Month: September 2024

Press release: Royal Society understates Net Zero cost by £500 billion

By Paul Homewood

 

 

London: 2 September 2024
Royal Society understates cost of Net Zero by half a trillion pounds
  • Net Zero grid will cost at least £38 billion per year to build

  • Scientists have failed to correct major error

A key report published under the auspices of the Royal Society understated the cost of building a Net Zero electricity grid by half a trillion pounds, according to Net Zero Watch, in a post published today on its website.

According to Net Zero Watch director Andrew Montford, the error revolves around how the costs of building wind and solar farms and other equipment will change over the next 25 years. The Royal Society has used Whitehall estimates of the costs for 2040 but has applied them from the start of the build period. Mr Montford said:

“It is simply absurd to use estimated costs for a windfarm in 2040 when calculating the costs of building one today.”

Mr Montford said

“If we assume that costs fall, over 25 years, from the levels seen today to those assumed by the Royal Society, the cost of building the Net Zero grid is around £960 billion rather than the £410 billion claimed by the Royal Society.”

Mr Montford says that there is no doubt about what the Royal Society has done, since the basis of the figure they have calculated is clearly stated in the report. However, although the Royal Society author team has been aware of the problem for several months, they have made no correction.

Mr Montford said:

“If the error is corrected, the cost of decarbonising the grid looks unaffordable. £960 billion is £38 billion per year, at a time when we are cutting winter fuel allowance to save less than £2 billion per year. Setting these painful facts out clearly would certainly be politically inconvenient for the Government.”

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/tWQLamg

September 3, 2024 at 03:37AM

Top North Sea oil field in jeopardy after Miliband crackdown

By Paul Homewood

 

 

 image

One of the North Sea’s biggest oil field developments is in jeopardy after developers put the project on hold following a crackdown by Ed Miliband.

NEO Energy on Monday announced a slowdown of investment in various UK schemes, including the large Buchan Horst redevelopment, 93 miles off the coast of Aberdeen.

Buchan is the third-biggest upcoming North Sea project and is conservatively expected to yield about 70m barrels of oil, with peak production likely to hit about 35,000 barrels per day. It was expected to begin production in 2027.

But NEO claimed a tax raid and new consultation launched by the Labour Government had plunged the scheme into uncertainty.

Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor, is working with Energy Secretary Mr Miliband to increase the windfall tax on oil and gas businesses.

Mr Miliband’s department is also reviewing the environmental assessment process for North Sea oil and gas developments in a consultation due to run until the spring.

This was announced last month in response to a landmark Supreme Court ruling which said the “scope 3” emissions – those that would indirectly result from a development, such as cars running on petrol – must be taken into account.

The ruling has already led the Department of Energy Security and Net Zero to announce it will not defend previous decisions to grant licences for the major Rosebank and Jackdaw developments in court – although these have not yet been revoked – with other North Sea operators also facing limbo while the Government decides what the ruling means for future schemes.

Sir Keir Starmer, the Prime Minister, and Mr Miliband previously vowed not to grant any new oil and gas licences if they won power in July’s election.

The review has prompted the Offshore Petroleum Regulator for Environment and Decommissioning, which handles development applications, to impose a temporary moratorium on applications that are already in motion as well, NEO Energy said.

The company said that combined with the harsher tax environment, this had implications for investment.

It added: “Against this uncertain backdrop, NEO and its owner HitecVision have taken the decision to materially slow down investment activities across all development assets in its portfolio.

“In relation to the Buchan Horst project, NEO awaits clarity regarding the UK regulatory and fiscal framework so that the full impact can be assessed.

“This will inevitably delay first oil timing in relation to the project which was previously forecast to be late 2027.”

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/09/02/top-north-sea-oil-field-at-risk-after-miliband-crackdown/

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/9rGYfiS

September 3, 2024 at 03:20AM

Petrol cars ‘rationed to meet eco targets’

By Paul Homewood

h/t Doug Brodie

I predicted this would happen:

 

 

 

image

Car makers are rationing sales of petrol and hybrid vehicles in Britain to avoid hefty net zero fines, according to one of the country’s biggest dealership chains.

Robert Forrester, chief executive of Vertu Motors, said manufacturers were delaying deliveries of cars until next year amid fears they will otherwise breach quotas set for them by the Government.

This means someone ordering a car today at some dealerships will not receive it until February, he said.

At the same time, Mr Forrester warned manufacturers and dealers were grappling with a glut of more expensive electric vehicles (EVs) that are “not easily finding homes”.

He said: “In some franchises there’s a restriction on supply of petrol cars and hybrid cars, which is actually where the demand is.

“It’s almost as if we can’t supply the cars that people want, but we’ve got plenty of the cars that maybe they don’t want.

“They [manufacturers] are trying to avoid the fines. So they’re constraining the ability for us to supply petrol cars in order to try and keep to the government targets.”

The chief executive blamed the zero emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate, which requires at least 22pc of cars sold by manufacturers to be electric from this year.

This target will gradually rise each year before reaching 80pc in 2030, with manufacturers made to pay £15,000 for every petrol car that exceeds their quota – unless they have so-called carbon credits to spend.

But the scheme has prompted stark warnings from bosses at major brands, such as Vauxhall owner Stellantis and Ford, which have said they cannot sacrifice profits by selling EVs at large discounts indefinitely.

Instead, they have previously warned they may be forced to restrict petrol car supplies to artificially boost their ZEV mandate performance.

The warning from Vertu is the first confirmation that carmakers have now begun doing so.

Mr Forrester added that although some people might cheer falling electric car prices, supporters of the ZEV mandate in its current form were “economic buffoons, because car manufacturers are being forced to discount EVs to such an extent that they’re making losses… and that is not a good thing for business”.

He said: “What the Government’s actually doing is constraining the new car market, which has a big impact on VAT receipts for them, and creates a business environment in the UK where manufacturers may question whether they want to make cars here.

“As Carlos Tavares [chief executive of Stellantis] has said, why should they sell cars at a loss because of UK government policy?

“The new car market is no longer a market, unfortunately. It’s a state-imposed supply chain.”

His comments came as Vertu said it expected lower first half profits as demand for new cars and more expensive electric vehicles remained under pressure. The group, which has 192 showrooms and after-sales sites across the UK, said new car sales by volume fell 5.8pc in the five months to July 31.

By contrast, Vertu says there is strong demand for used cars with September expected to be a particularly busy month.

Mr Forrester’s warning comes after the Society for Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), which represents car makers, slashed its forecast for electric car sales this year amid the ongoing slowdown in demand.

The group now predicts electric vehicles (EVs) will account for 18.5pc of the new car market in 2024, down from an earlier prediction of 19.8pc.

EV registrations surged higher in July but sales to private consumers continued to slump.

Mike Hawes, chief executive of the SMMT, said the weakening demand for EVs among private consumers – despite heavy discounting by car makers – remained the industry’s “overriding concern”.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/09/02/manufacturers-ration-petrol-cars-hybrid-electric/

 

The Labour Government claimed it would grow the economy, but this crazy policy is having the opposite effect. Car sales are reduced, manufacturers’ and dealers’ profit margins squeezed, while cheap Chinese EVs flood the market.

It is time the useless Mike Hawes actually stood up and challenged the whole EV policy, which is doing so much harm to his members.

via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

https://ift.tt/20yUGhj

September 3, 2024 at 03:07AM

The Green New Deal could make electricity 28 times more expensive

The Green New Deal is impossibly expensive.

via CFACT

https://ift.tt/upx4Alr

September 3, 2024 at 02:36AM