Month: May 2023

What’s Wrong With “All Cars Shall Be Electric”

First “Common Good Capitalism” is an Oxymoron

Donald J. Boudreaux explains this newly minted term and that it really means imposing choices in the marketplace.  His AIER article is What’s Called “Common Good Capitalism” Would Work Against the Common Good.  Excerpts in italics with my bolds.

The foundation upon which the case for so-called “common good capitalism” rests is rickety at best. As I explained in my previous column, the empirical claims used to justify this ill-defined version of capitalism range from questionable to downright false, while much of the economic reasoning deployed by “common good capitalists” is a nest of confusion. These flaws alone are enough to fully discredit the case for “common good capitalism.”

Yet “common good capitalism” is marred by an even deeper problem: it rejects the liberalism from which true capitalism springs, the absence of which makes impossible the operation of a dynamic market order that maximizes the prospects of individuals to achieve as many as possible of their goals.

“Common good capitalists” have in mind an economic system profoundly different from that which is championed today by liberal scholars.  What each “common good capitalist” wants is an economic system engineered to serve his or her preferred set of concrete ends. Gone would be the liberal freedom of individuals to choose and pursue their own ends. Under “common good capitalism,” everyone would be conscripted to produce and consume in ways meant to promote only the ends favored by “common good capitalists.”

Note the irony. The economic system that, say, Oren Cass claims to advocate as a means of promoting the common good is, in reality, a means of promoting only the good as conceived by Oren Cass (which, for him, consists largely of an economy with more manufacturing jobs and a smaller financial sector). The hubris here is undeniable. “Common good capitalists” not only presume to have divined which concrete ends are best to guide the actions of hundreds of millions of individuals, nearly all of whom are strangers to them, but also are so confident in their divinations that they advocate pursuing these with the use of force.

The liberal doesn’t object to attempts to persuade others to adopt different and, hopefully, better ends. By all peaceful means, do your best to persuade me to embrace, as the lodestar for my choice of concrete ends, Catholic Social Teaching, economic nationalism, Marxism, veganism, or whatever other teaching or -ism you believe best defines the common good. But do not presume that your sincere embrace of a specific system of concrete values provides sufficient warrant for you to compel me and others to behave as if we share your particular values.

To the extent that the state intrudes into market processes in order to redirect
these toward the achievement of particular ends, it replaces market
competition and cooperation with command-economy dirigisme.

Income earners are not allowed to use the fruits of their creativity and efforts as they choose. Instead, consumption ‘decisions’ will be directed by government officials. The result will be a reallocation of resources achieved through the use, mostly, of tariffs and subsidies. And by so redirecting consumption expenditures, the pattern of production will obviously also be changed from what would prevail in a free market. (In fact, the specific goal of most “common good capitalists” seems to be the achievement of a particular manner of production — for example, more factory jobs — than would arise with markets left free.)

The capitalist economy, by its very nature, is not and cannot be
a tool for achieving particular concrete outcomes.

The capitalist economy, instead, is the name that we give to that ongoing, ever-evolving, organic order of production and exchange that arises spontaneously whenever individuals are free to pursue diverse peaceful ends of their own choosing and to do so in whatever peaceful ways they think best. That the results serve the common good is clear, if by “common good” we mean the highest possible chance of as many individuals as possible to achieve as many as possible of their own individually chosen goals. But let the state attempt to constrain and contort economic activity in the pursuit of a particular set of “common” concrete ends that everyone is compelled to serve, and capitalism disappears. It is replaced by what is more accurately called “[fill in the blank]’s-particular-notion-of-the-good statism,” with the blank filled by the name of whichever “common good capitalist” happens currently to be in power.

A Case In Point:  Murphy’s Law Applies to Electric Cars and Trucks 

Forcing Consumers to Purchase Electric Vehicles: A New Low for the Biden Administration by Jonathan Lesser at Real Clear Energy. Excerpts in italics with my bolds.

If electric vehicles are so wonderful,
why are consumers and businesses being forced to buy them?

The US Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) new emissions standards for vehicles, released earlier this month, require manufacturers to increase overall fuel efficiency by over 25% by 2026, effectively mandating that EV’s make up two thirds of car sales. The EPA claims this will provide a total of over $1 trillion in benefits by 2055, reduce crude oil imports by 20 billion barrels, and reduce CO2 emissions by 10 billion tons.

What’s not to like? Just about everything.

