Month: September 2024

The Climate Afterlife

“Top Climate Scientist: Humans Will Go Extinct if We Don’t Fix Climate Change by 2023

A top climate scientist is warning that climate change will wipe out all of humanity unless we stop using fossil fuels over the next five years.In a recent speech at the University of Chicago, James Anderson — a professor of atmospheric chemistry at Harvard University — warned that climate change is drastically pushing Earth back to the Eocene Epoch from 33 million BCE, when there was no ice on either pole. Anderson says current pollution levels have already catastrophically depleted atmospheric ozone levels, which absorb 98 percent of ultraviolet rays, to levels not seen in 12 million years.”

Top Climate Scientist: Humans Will Go Extinct if We Don’t Fix Climate Change by 2023

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September 1, 2024 at 09:36PM

Climate Change Weekly #517: Net Zero Efforts Destroying Forests and Reefs

From Heartland.org

By H. Sterling Burnett

YOU SHOULD SUBSCRIBE TO CLIMATE CHANGE WEEKLY.

IN THIS ISSUE:

  • Net Zero Efforts Destroying Forests and Reefs
  • Met Office Data Shows Declining Storm Strength and Wind Gusts
  • Great Barrier Reef Arose and Expanded Amid Warmer Temperatures and Fast-Rising Seas

Net Zero Efforts Destroying Forests and Reefs

Many of our readers are probably aware of the tremendous amounts of lithium and cobalt needed for electric vehicle (EV) batteries, among other supposedly green technologies. Climate Change Weekly has previously discussed the environmental destruction and human rights violations inherent in the production of these elements. What many people may be unaware of is the tremendous amount of nickel needed for EVs, a fact I have not written about previously.

Conventional fossil fuel powered vehicles require and use almost no nickel, but nickel is the third-largest mineral/element critical to EV production and function.

And, it turns out, nickel mining, like cobalt and lithium mining, is undertaken largely in developing countries with minimal if any environmental rules and is causing tremendous environmental damage.

The Telegraph is reporting that …

Indonesia is now the world’s largest nickel producer, with 15 per cent of the globe’s lateritic nickel resources—typically low-grade deposits found near the surface.

But demand is still soaring in tandem with the rise of … EVs, which depend on it for their batteries. The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global demand for the metal will grow at least 65 per cent by 2030, and EVs and battery storage are set to take over from stainless steel as the largest end user of nickel by 2040.

Billion dollar Chinese firms anchor the nickel market in Indonesia, but they are often fed cheap ore by hundreds of smaller, mostly locally-owned mines that dot the rainforest.

The artisanal mining and industrial smelting are producing a multi-pronged whammy for Indonesia’s rainforests, wildlife, coral reefs, and people. Forest habitat is destroyed with slash and burn activities to clear forest areas for mining, fragmenting wildlife habitat and producing air pollution and water pollution from the runoff from the mining, which befouls the streams and ultimately the bays where coral colonies exist. In the cities, smelting and refining factories set up right next to booming shanty towns are emitting toxins into the air and over the seas, and wastewater directly into the bays.

Aside from the land destruction and area conversion—forests turned into open pit mines, beaches abandoned due to pollution and mining, and fishing villages replaced by waterfront smelting facilities and factories—graphically displayed in a series of photographs accompanying The Telegraph article, the factories, set up right next to schools and homes, are emitting large amounts of sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and coal ash into the air. The water pollution from the mining runoff and wastewater dumping from the factories straight into the bays are destroying near-coastal fishing, forcing fishermen in small boats farther and farther offshore to catch diminishing numbers of fish, and the country’s coral reefs are being damaged.

Commenting on the green hypocrisy endemic to Indonesia’s nickel boom, the Daily Skeptic writes,

Of course, modern civilization is built on industry so we mustn’t be overly precious about the natural world. But such extensive mining and industrial activities connected with the drive to Net Zero gives the lie to the oft-repeated claim that battery and electric technologies are ‘green’ and ‘good for the planet’.

