quotas, to not replace existing diesel vehicles and keep operating them for longer, or to buy quota electric vans and use them for occasional lighter duties or simply park them up.

“All of these courses of action are far from ideal. Changing van supplier can be quite an arduous task for fleets, meaning that the whole van unit has to be rethought including fitting out. Hanging onto older vans that really need to be replaced means that you are likely to experience problems with reliability and has potential risk management and environmental implications.

“Lastly, it’s just not viable to buy expensive assets such as electric vans and not really use them in the operational roles where you actually need a solution.”

https://fleetworld.co.uk/zev-order-quotas-creating-dilemmas-for-van-fleet-replacements-warns-afp/

I suspect we are going to see increasing numbers of imported vans, which in turn will exacerbate the problems for UK manufacturers.

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May 20, 2024 at 05:14AM

The UK government’s climate intransigence–Ben Pile

By Paul Homewood

h/t Russell Hicks

Ben Pile’s rebuttal of the government’s response to the petition to repeal the Climate Change Act:

 

 

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Earlier this year, a petition on the UK government’s website called for the repeal of the 2008 Climate Change Act and Net Zero targets. It argued that allowing only “one side only of a two-sided scientific debate is not an acceptable basis for significant legislation that could have major impacts of the UK’s economy and citizens”. The petition reached the 10,000 signatures required for the government to respond, which it has now done.

This post is a rebuttal to the government’s response, and I’m publishing it as a free Substack article, hoping that it will cause the government to re-think its reply (unlikely), and to persuade more people that they need to sign it.

Read the full article here.

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May 20, 2024 at 04:35AM

Twelve Reasons Why I Don’t Believe There’s a Climate Emergency

From THE DAILY SCEPTIC

BY RUSSELL DAVID

I’m not a scientist. But I have reasons why I don’t fully trust the ‘climate emergency’ narrative. Here they are:

  1. Looking back through history, there have always been doomsday prophets, folk who say the world is coming to an end. Are modern-day activists not just the current version of this?
  2. I look at some of the facts – CO2 is 0.04% of the atmosphere; humans are responsible for just 3% of CO2; Britain is responsible for just 1% of the world’s CO2 output – and I think “really“? Will us de-carbonising really make a difference to the Earth’s climate?
  3. I have listened to some top scientists who say CO2 does not drive global warming; that CO2 in the atmosphere is a good or vital thing; that many other things, like the Sun and the clouds and the oceans, are more responsible for the Earth’s temperature.
  4. I note that most of the loudest climate activists are socialists and on the Left. Are they not just using this movement to push their dreams of a deindustrialised socialist utopia? And I also note the crossover between green activists and BLM ones, gender ones, pro-Hamas ones, none of whom I like or agree with.
  5. As an amateur psychologist, I know that humans are susceptible to manias. I also know that humans tend to focus on tiny slivers of time and on tiny slivers of geographical place when forming ideas and opinions. We are also extremely malleable and easily fooled, as was demonstrated in 2020 and 2021.
  6. I have looked into the implications of Net Zero. It is incredibly expensive. It will vastly reduce living standards and hinder economic growth. I don’t think that’s a good thing. I know that economic growth has led to higher living standards, which has made people both safer and more environmentally aware.
  7. Net Zero will also lead to significant diminishment of personal freedom, and it even threatens democracy, as people are told they must do certain things and they must not do other things, and they may even be restricted in speaking out on climate matters.
  8. What will be the worst things that will happen if the doomsayers are correct? A rise in temperature? Where? Siberia? Singapore? Stockholm? What is the ideal temperature? For how long? Will this utopia be forever maintained? I’m suspicious of utopias; the communists sought utopias.
  9. If one consequence of climate change is rising sea levels, would it not be better to spend money building more sea defences to protect our land? Like the Dutch did.
  10. It’s a narrative heavily pushed by the Guardian. I dislike the Guardian. I believe it’s been wrong on most issues through my life – socialism, immigration, race, the EU, gender, lockdowns and so on. Probably it’s wrong about climate issues too?
  11. I am suspicious of the amount of money that green activists and subsidised green industries make. And 40 years ago the greenies were saying the Earth was going to get too cold. Much of what they said would happen by now has not happened. Also, I trust ‘experts’ much less now, after they lied about the efficacy of lockdowns, masks and the ‘vaccines’.
  12. I like sunshine. I prefer being warm to being cold. It makes me feel better. It’s more fun. It saves on heating bills. It saves on clothes. It makes people happier. Far few people die of the heat than they do the cold.

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May 20, 2024 at 04:03AM