Ruinous Economic Impacts

Let’s start with the economic impacts, which will be ruinous. First, the price of EVs will increase; that’s basic economics. The new rules will require that about two-thirds of the vehicles manufacturers sell are EVs. Given that most consumers do not purchase EVs, the best way to do that is to raise prices on internal combustion (ICE) vehicles until they are more costly than EVs. (Today, the reverse is true, with the average EV costing around $65,000, while the average ICE vehicle costs around $48,000.) Increasing provides an umbrella under which EV prices can be raised, too. So, if a consumer or business wants to purchase a new vehicle, they effectively will be forced to buy a more costly EV.

Battery Demand Over the Top

Second, increasing the demand for EVs will increase the demand for the materials to manufacture batteries, which are the single largest cost of an EV. Prices for rare earths, for example, have increased between 60% and 400% since 2020. Prices for lithium, the basic ingredient in most EV batteries, have increased by about 400%. Moreover, the US continues to prevent development of new mines to supply those materials. Instead, China has a stranglehold on them, and lax environmental rules to boot.

Electric Power Mostly Carbon

Then there is the electricity needed to charge those EVs, along with the charging stations in homes, apartment buildings, and on highways. Claims that this electricity will actually reduce emissions are based on huge predicted increases in wind and solar energy development. Yet, the US Energy Information Administration projects that, by 2050, wind and solar will provide only about 40% of electricity supplies. Consequently, much of the electricity needed to charge those millions of EVs will be provided by natural gas and even coal.

So, while the EPA may limit tailpipe emissions,
it will transfer many of those emissions to power plants.

Inflated Electricity Bills

Electricity costs will also increase, negating the anticipated savings from “refuelling” those EVs. That’s why the federal government has provided subsidies for wind and solar energy development for 45 years and why so many states implemented green energy mandates: developers of wind and solar could not, and still cannot, compete on price alone, despite proponents’ claims.

No Measurable Impact on Climate

But let’s suppose those hurdles magically are overcome. The environmental justification for the EPA rule is nonetheless absurd. The claimed reductions in CO2 emissions will have no measurable impact on world climate. Reducing CO2 emissions by 10 billion tons between 2027 and 2055 sounds like a lot. But world CO2 emissions were 34 billion metric tons in 2021 alone. So, over 28 years, the EPA’s proposed rule will reduce CO2 emissions by the equivalent of about four months of world CO2 emissions. And world emissions continue to increase because developing nations, especially China and India, have no intentions to restrict their economies.

Why Impose EVs?

The basic economic impacts, along with the negligible climate benefits, raise a simple question: why is the Biden Administration pursuing this EV windmill-tilting exercise? By effectively forcing consumers and businesses to purchase vehicles they do not want, the Administration will impose yet more damage on American’s standard of living, reducing mobility and raise costs.

That can’t possibly be their goal, right?

If only arm-twisting were prohibited beyond the ring.

 

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May 2, 2023 at 12:44PM

The Conversation: “Is acting on climate change as important as love and bedtime stories?”

Essay by Eric Worrall

“… if parents do nothing, they fail their children …”

What makes a good parent? Is acting on climate change as important as love and bedtime stories?

Craig Stanbury, Monash University
Published: May 2, 2023 6.00am AEST

What makes a good parent? Most would say a good parent loves and nurtures their child with the ultimate aim of helping them flourish – now and into the future. A good parent will feed their child, give them space to play and time to use their imagination, make sure they get an education and medical care, listen to their troubles, and teach them to one day be autonomous adults. 

However, does being a good parent involve anything more than this? 

In her book, Parenting on Earth, philosopher and mother Elizabeth Cripps argues that to do right by their kids, parents must also attempt to do something about the problems caused by climate change.

Cripps does not claim that it will be possible to do this all the time. (Climate action needs to be balanced against other duties involved in raising a child.) It may seem futile at times. But, if parents do nothing, they fail their children.

Read more: https://theconversation.com/amp/what-makes-a-good-parent-is-acting-on-climate-change-as-important-as-love-and-bedtime-stories-202349

The suggestion that climate activism is as important as love is not only absurd, in my opinion it is dangerous.

If climate activism is as important as love, then parents who don’t show the expected level of commitment to climate activism are unfit parents.

The following was written by Tim Flannery in 2019;

Why ‘predatory’ climate deniers are a threat to our children

Tim Flannery 17 September 2019

In this age of rapidly melting glaciersterrifying megafires and ever more puissant hurricanes, of acidifying and rising oceans, it is hard to believe that any further prod to climate action is needed.

My children, and those of many prominent polluters and climate denialists, will probably live to be part of that grim winnowing – a world that the Alan Joneses and Andrew Bolts of the world have laboured so hard to create.

How should Australia’s parents deal with those who labour so joyously to create a world in which a large portion of humanity will perish? As I have become ever more furious at the polluters and denialists, I have come to understand they are threatening my children’s well-being as much as anyone who might seek to harm a child.

