Month: October 2024

TV host slams ‘climate alarmism’ among Western media

By Paul Homewood

 

Chris Kenny slams climate alarmism:

 

 

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October 31, 2024 at 02:33PM

Robust Beach Ridge Evidence Indicates Mid Holocene Sea Levels Were 1-5 Meters Higher Than Today

Three new studies use evidence from elevated beach ridges to assess sea levels were 3-5 m higher than today near Thailand, 1-1.5 m higher near Australia, 2-5 m higher along the North Sea just a few millennia ago.

The higher sea levels in the tropical regions (Australia, Gulf of Thailand) were “primarily driven by eustatic processes,” not a result of vertical land motions.

This means the Mid to Late Holocene highstands were mostly a consequence of the larger volume of water in ocean basins at that time relative to today, when there is more water locked up on land as ice.

Terry et al., 2024 (Gulf of Thailand)

At an elevation of 3.3–5.3 m above modern sea level, the sequence is interpreted to represent a Holocene raised beach. The unlithified sediments comprise rounded quartz and mylonite pebbles and cobbles, oriented predominantly NE–SW, supported by fossiliferous sands that are rich in marine shells, coral fragments and occasional terrestrial gastropods. The juxtaposition of the marine and non-marine gastropoda of contemporaneous ages mC14 and OSL age-dating of shell material and mineral sands suggest the raised (storm) beach formed between 3.5 and 4.0 ka BP, i.e. 2.5–3.0 ka after the MHH peak, at a height of 1.3–3.3 m above the local RSL position at that time (according to glacial isostatic adjustment modelling). Given the otherwise paucity of data from the upper GoT, the Ko Khang Khao raised beach provides nakes a compelling story for a coastal storm deposit, thrown up either by a winter monsoon storm, or by a palaeotyphoon that managed to penetrate the upper Gulf. Overlapping results of ew information that expands our current understanding of geographical variations in RSL across Southeast Asia during the Late Holocene.”

 Image Source: Terry et al., 2024

Kennedy et al., 2024 (Australia)

Holocene sea-level in Victoria is considered to be primarily driven by eustatic processes and is most likely similar to that of eastern Australia broadly (Bryant, 1992; Kennedy et al., 2020b; Lewis et al., 2013). A maximum elevation during the Holocene occurred at around +1.0–1.5 m 6000–6500 calibrated years ago (cal BP) has been suggested based on dating of raised notches (Cape Liptrap; Baker et al., 2001; Gardner et al., 2009) and estuarine sediments (Anglesea; Kennedy et al., 2021) in southern Victoria  … As the estuary closely tracked sea level during the mid-Holocene it can therefore be used to provide further indication on the spatial extent of the maximum sea level elevation recorded elsewhere in eastern Australia (Lewis et al., 2013) and on the other side of the Tasman Sea (Clement et al., 2016; Kennedy, 2008; Kennedy et al., 2022) during this period. Evidence for a mid-Holocene sea level highstand along the open coast of Victoria, southern Australia, has generally been scant. Fixed biological indicators at Cape Liptrap (165 km east-south-east) suggest a higher sea level of 1.5 m at around 5.5–5.0 ka (Gardner et al., 2009; Haworth et al., 2002), while at Anglesea elevated estuarine shells at +1.14 m date at 6704–6381 cal BP (Kennedy et al., 2021; Figure 9). As the average elevation of the infilled part of the estuary is +2.34 ± 0.51 m and composed of estuarine sediments this further suggests deposition during a period of higher sea level. Combined with the shallowest age (1 m from the surface, +1.021 m above MSL) within Aireys/Painkalac of 6930–6440 year cal BP being very similar to that of Anglesea provides further evidence that a period of higher sea level during the mid-Holocene occurs along the south east coast of Australia.”

