by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye the past 7(!) weeks.
The future of the carbon cycle in a changing climate [link]
Trends in weather ‘pleasantness’ [link]
Misconceptions of global catastrophe [link]
Over 15-30 years, internal variability dominates temperature trends. https://pure.mpg.de/rest/items/item_3180826/component/file_3235686/content
How Atmospheric Rivers trigger Greenland Ice Sheet melt [link]
Do clouds warm or cool the Greenland Ice Sheet enhancing or reducing its mass loss? It all depends on the season and location. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087315
Decadal sea level variability in Pacific tied to land H2O storage in key areas across globe https://nature.com/articles/s41598-017-00875-5…
Anthropogenic land cover change impact on climate extremes during the 21st century https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab702c…
Global land cover trends: “Overall, global area of forest increases significantly from 1982 to 2015… shrubland… shows a significant increasing trend … grassland, tundra, barren land & [permanent] snow/ice significantly decreases” https://earth-syst-sci-data.net/12/1217/2020/
External Forcing Explains Recent Decadal Variability of the Ocean Carbon Sink https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019AV000149#.Xte6T7m5bvw.twitter…
Forest carbon stocks appear to be resilient to temperature increases, at least up to moderate levels of warming. [link]
“Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6”. https://earth-syst-dynam.net/11/491/2020/esd-11-491-2020.html…
Tim Palmer: Can short term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change? [link]
Are we seeing a new ocean starting to form in Africa? [link]
Quantifying the irreducible uncertainty in near‐term climate projections https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/wcc.563…
Scientists Discover That Coral Reefs Can Adapt To Warming Ocean Temps [link]
Tiny plankton drive processes in the ocean that capture twice as much carbon as scientists thought [link]
Koutsoyiannis: “Revisiting global hydrological cycle: Is it intensifying?” https://hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/hess-2020-120/#discussion
‘Raw data’ is an oxymoron [link]
Carbon-cycle feedbacks could already be making the prospect of keeping warming below 2 degrees Celsius — the target agreed to in the Paris climate accord in 2015 — all but impossible. [link]
Weighting climate models by their ability to reproduce recent temperature trends substantially reduces the upper bound of projected warming over the 21st century [link]
WMO Monsoons Climate Change Assessment. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1
“Increasing heavy rainfall events in South India due to changing land use land cover” https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/qj.3826…
The effect of urban heat island on climate warming in China [link]
Temperature trends in Antarctica https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1873965220300293…
Paper on Geothermal Heat Flow in Antarctica – a summary of everything you wanted to know about GHF! https://scar.org/scar-news/serce-news/scar-serce-ghf/
Resolution, tropical convection and their link to atmospheric waves are important sources of uncertainty in climate models: [link]
Is Climate Variability Organized? https://eos.org/editors-vox/is-climate-variability-organized#.XuIvIglQRWg.twitter
Policy and technology
Who’s to blame for climate change? [link]
Michael Kelly: until we get a roadmap, net zero is a goal without a plan [link]
From Robert Pindyck: Luminously clear (and provocative) paper on what we know and don’t know about climate change. Lessons: There are irreversibilities from both action & inaction, and major uncertainties are everywhere. https://nber.org/papers/w27304
Systematic misuse of scenarios in climate research and assessment [link]
How people learn to become resilient [link]
Floridians would have been spared $480 million in property damage from Hurricane Irma if the state’s coastal wetlands hadn’t shrunk. [link]
“it is not possible for scientists to give frank advice if they feel that they will be made the scapegoats for difficult policy decisions” [link]
IPCC baseline scenarios overproject CO2 emissions and economic growth [link]
11 cognitive biases that influence political outcomes [link]
“Steel, Hydrogen And Renewables: Strange Bedfellows? Maybe Not…” https://forbes.com/sites/thebakersinstitute/2020/05/15/steel-hydrogen-and-renewables-strange-bedfellows-maybe-not/…
The world is getting better at adapting to the damages caused by hurricanes. All except America, which isn’t adapting at all https://journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/685908#/doi/full/10.1086/685908
New publication in the MAGIC project takes a critical look at the circular economy [link]
Chinese dams have altered the flow of the Mekong river, with grim consequences for farmers and fishermen downstream [link]
Turning manure into money: Farmers and utilities are burning methane for energy — and curtailing a powerful greenhouse gas https://washingtonpost.com/climate-solutions/2020/06/16/climate-solutions-manure/…
An intriguing approach to boosting crops’ ability to adapt to increasingly unpredictable weather without #GMO technology [link]
Understanding and Managing Connected Extremes” explores extreme weather and climate change in the context of physical drivers & societal forces. [link]
Does this tiny island off the coast of Maine hold the answer to the future of electricity? https://ensia.com/features/isle-au-haut-renewable-energy-electricity-microgrid/…
About science and scientists.
War against climate science, waged by Washington’s rank and file [link] JC note: reverse happened under the Obama administration.
Einstein’s Lost Hypothesis – Is a third-act twist to nuclear energy at hand? [link]
Science without validation in a world without meaning [link]
Individuals with higher cognitive abilities tend to be more supportive of freedom of speech, even for groups they dislike [link]
The importance of red teams [link]
The rogue experimenters [link
People who confidently overestimated their level of intelligence felt better and were more sociable, while those who were more accurate were more conscientious – and more intelligent. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/jopy.12561?campaign=wolacceptedarticle
‘Raw data’ is an oxymoron [link]
An Orwellexicon for bias and dysfunction in academia [link]
The American press is destroying itself [link]
Is there still room for debate? [link]
via Climate Etc.
June 22, 2020 at 05:13PM
Iowa Climate Science Education 