Elmstone DCNN 5386 DCNN 5387 – An example of the very many good but lost weather stations.

DCNN 5387 51.29930 1.24678 My estimate – CIMO Class 1 Installed 1/1/1972 CLOSED 31/12/1994 Image December 1990 Courtesy Google Earth Pro.

DCNN 5386 51.29841 1.232150 My Estimate – CIMO Class 1 Installed 1/1/1938 CLOSED 31/12/1972 Image December 1960 Courtesy Google Earth Pro.

Elmstone and its relocated site Elmstone No 2 were former Met Office manual sites in Kent with a local record breaking history. They are typical of the literally hundreds of well sited, good quality sites that have disappeared over recent decades. I contend the loss of such sites and the advent of new poorly sited (mostly urban) stations is distorting the UK historic climate record.

On the 30th January 1947 Elmstone recorded the coldest ever temperature in modern times in the county of Kent at MINUS 21.3°C – extremely cold by any standards. Neither of the weather station sites were in frost hollows being situated in a flat open and high agricultural value landscape locally known as the “Ash Levels” named after the nearby village of Ash. They did both, however, regularly record significantly cooler temperatures than urban environments.

A Kent based amateur meteorologist known as “Meopham Weather” has five weather stations in Kent and interestingly appears to be keener on cold records than hot ones. He publishes several meteorological You Tube videos including the one below of his journey to identify the historic Elmstone sites – a useful reference showing the localities of the stations.

Assessing the sites to the CIMO standards, both were over 100 metres from any artificial heat sources, on flat land with no shading problems and in open countryside fully representative of the area for many miles around. Perfection is likely close to impossible in the highly varied and developed nature of south east England but these sites were likely as good as it gets – on a par with Rothamsted.

Investigating the closure of Elmstone uncovered interesting numbers in the history of weather sites in Kent. Going back to archives of 150 years ago i.e 1874, I was able to locate 12 simultaneously operating official weather stations in the county. 50 years later in 1924 this number had increased to a total of 18 stations. By 50 years ago, in 1974, there were 32 simultaneously operating official Met Office weather stations.

Now in 2024 there are just 7 reporting Met Office Stations in Kent. This reduced number of sites over recent decades is reflected throughout the UK……Why?

Starting in the late 1970’s, the move to automating site readings to get real time information required changing thermometers from traditional visually read liquid-in-glass thermometers to electrically operated Platinum Resistance Thermometers . This in turn required weather stations to have a reliable electricity supply and data communications equipment. In the early days (and even now) these services were frequently not available or practical to provide in rural sites like Elmstone. Ultimately such sites were closed in favour of those able to offer such services i.e airfields, water and sewage works, botanic gardens, coastguard stations, urban areas etc so currently dominating today’s selection. {Issues regarding this change of recording device will be the subject of a separate post}

Of the over 25 closed Kent weather stations in the last 50 years, identified longstanding rural sites at Anvil Green, Charing, Dover/RMS Guston, Dungeness, Elmstone, Eynsford, Hadlow, Northdown, Peckham (Kent), St Margarets, Throwley, Tunstall,  Ulcombe,  West Malling and Wye were all in locations that would probably rank as CIMO Class 1 or 2 quality. In lieu of some of these the Met Office has seen fit to introduce sites such as Frittenden (very poor Class 5) Goudhurst (Class 4) Faversham (Class 4) and Langdon Bay (Class 4).

This selected site location with an increasing preponderance of urban and poor quality sites dominating a much smaller number of sample points is a contributing factor to artificially inflating the temperature record.

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October 4, 2024 at 11:33AM

Live at 1 pm Eastern, 10 am Pacific, The Aftermath and Myths of Hurricane Helene – The Climate Realism Show #129

Hurricane Helene will go down as one of the most-significant natural disasters (so far) in US History, and certainly of the 21st century. While the Florida panhandle was walloped when it made landfall, the storm did most of its shocking damage far from shore in the Appalachian Mountains of eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina. Entire towns were wiped clean off the surface of the earth and close to 200 lost their lives. The storm was bad, but the media has been spreading myths about both the flooding’s historic nature, and the causes of that flooding. Human-caused “climate change” had nothing to do with it, as The Climate Realism Show crew and special guest Joe Bastardi will explain. Bastardi, chief forecaster for WeatherBELL Analytics, is one of America’s leading hurricane experts and historians, and we are thrilled to welcome him back to the show.

The Heartland Institute’s H. Sterling Burnett, Anthony Watts, Linnea Lueken, and Jim Lakely will also cover some of the Crazy Climate News of the Week, including how badly EVs and hurricanes mix, who is funding the pernicious climate alarm narrative globally, whether humans can “steer” hurricanes, and more.

Join us LIVE at 1 p.m. ET so you can leave your questions and comments for the show in the chat.

Now it is moving to politics. The New York Times recently reported. “After years of political consensus on the transition to cleaner energy, a ‘greenlash’ began bubbling up as prices rose and right-wing candidates gained ground.”

Dr. Benny Peiser of The Global Warming Policy Foundation has been following NetZero efforts for years, and he joins us as a special guest.

We will tackle this subject, as well as go over the Crazy Climate News of the Week. Tune in LIVE for the stream at 1 p.m. ET (noon CT) to watch the show and leave your own questions in the chat with host Anthony Watts, along with panelists H. Sterling Burnett and Linnea Lueken.

This show will be archived in WUWT Climate TV, a collection of over six hundred videos, featuring new interviews and analysis, and covering dozens of media sources discussing, debating and analyzing the latest in climate science, climate politics, and energy policy, including topics concerning temperature, sea level, polar bears, ocean acidification, extreme weather, censorship, wild fires, and more.

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October 4, 2024 at 11:31AM

Saturday

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October 4, 2024 at 09:09AM

Top Carmakers Demand Big Changes To ZEV Mandate

By Paul Homewood

 

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https://www.smmt.co.uk/vehicle-data/car-registrations/

On the face of it, EV sales have had a good month in September, with a rise in share to 20.5%. YTD sales nevertheless remain well below expectations at 17.8%, and it is now obvious that they will not hit their mandated target for the year of 22%, unless manufacturers withdraw petrol and diesel cars from the market entirely.

But the September figures are not all that they seem. The rise in share for EVs is partly due to a drop in sales of petrol vehicles. Up to July, petrol sales were 1.5% up year on year. In the last two months, sales have fallen, with last month 9.3% down on September 2023.

The conclusion is clear – manufacturers are now cutting back on petrol cars put out on to the market, in order to get closer to their ZEV target.

The situation is actually worse for EVs than it appears. The Telegraph reports that EV sales to private buyers is stagnating, while buyers are turning back to diesel. This despite carmakers throwing billions at discounts for EVs, something which is not sustainable in the long run:

image

image

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/10/04/diesel-car-sales-outpace-evs-industry-criticises-net-zero/

There is simply no way that EVs will even reach a share of 22%, never mind the target of 28% set for next year, on fleet sales alone.

The news comes as ten top carmakers have written to Rachel Reeves demanding a row back on “flawed” sales targets:

image

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/10/04/diesel-car-sales-outpace-evs-industry-criticises-net-zero/

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October 4, 2024 at 08:26AM