Category: First Series of Weekly Blog

First Series of Weekly Blog

Water Vapor is by far the most significant Green House Gas (GHG)

ghgabsoprtionspectrum

The only defined mechanism by which CO2 can affect climate change is by affecting outgoing radiation between the wavelengths of 13 and 18 microns.

  1. Incoming visible radiation has a wavelength between 0.4 and 0.7 microns, and is consistent with a black body of temperature of around 5,200 degree C (the Sun). CO2 is transparent to these wavelengths.
  2. The earth emits IR mostly between 6.5 and 12.5 microns, with a peak near 9.5 microns. 9.5 microns is consistent with a black body of temperature  18 degrees Celsius. CO2 is mostly transparent to those wavelengths.
  3. CO2’s absorbs between 13 and 18 microns, with a peak near 15 microns. Those wavelengths are consistent with a black body of temperature -80 degrees Celsius.
  4. H2O is by far the most significant GHG, and absorbs across the IR Spectrum.
  5. CO2 absorbs a small fraction of the IR Spectrum having 3 narrow peaks at 2.7, 4.3 and 15 microns, all of which largely miss the peak outgoing  IR radiance of the earth at 9.5 microns.
  6. H2O largely absorbs the same IR spectrum as CO2, and is at much higher concentrations in the atmosphere. H2O IR absorption makes CO2 contribution to warming inconsequential.
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First Series of Weekly Blog

There simply isn’t enough Anthropogenic CO2 to make a difference

 

 

stadium
Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA.  Home of the Hawkeyes.
  1. Kinnick Stadium holds 70,585 Hawkeye Fans and atmospheric CO2 is 400 ppm. If every Hawkeye Fan represents one atmospheric molecule, then 28 Hawkeye Fans would represent atmospheric CO2.  Man however is not responsible for all the atmospheric CO2, and is responsible for at most 10 of those 28 molecules of CO2. Man’s contribution to atmospheric CO2 is the equivalent of 10 Hawkeye Fans in Kinnick Stadium.
  2. CO2 is a trace gas at 400 ppm, and its contribution to global warming is to react with a very narrow band of outgoing radiation between 13 and 18 microns.
First Series of Weekly Blog

The IPCC Climate Models Fail to Accurately Predict Temperature 

b40bb-haroldhaydenipcc

 

  1. Climate “science” is a “model” based science, its entire credibility is dependent upon the accuracy of its computer models. The very precise climate models are very inaccurate.
  2. The confidence of the climate science “consensus” increased as the climate models increasingly deviated from observations.
  3. 100% of IPCC Climate Models overestimated the expected increase in global temperatures, 100%. A 100% overestimation rate involving this many models represents a systemic bias, not a random error.
  4. The climate models assume a linear relationship between CO2 and temperature. That relationship does not exist.
  5. Real science relies on the scientific method, and reaches a conclusion through falcification (rejecting the null), experimentation, data collection, data analysis and reproduciblity. Climate “science” relies on none of the classical scientific practices, and relies on computer models, peer review and consensus.
  6. The extreme failure of the IPCC Climate Models to accurately model global temperatures means that the IPCC Modelers failed to include significant variables, failed to properly model CO2 or both. Regardless of which is true, the IPCC has failed to make the case that CO2 is the cause of the recent warming.
  7. If climate “science” was a “settled science,” the climate models would be able to accurately predict the climate. They don’t even come close.
First Series of Weekly Blog

600 Million Year Geologic Record

geological

 

  1. The current CO2 level of 400 ppm is at the extreme low end of the past 600 million years. Plants and therefore most life will die if CO2 falls below 180ppm.
  2. CO2 has been as high at 7,000 ppm, or 17.5x today’s level and the earth has NEVER in 600 million years experienced catastrophic global warming, NEVER.
  3. The earth fell into an ice age when the CO2 level was at 4,000 ppm, or 10x the level of today.
  4. Modern reefs and sea life developed over the past 220 million years when CO2 and temperatures were much higher than today. Coral Reefs only exist in the warm parts of the oceans and rely on dissolved CO2 to form their CaCO3 shells.
  5. There is no defined mechanism by which CO2 can allow the globe to cool, the only defined mechanism it to trap outgoing radiation between 13 and 18 microns.
  6. Over the past 600 million years, CO2 and Temperature simply aren’t correlated, and regardless of the level of CO2, temperatures cap out around 22 Degrees C.
  7. CO2 caused ocean acidification is simply not a possibility due to the huge buffering capabilities of the ocean, once again, the coral reefs developed during periods of much higher CO2 levels.