The intense environmental destruction also highlights the double standards of those who make a big fuss about rainforest and coral reef degradation when they think they can blame ‘greenhouse gases,’ [or agriculture, I would add] but go very quiet when ‘green’ technologies are to blame.

The Daily Sceptic is right, of course, that there is nothing wrong with development. In fact it is usually a positive, although often dirty in its earliest stages, but part of the point is, offshoring mining is required by politicians and activists in industrialized nations for technologies demanded by them to fight climate change. Which brings us to the second hypocritical double standard. Residents of developed countries won’t allow the mining and smelting to be conducted in their countries but are more than happy to see the poor in developing countries suffer from such activities—all to satisfy the mostly Western concern about climate change.

Adding green insult to net zero injury, an analysis of satellite data and photographs suggests the German government allowed electric car manufacturer Tesla to cut down an estimated 500,000 trees during the construction of its Gigafactory near Berlin.

The Daily Mail is reporting an analysis of satellite data by the environmental intelligence firm Kayrros found about “813 acres of dense woodland from the site southeast of Berlin were felled between March 2020 and May 2023—the equivalent to around 500,000 trees.”

Absent an analysis of the age and type of trees cut down, the best estimate from Kayrros chief analyst Antoine Halff is that the equivalent of 13,000 tons of annual carbon dioxide removal and storage was destroyed for the factory’s construction.

Environmentalists have protested the Tesla factory’s construction since the beginning, including repeated, fairly regular protests which have occurred since May when the factory announced it was expanding, and thus expanding its footprint on the land.

The complaint about tree removal is not the first environmental concern raised about Tesla’s Gigafactory. In fact, local water authorities warned the company it faced legal action over water pollution concerns, as a result of the fact “that the wastewater the company releases into the nearby river Spree had phosphorus and nitrogen levels six times higher than permitted.”

Even while reporting on the factory’s destruction of the trees, Halff tried to downplay the harm done, saying the electric cars the Gigafactory would help produce would have a greater impact on net carbon dioxide emissions than the lost trees. That may or may not be true, but one wonders if, in planning the factory, Tesla and German authorities couldn’t have found a less environmentally disruptive site for it, such as an abandoned industrial park or open fields. This would have avoided the necessity of felling a carbon dioxide absorbing, shade and wildlife habitat providing forest.

At Tesla’s Gigawatt factory, you don’t have to worry about not seeing the forest for the trees, because neither the forest nor the trees that made it up exist any longer.

Sources: The Telegraph; Daily Sceptic; Daily Mail


Met Office Data Shows Declining Storm Strength and Wind Gusts

Despite repeated stories being published in recent years with headlines touting windstorms hitting the United Kingdom as unusually powerful and even record-setting, the U.K. Met Office’s State of the UK Climate 2023 report paints a quite different picture.

The report finds windstorms/wind speeds were greater, with more destructive power, in past, cooler decades than in recent years. The Met Office measures storminess vis-à-vis wind speeds as the number of days each year on which 20 stations or more record gusts exceeding 40/50/60 Kt (46/58/69 mph). By this standard, the report finds:

  • Overall, 2023 was comparable in storminess with other years in recent decades in terms of occurrences of max gust speeds exceeding 40/50/60 Kt.
  • There have been fewer occurrences of max gust speeds exceeding 40/50/60 Kt in the last two decades compared with the 1980s and 1990s.
  • The UK annual mean wind speed for 2023 was slightly below the 1991-2020 average.
  • The UK annual mean wind speed from 1969 to 2023 shows a downward trend, consistent with that observed globally.

It turns out that it is not just the number of days with high wind speeds that has fallen over time. In fact, peak wind speeds have fallen on average as well (see the figures from the 2023 report, below).

