Author: Iowa Climate Science Education

Why I’m Agnostic Regarding Climate Change Science

Why I’m agnostic re climate change science

I’m agnostic regarding the claimed need for GHG reductions: without scientific training I’m not qualified to judge. Therefore I’m neither convinced nor unconvinced.

I agree with this perceptive Scott Adams article:

Some extracts:

Non-scientists don’t have the tools to form a useful opinion on climate science.

And I can say with complete confidence that if you are a non-scientist, and you have certainty about your opinion on climate science, you are hallucinating about the capacity of your own brain.

Another tell involves claiming non-scientists can dig into the science and figure out how credible it is on their own. If that were true we wouldn’t need highly trained scientists. We could all just wing it using our common sense and whatnot. We can’t. Non-scientists can understand a simple argument from scientists but we don’t have enough context to know what is MISSING from the scientist’s argument. Without that bit of context there can be no credibility.

As a non-scientist, I don’t know what I don’t know.

… a bright, well-informed non-scientist has no realistic chance of reaching an independent opinion on climate change that is better than a guess.

… the illusion that my non-scientist brain can use its “common sense” to evaluate the credibility of experts in the field. Your brain doesn’t have that feature. What you do have is an illusion that makes you think your brain has that feature.

… any non-scientist with a strong opinion on climate science is experiencing an illusion of certainty supported by lots of confirmation bias.

Here’s another article on much the same topic:

In Praise of Ignorance

An extract:

To paraphrase Woody Allen, the most beautiful words in the English language are not “I love you,” but “I don’t know.”

I was impressed by Amy Coney Barrett’s comments on climate change in her confirmation hearings (October 2020) re her nomination for the US Supreme Court:

‘I don’t think my views on climate change or global warming are relevant to the job I would do as a judge. Nor do I feel like I have views that are informed enough.’

‘I’m certainly not a scientist. I mean, I’ve read things about climate change. I would not say I have firm views on it.’

‘I don’t think I’m competent to opine on what causes global warming or not.’

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July 18, 2025 at 01:00PM

Live at 1 p.m. ET: Winning: Gore Fears Climate Realists – The Climate Realism Show #165

Losing the 2000 election was the best thing to happen to Al Gore. He has since become insanely wealthy and admired around the world by peddling climate alarmism. Hollywood gave him an Oscar for his fictitious documentary An Inconvenient Truth, and (like Michael Mann) he claims to be a Nobel Peace Prize winner for his environmental activism.

Yet despite trillions of dollars in propaganda, there’s a sign that Gore’s message of doom is in big trouble: He gave a TED Talk attacking “climate realists” by name. That’s BIG, folks—it shows that the truth, the data, and reality are winning.

The Heartland Institute’s Anthony Watts, Sterling Burnett, Linnea Lueken, Jim Lakely, and our special guest Lois Perry, director of Heartland UK/Europe, will cover some of the breaking and crazy climate news of the week from around the world.

Antarctica is gaining ice, defying the predictions of climate doomers. A BBC presenter is worried that climate scientists might be a monolithic ideological bloc. An environmental protection charity in Scotland is finally pushing back against wind power because of how it kills threatened bird species. And a “controlled burn” by our government betters turned into a raging inferno at the Grand Canyon that destroyed a historic building.

Join us LIVE at 1 p.m. ET on YouTube, Rumble, and X—we’ll answer the questions you leave for our panel in the chat!


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July 18, 2025 at 11:38AM

Up Is Down, And Renewables Are Cheaper–It’s Jackanory Time At The BBC

By Paul Homewood

 It’s official! Renewable energy is definitely cheaper than fossil fuels and the tens of billions we pay out to subsidise reduce your electricity bills!

It must be true – the BBC’s Executive Complaints Unit says so!

I complained about a BBC World at One soft soap interview with the lobbyist for the wind industry, Adam Berman, a few months ago. He was allowed to get away with the lie that renewable energy is cheaper than gas power, and that our electricity bills are high because of the price of gas.

I covered the story here.

Predictably the ECU has rejected my complaint. In doing so they have totally ignored the evidence I sent them, viz:

1) Fiscal data from the OBR regarding Environmental Levies, aka subsidies for renewables, which will amount to £17.1 billion this year, all of which is added to bills.

2) Costs of grid balancing, which amount to £2.6 billion, nearly all of which are incurred because of the intermittency of renewables, and all of which are added to bills.

3) Details of subsidies paid out via CfDs, which specifically destroy the notion that renewables are cheaper.

4) Details of other subsidies, such as Renewables Obligation.

Not only did the ECU ignore this evidence, they failed to refute it or explain why it was in any way irrelevant to electricity bills.

In rejecting my complaint, the ECU concluded:

In my judgement, the interview provided a duly accurate and clear explanation of how the UK electricity market functions. It served to clarify the complex relationship between gas prices and electricity costs, and the role of renewables in the current day to day pricing structure.

Bear in mind that the specific topic of discussion was “why are UK electricity prices so high?”. It was not a discussion of how the market works. As such the ECU’s response is not relevant.