Read more: https://reneweconomy.com.au/why-predatory-climate-deniers-are-a-threat-to-our-children-39767/

Flannery shies away from articulating the logical conclusion of his suggestion that “predatory” climate deniers are harming their own children and the children of others, but it seems pretty obvious where this is headed.

Unless we challenge this outrageous narrative, it is only a matter of time until some deep green politician advances a plan to “rescue” children from those unfit climate denier parents, by placing “predatory deniers” into the same legal category as pedophiles.

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May 2, 2023 at 12:34PM

Where’s The Warming? April In Tokyo Hasn’t Warmed In 35 Years…Hachijo-jima Island In 80 Years!

Charts by Tony Heller’s wife, Kirye

The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) has released the mean temperature data for April, 2023, for Tokyo and its island in the Pacific: Hachijō-jima.

April is the big month of spring, and warming would tell us that this month ought to be getting colder due to more CO2 in the atmosphere. But the data doesn’t show that.

Here’s the April mean temperature data for the city of Tokyo since 1988:

The April, 2023, mean temperature for Tokyo was a warm 16.3°C, but the trend for the least 35 years still shows no warming.  Data source: JMA.

 Indeed April mean temperatures for the city of Tokyo hasn’t warmed since James Hansen warned of catastrophic global warming before Congress.

Hachijō-jima

April mean temperatures of Tokyo’s island of Hachijō-jima  (located in the Pacific Ocean 287 kilometers south of Tokyo) going back to 1944. The island is rural and free of the urban heat island (UHI) effects.

Data source: JMA.

Here we see that Hachijo-jima’s April mean temperature hasn’t risen in some 80 years! We’ve provided the links so readers can check the data themselves.

Warming little to do with CO2

If we go back to the time since temperature recording began, it’s true that both locations have warmed. Yet if we compare mean daily of  maximum temperature of (urban) Tokyo’s rate to rural Hachijō-jima, we see a glaring urban heat island (UHI) difference:

Data source: JMA

While mean daily maximum temperature in rural Hachijo-jima has risen only very modestly, the rise has been much greater in urban Tokyo, especially over the most recent decades.

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May 2, 2023 at 12:23PM

Ice is in global retreat. How much, how fast, how serious?

Data from some 50 spacecraft using a variety of techniques to monitor ice sheets show a worldwide retreat in the face of rising global temperatures.

However a detail from a recent news report on ice loss struck me as being very interesting: All the ice lost from Greenland and Antarctica in the past three decades could be represented as a cube 20 km on its side. Just compare that to the height of Mt Everest – about 9 km. That’s a lot of ice.

A 20 km cube is a lot; 7,560 billion tonnes of it actually. Two thirds of it comes from Greenland with the rest from Antarctica. Greenland is melting, Antarctica is being chipped away at the edges. The combined volume of ice in Greenland and Antarctica is about 32,900,000 cubic km. Hence a 20 km cube (8000 cubic km) represents a loss of only 0.024%, over three decades.

Looked at in absolute terms that doesn’t appear that much. It has contributed to an estimated 22 mm in global sea level rise. But at what stage does this slow melt become just interesting rather than alarming? One the face of it 0.024% over 30 years doesn’t seem something to unduly worry about, after all nobody would expect ice volume to remain constant in any realistic situation of climatic change.

The main point I took from the report is that ice loss seems to be a global phenomenon. What’s happening in Greenland and Antarctica is part of a global pattern.

Another recent report comes from the Cryosat satellite which takes a global view of the 200,000 or so glaciers on earth (excluding Greenland and Antarctica). It concludes that 2,720 billion tonnes of glacial ice have been lost in the past decade. But what is that expressed as a cube of ice? It would be a cube 14.6 km on its side, or 38% of the volume of our original 20 km cube. The researchers say it represents a 2% loss in a decade. Would we be worried if it was a 1% change? And if we observed at 2% increase instead, would we be worried about a looming ice age?

On one hand these volumes of ice are relatively small. On the other, these figures show how sensitive sea levels are to the melting of relatively small volumes of ice.

Not so long ago the place where I write this (southern England) was uninhabitable tundra, not far from the greatest southerly reach of Ice Age glaciers. Thanks to globally rising temperatures England today has become a green and pleasant land. The Earth has never been unchanging, but now we have the most sophisticated technologies to measure even the smallest and most gradual changes, using a multitude of parameters and features that respond to even modest changes in temperatures and the environments. What is more, we have become hyper-sensitised to those changes and are apt to extrapolate them far into the future – over longer timespans than just few years or decades and anticipating changes far more rapid and far more than one percent.

Feedback: david.whitehouse@netzerowatch.com

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May 2, 2023 at 10:01AM