Sources: Not A Lot Of People Know That; International Journal of Climatology


Great Barrier Reef Arose and Expanded Amid Warmer Temperatures and Fast-Rising Seas

Climate Realism has published a number of reports discussing the status of coral reefs in general and the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in particular. Our reviews of the data clearly show whatever threats coral reefs face, climate change is not prominent among them. Concerning the GBR, it has set records for extent and coral colony coverage each of the past couple of years.

New research confirms that neither rising seas nor modestly warmer oceans pose a threat to the GBR’s continued existence and flourishing. Indeed, according to research published in Quaternary Science Reviews, the GBR in its current form first arose in deeper, more turbid water, and expanded during a period when sea levels were rising at a very rapid rate, much faster than now, and seas were considerably warmer.

The research shows between 8,000 and 6,000 years ago the modern iteration of the Great Barrier Reef developed on shelves in deeper water than it exists in at present, as much as ~2 meters deeper, and evolved and expanded at a time when seas were rising at rates of about 6 to 7 meters per 1,000 years, amounting to between 6 and 7 mm per year—more than 2 feet per century.

In addition, the researchers calculate ocean temperatures were approximately 4 degrees (one would presume, although it is not specified) Celsius higher than the recent average.

“It has been assumed by modern scientists (and popularized by the recent preference for alarmist narratives) that reefs could not favorably withstand these environmental conditions—nor such rapid change,” writes No Tricks Zone in reporting on the study “However, new data suggest coral reef growth was ‘substantial and active’ during this interval, which also characterizes the modern reef growth in this region.”

Indeed, the authors write that based on common beliefs about coral reefs, all the trends at the time would mitigate against coral development and be detrimental to coral colony growth. Their research indicates that is not the case. That the GBR arose as it did during a period of rapid environmental change as sea level rose, temperatures increased, and heavy runoff from wetter conditions resulted in more sediment delivered to the reef areas, shows the remarkable adaptability of coral colonies and species over time.

This confirms what Climate at a Glance: Coral Reefs previously noted: “Coral has existed continuously for the past 60 million years, surviving temperatures and carbon dioxide levels significantly higher than what is occurring today.”

Sources: No Tricks Zone; Quaternary Science Reviews

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September 1, 2024 at 08:03PM

Climate Communism: “… violence and destruction of the environment are key to capitalism …”

Essay by Eric Worrall

The Conversation channeling the work of far left Indian philosopher Amitav Ghosh.

Climate change has deep historical roots – Amitav Ghosh explores how capitalism and colonialism fit in

Published: August 30, 2024 5.01pm AEST

Amitav Ghosh is an internationally celebrated author of 20 historical fiction and non-fiction books. The Indian thinker and writer has written extensively on the legacies of colonialism, violence and extractivism. His most famous works explore migration, globalisation and commercial violence and conquest during the colonial period, against the backdrop of the opium trade in the 1800s.

Julia Taylor: In Ghosh’s recent non-fiction book, The Nutmeg’s Curse: Parables for a Planet in Crisis, he used his storytelling prowess to outline the roots of climate change within two systems of power and oppression: imperialism and capitalism. 

Capitalism is the dominant economic system where ownership of the means of production (industry) is private. Private actors are driven by profit and growth, which has relied on combustion of fossil fuels. 

What Ghosh makes clear is that violence and destruction of the environment are key to capitalism, as they were to colonialism.

Imraan Valodia: Ghosh challenges us to think more deeply about the role of conquest and violence in shaping the planetary crisis we’re facing. And the need to reshape our economic and social relations to address climate change. He does this with remarkable acumen and clarity in another of his works of non-fiction, The Great Derangement. In the book he seeks to explain our failure to address the urgency of climate change. He asks very powerfully whether the current generation is deranged by our inability to grasp the scale, violence and urgency of climate change.

Read more: https://theconversation.com/climate-change-has-deep-historical-roots-amitav-ghosh-explores-how-capitalism-and-colonialism-fit-in-237586

Amitav Ghosh neglected to cite examples of perfect societies which have defeated the evils of capitalism, which is a shame because history abounds with examples of nations which cancelled capitalism – Cambodia’s killing fields, Soviet Gulags, Chinese mass famines are all features of nations which reject rewarding people who do the work.