As for the ECU’s “proof” that renewables are cheaper, they state:

In the second half of 2021 and most of 2022, the price of gas significantly increased because of market changes after Covid-19 restrictions were lifted and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This has made renewables comparatively even cheaper.
Even before the rise in gas prices, new renewables schemes were able to generate electricity more cheaply than fossil fuels. In 2021, the global average lifetime cost of electricity generation for new solar panels and hydropower generators was 11% lower than the cheapest new fossil fuel generator, while onshore wind was 39% lower.

The fact that gas prices spiked in 2022 have no relevance to why prices are so high now.

As for the second paragraph, they link to this report from the International Renewable Energy Agency:

image

https://www.irena.org/publications/2022/Jul/Renewable-Power-Generation-Costs-in-2021

Their theoretical costings are global ones, based on new construction and have no connection whatsoever to the actual prices and subsidies paid out in the UK for wind and solar farms built years ago, or that still continue to be built.

Why does the ECU need to go back to a theoretical study published four years ago and based globally, when there is the actual data readily available?

It is not theoretical costings that determine our bills, it is what we actually pay to generators.

The ECU also wheel out that old BEIS study from 2023, purportedly showing that new build renewables are cheaper.

In addition, the most recent Government assessment of electricity generation costs shows the levelised cost of electricity from wind and solar is generally lower than for gas-fired generation.

The same report they wheel out every time this issue is raised. Whether they are cheaper is irrelevant, because wind farms built in future don’t affect current bills.

But what really struck me was this section at the end of the ECU letter:

However, I think it is worth noting Contracts for Difference provide low carbon generators with a guaranteed price per MWh of electricity generated but they also mean generators have to make payments back to suppliers if the market price of electricity is higher than the guaranteed, so-called “strike” price. My understanding is most CfD strike prices are currently below the wholesale market price.

My understanding? What does “your understanding” have to do with anything? Is it so difficult to get hold of the facts?

I presented the facts surrounding CfDs, which conclusively show that “your understanding” is false. So why do you still maintain otherwise?

So, just to make this crystal clear. The OBR say that CfDs will be paid a subsidy of £1.4bn this year, and this will increase in the next four years:

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/image-78.png

https://obr.uk/download/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/

And on a monthly basis, subsidies have been paid throughout the period of the scheme, except for a few months in 2021/22:

image

https://data.spectator.co.uk/energy

The response was sent by Colin Tregear, who you may recall is off on a six-month course with the Oxford Climate Journalism Network, which aims to make the ‘climate crisis’ a central element in the journalism of the attendees.

 

The ECU will always defend the BBC against complaints, regardless of the facts.

But this latest judgement proves that it is also prepared to defend the BBC’s Net Zero agenda, come what may!

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July 18, 2025 at 11:26AM

Buchan (No identifier number) – From the undead to the ante-natal clinic.

57.45884 -1.81035 No existing CIMO assessement known. Installation date – not known

Buchan is an interesting weather station at “Remote Radar Head Buchan” that is most certainly not open for public inspection being a secure location. Interesting in that it does not appear to have any standard District County Network Number (DCNN) identifier nor any WMO designation. In fact does it even exist? Well it is not on the list of Open/Closed stations nor does it appear on the CIMO listing of stations. So what is the story?

The Met office publishes a list of all its Synoptic and Climate reporting stations in alphabetical order by country i.e. English followed by Northern Irish, Scottish and then Welsh. Check it out, there is no mention of Buchan anywhere on that list either. So let’s go to the archives where it does appear as below:

So far so good but there is no archived temperature data at all and in fact nothing at all to indicate there is any data available.

This is very similar to Plymouth Kinterbury Point where the site is solely for supplying immediate site data for specific local purposes but managed to have its data drifted into the public arena by “mistake” as explained to Paul Homewood of NALOPKT who inquired on my behalf.

Hi Paul, thank you for your enquiry.

I have checked the weather station you mentioned in your enquiry and it has come to light that an administrative error resulted in data from this site recently making it on to our external website for extremes.

This is a customer-only site and as such is used to inform the customer’s specific decisions rather than being used for public records. As this site is used to provide very specific customer information, which is not climate related, it therefore does not have a CIMO rating and should not be available for our external website for extremes. The issue has now been resolved and will no longer be seen in any of our products.

Thank you for making us aware of this.

Nicky

Nicola Maxey BSc (Hons) Senior Press Officer”

So why is Buchan similar? Well yesterday the Met Office published this and note there is no hyperlink for this station name to more details.

Should Buchan be appearing in this public record? I would ask but, of course, I am deemed vexatious and they would not answer me. So unless anyone else chooses to query if this is a mistake then it will simply carry on. Of course I could ask from another email address, surely they would not know it was me. Well over 1 month ago on the 13th June I did that very thing, different name, different email address from a different supplier. And no responses at all as at 17th July despite a gentle reminder……..

…………but a little after note for the Met Office about Buchan for when they read this……..how do I know exactly where it is?

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July 18, 2025 at 11:01AM