Image Source: Kennedy et al., 2024

Freiesleben et al., 2024 (North Sea)

“The postglacial sea-level history in the Limfjord area is based on radiocarbon dating of terrestrial-to-marine transitions in sediment cores, and mollusc shells in raised marine deposits showing a rapid sea-level rise in the Early Holocene (Petersen 1979; Bennike et al. 2019; Jessen et al. 2019) followed by a Middle Holocene peak in sea level 2–5 m higher than present as documented by the raised beach ridges and Littorina shorelines (Mertz 1924).”

Image Source: Freiesleben et al., 2024

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October 31, 2024 at 02:19PM

The Worst Disaster Year In History

ChatGPT says that major hurricanes are caused by the burning of fossil fuels.

The Red Cross described fiscal year 1927 as the worst disaster year in their history including “29 tornadoes, 24 floods, 23 fires, 4 earthquakes, 9 hurricanes

“Floods and Tornadoes Make 1927 Worst Disaster Year in Red Cross History”

By RODNEY DUTCHER (NEA Service Writer)

WASHINGTON, Nov. 25.— Mother Nature’s disposition to settle hostile, the year 1927 was the worst disaster year in American history, according to the Red Cross.

But the Mississippi floods seem insignificant compared to Mother Nature’s wildest rampages in 1927, and the recent floods in New England have added yet till of misfortune major disaster only second in its proportions to that of the Valley states.

Tornadoes and floods have killed more than 300 persons and inflicted property damage estimated at more than $1,000,000,000 since January.

Red Cross Kept Busy The Red Cross has never been so busy in its twenty-five years. Get within four months after it had finished its work in the Florida hurricane area it had to tackle its greatest relief task in its experience in seven states of the south and the middle west. It has aided nearly 700,000 victims of disasters.

Complete Red Cross records are only available up to the end of the last fiscal year ending June 30, 1927. During that fiscal year, the relief organization rendered aid in 111 disasters—a few of them outside the United States—which included 29 tornadoes, 24 floods, 23 fires, 4 earthquakes, 9 hurricanes, 6 mine disasters and some cloudbursts, explosions, railroad wrecks, typhoons and epidemics.”

25 Nov 1927, Page 7 – The News-Review at Newspapers.com

According to NASA, temperatures at that time were cold.

Global Temperature | Vital Signs – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet

During September, 1926 Miami was destroyed by a hurricane.

20 Sep 1926, 14 – Evening Courier at Newspapers.com

That was one of six known major hurricanes that year.

1926_base_revised_4.gif (2078×1561)

NASA shows those hurricanes tracking across cold water.

Global Temperature | Vital Signs – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet

At the time, scientists blamed the disastrous storms on solar activity, rather than a lack of windmills.

20 Sep 1926, 12 – The Vancouver Sun at Newspapers.com

Then came the worst US flood on record in the Mississippi Valley

This was followed by a lot of disastrous tornado outbreaks.

13 Apr 1927, Page 1 – Corsicana Daily Sun at Newspapers.com

May 10, 1927, page 1 – The Boston Globe at Newspapers.com

13 Apr 1927, 1 – Henryetta Daily Free-Lance at Newspapers.com

The Jasper Tornado

The Pittsburgh Press – Google News Archive Search

A number of record heatwaves occurred in 1927, including a protracted one in September and October, which killed scores of people.

15 Sep 1927, 1 – The Gazette at Newspapers.com

The Pittsburgh Press – Google News Archive Search

September 30, 1927
“WOMEN MOTORISTS – Arctic and Australian Trips.”
“To drive by the light of the midnight sun, to race for life through forest fires caused by storm lightning, to lie for 15 hours at a time at the wheel, and to be caught in an endless heat wave and tormented by mosquitoes in what is known to us as the land of eternal snows, were among the recent experiences of an intrepid English woman, Mrs. Victor Bruce, who accompanied her husband and a companion in a 6000 motor tour through the Arctic zone.

Through Belgium, Holland, Germany, Denmark, Lapland, and Finland, the motor party journeyed to 270 miles north of the Arctic Circle, prepared for freezing weather. To their continued astonishment the temperature was never less than 90 degrees in the shade.

The intention was to reach the Arctic Ocean, but 40 miles of marsh country on the coast prevented this.