Perhaps these are examples of good governance to a green – population control in action. And those enterprising Venezuelans searching trash cans for food, you’d struggle to find a better example of fulfilling the green ideal of reducing food waste.

Ghosh seems to be OK with a little personal capitalism, though who knows, perhaps all the profits are going to a good cause. Ghosh’s book is on sale through University of Chicago press for prices starting from US $17.99. Or you can see Ghosh speak next week in South Africa, in a series of public talks.

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September 1, 2024 at 04:04PM

NASA Discovers Third Global Energy Field – As Fundamental as Earth’s Gravity and Magnetic Fields

Something new to science, although predicted, gets measured in Earth’s ionosphere. The research team ‘found that the ambipolar field increases what’s known as the “scale height” of the ionosphere by 271%, meaning the ionosphere remains denser to greater heights than it would be without it.’ Quote: “Any planet with an atmosphere should have an ambipolar field.”
– – –
Using observations from a NASA suborbital rocket, an international team of scientists has, for the first time, successfully measured a planet-wide electric field thought to be as fundamental to Earth as its gravity and magnetic fields, says SciTechDaily.

Known as the ambipolar electric field, scientists first hypothesized over 60 years ago that it drove how our planet’s atmosphere can escape above Earth’s North and South Poles.

Measurements from the rocket, NASA’s Endurance mission, have confirmed the existence of the ambipolar field and quantified its strength, revealing its role in driving atmospheric escape and shaping our ionosphere — a layer of the upper atmosphere — more broadly.

Understanding the complex movements and evolution of our planet’s atmosphere provides clues not only to the history of Earth but also gives us insight into the mysteries of other planets and determining which ones might be hospitable to life.

The paper was published on August 28, 2024, in the journal Nature.

An Electric Field Drawing Particles Out to Space
Since the late 1960s, spacecraft flying over Earth’s poles have detected a stream of particles flowing from our atmosphere into space. Theorists predicted this outflow, which they dubbed the “polar wind,” spurring research to understand its causes.

Some amount of outflow from our atmosphere was expected. Intense, unfiltered sunlight should cause some particles from our air to escape into space, like steam evaporating from a pot of water. But the observed polar wind was more mysterious. Many particles within it were cold, with no signs they had been heated — yet they were traveling at supersonic speeds.

“Something had to be drawing these particles out of the atmosphere,” said Glyn Collinson, principal investigator of Endurance at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, and lead author of the paper. Scientists suspected a yet-to-be-discovered electric field could be at work.

The hypothesized electric field, generated at the subatomic scale, was expected to be incredibly weak, with its effects felt only over hundreds of miles. For decades, detecting it was beyond the limits of existing technology.

In 2016, Collinson and his team got to work inventing a new instrument they thought was up to the task of measuring Earth’s ambipolar field.

How the Ambipolar Field Works
Scientists theorized this electric field should begin at around 150 miles (250 kilometers) altitude, where atoms in our atmosphere break apart into negatively charged electrons and positively charged ions.

Electrons are incredibly light — the slightest kick of energy could send them shooting out to space. Ions are at least 1,836 times heavier and tend to sink toward the ground. If gravity alone were in play, the two populations, once separated, would drift apart over time.

But given their opposite electric charges, an electric field forms to tether them together, preventing any separation of charges and counteracting some of the effects of gravity.

This electric field is bidirectional, or “ambipolar,” because it works in both directions. Ions pull the electrons down with them as they sink with gravity. At the same time, electrons lift ions to greater heights as they attempt to escape to space, like a tiny dog tugging on its sluggish owner’s leash.

The net effect of the ambipolar field is to extend the height of the atmosphere, lifting some ions high enough to escape with the polar wind.

Full article here.
[includes more video and explainers]

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September 1, 2024 at 12:40PM