Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

The coming revolution in numerical weather prediction [link]

Dessler, Mauritsen and Stevens:  The influence of internal variability on Earth’s energy balance framework and implications for estimating climate sensitivity [link]

Reduction in global area burned and wildfire emissions since 1930s enhances carbon uptake by land [link]

Gavin Schmidt: The Silurian hypothesis:  would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in the geologic record? [link]

Nature: “And if the ocean circulation is sensitive to climate change, as is highly likely, will the currents respond abruptly and perhaps violently at some point, or will the transition be smooth? These are among the most pressing questions in climate science.” [link]

Mechanisms and Predictability of Pacific Decadal Variability [link]

Atlantic ‘conveyor belt’ has slowed by 15% since mid-20th century [link]

Progress in subseasonal to seasonal prediction through a joint weather and climate community effort [link]

The last interglacial (MIS 5e) cycle at Little Bahama Bank: A history of climate and sea-level changes [link]

an explanation for why we don’t see more obliquity signal in Antarctic ice core data. We use several climate models to point to probable winter biases in proxy reconstructions of annual mean air temperature.[link]

New study reveals increased snowfall in Antarctica over last two centuries [link]

Intercomparison of the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature v4 and v3b Datasets [link]

The sensitivity of the Greenland Ice Sheet to glacial–interglacial oceanic forcing [link]

Recent studies show large disagreements on the allowable ‘carbon budget’ remaining to keep warming below 1.5C. Why they differ and how they might be reconciled: [link]

Impacts of snow on soil temperature observed across the circumpolar north (open access) [link]

Falling sea level caused volcanoes to overflow: New connections between the solid earth and the climate system [link]

Social sciences & policy

What counts as evidence in policy-making? [link]

Negotiating rhetorics about climate resilience: Your seawall won’t save you [link]

Shuttering all US nuclear plants would be the equivalent of losing every single wind turbine on our planet. [link]

Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change [link]

Time to refine key climate policy models | Nature Climate Change [link]

Marine heatwaves have become longer and more frequent over the past century, with a 54% increase in annual heatwave days in the global ocean (1925-2016). This could impact marine ecosystems globally. [link]

About science & scientists

Pielke Jr: Science Communication as Intellectual Hospitality [link]

National Academies of Science: The crisis in science: “Improper use of statistics, arbitrary research techniques, lack of accountability, political groupthink, and a scientific culture biased toward producing positive results together have produced a critical state of affairs.” [link

Polar bear specialist Mitch Taylor on accountability in polar bear science [link]

Should nutrition researchers declare their own diet as a conflict of interest? [link

Why it’s as hard to escape an echo chamber as it is to flee a cult [link]

Clin Cancer Rsch: “[survey] results indicated that the pressure to publish & the publication process greatly impact the scientific community and appear to influence a shift in their ethics from honest reporting to selective reporting or data falsification” [link]

Academia’s consilience crisis [link]

via Climate Etc.

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April 20, 2018 at 07:07PM

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