An average of 210 miles a day was made on the journey, which was arduous in the extreme, and at one time the car had an actual race with death among the forest fires in Sweden over terrible roads.”

30 Sep 1927 – WOMEN MOTORISTS – Trove

02 Jan 1927 – SUNBATHING NEAR THE NORTH POLE – Trove

The heatwave was immediately followed by the worst flood in Vermont history.

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October 31, 2024 at 02:18PM

Claim: Australia has ALREADY Experienced 1.5C of Warming

Essay by Eric Worrall

Still waiting for the promised climate disaster.

Australia is already 1.5 degrees hotter

By Bianca Hall
October 31, 2024 — 12.01am

Australia’s average temperatures have risen by 1.5 degrees for the first time since records began, and the world is on track to overshoot the Paris Accord’s aim to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees.

That’s the latest sobering assessment offered by scientists and meteorologists from the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology, who have mapped Australia’s changing climate for 14 years.

Their latest biennial State of the Climate report, released on Thursday, shows average temperatures continue to rise steadily, while the average number of extreme bushfire days have risen by as many as 25 days a year in parts of the country.

Two years ago, Australia’s temperatures had risen by an average 1.47 degrees since records began in 1910. This year, average temperatures in Australia have risen by 1.5 degrees, while global averaged temperatures have risen by 1.2 degrees since “reliable” records began in 1850.

Read more: https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/australia-is-already-1-5-degrees-hotter-20241029-p5kmb1.html

“Beginning” the records in 1910 conveniently misses what may have been the worst heatwave ever in recorded Australian history, the Federation Drought of 1895 – 1903. But despite claiming temperature records before 1910 are too unreliable to include in official records, government climate scientists are confident that more recent droughts are hotter.

435 people died in an 1896 heatwave — but scientists say the extreme heat events of today are still hotter

By Sophie Meixner and Daniel Nancarrow
Sat 21 Dec 2019

In the late 19th century, Australia was struck by a heatwave so intense that 435 people were killed and hundreds more were sent fleeing for their lives.

Key points:

  • Bourke, NSW, is recorded as hitting 48.9C three times in 1896, with a maximum temperature of 38C for over three weeks straight
  • But climate scientists say the methods used to record temperature in 1896 were flawed and heatwaves today are hotter
  • They say the high death toll in 1896 was due to the community being more vulnerable to heat events

The 1895-1896 heatwave during the Federation Drought holds the record as Australia’s deadliest heatwave, closely followed by 2009, which recorded at least 432 heat-related deaths.

The town of Bourke lost at least 40 people — 1.6 per cent of its population — during the 1896 event, while Sydney authorities reported hospitals at breaking point and pedestrians collapsing in the streets.

Newspaper reports describe temperatures in Bourke reaching 48.9 degrees Celsius on three occasions, and the maximum temperature remaining above 38C for 24 consecutive days.

As Australia endures a series of intense and record-breaking heatwaves this summer, the 1896 event is sometimes viewed as evidence that Australia has always experienced extraordinary heat, and that the effects of climate change are overblown.

But climate scientists say that is an oversimplification, and the heatwaves we experience today are significantly hotter than those in the past.

A Stevenson screen was not installed in Bourke until August 1908, meaning temperature readings from before that could be inflated by as much as 2C.

Read more: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-12-21/1896-heatwave-killed-435-climate-scientists-cant-compare-today/11809998

The implication of the article above, that modern temperature recording is rigorous compared to the old days, ignores a lot of problems with modern temperature records. Australian climate scientist Jennifer Morohasy has fought a long running campaign to force the Aussie Bureau of Meteorology to admit they are less than perfect.

Whatever the truth about past heatwaves compared to the present, there are indications Australians are getting fed up with climate fear mongering. The greens suffered a major setback in the recent Queensland State Election.

The breaching of a 1.5C climate disaster limit which nobody notices is unlikely to add to the faltering credibility of climate doomsday pronouncements.

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October 31, 2024 at 12:03PM