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October 12, 2024 at 09:18AM

New Study: Systematic Error In 1880-2020 Global Temperature Measurements Inflates Warming By 42%

From the NoTricksZone

By Kenneth Richard

The globe may have only warmed by 0.41 to 0.83°C in the last 140 years.

According to a new study, weather station data has been shown to non-climatically and erroneously record warmer-than-actual temperatures due to the steady and perpetual aging process almost universally observed in temperature gauges.

When a weather station temperature gauge’s white paint or white plastic ages and darkens, this allows more solar radiation to be absorbed by the gauge than when the gauge is bright white and new. Within a span of just 2 to 5 years, a gauge has been observed to record maximum temperatures 0.46°C to 0.49°C warmer than in gauges that have not undergone an aging process. This artificial warming is not corrected in modern data sets, and it builds up over time – even when the gauges are cleaned or resurfaced every few years.

If these systematic artificial warming errors were to be corrected rather than ignored, the 140-year (1880-’90 to 2010-’20) GISTEMP global warming trend plummets from the current estimate of +1.43°C down to +0.83°C, a 42% differential. The temperature reduction can be even more pronounced – from +1.43°C down to +0.41°C – if a set of conservative assumptions (described in detail in the paper) are removed.

Interestingly, when the systematically erroneous temperature data are removed, or homogenized, at different intervals of time (2 years vs. 12 to 30 years, etc.), the global temperature trend – indeed, the long-term global warming trend – can be shown to effectively disappear, depending on the time interval. This can be observed below, in Figure 7.

As this chart illustrates, temperature data can homogenized, or adjusted, to exhibit just about any trend or non-trend the creator of the chart intends to. Data can be bent and manipulated to show strong warming, weak warming, or even no warming over the last 140 years.

Perhaps the modern version of global warming is not nearly as unprecedented or even unusual as it is purported to be.

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October 12, 2024 at 08:06AM

America’s Power Supply Could Be Inadequate To Meet Demand by Decade’s End, Major Consultancy Says

Daily Caller News Foundation

From the DAILY CALLER

Nick Pope
Contributor

American energy demand could be on pace to exceed power supply by the end of the decade, according to Bain, a major consultancy.

Utilities could need to increase their annual power generation by as much as 26% by 2028 to meet surging demand, which the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is driving with power-hungry data centers that are necessary to sustain AI technologies, according to a new report from Bain. Overall U.S. electricity demand stayed mostly flat since 2000, and utility companies will need to make major adjustments to their business models that figure to raise electricity costs for American consumers. (RELATED: ‘Catastrophic’: Top Grid Official Sounds The Alarm On Biden’s Sweeping Power Plant Rules)

‘Inevitable And Foreseeable’: Grid Operators Beg Court To Nix EPA Rules To Save Electricity System From Collapse https://t.co/0LAt8gHVSN

— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 18, 2024

“In the U.S. alone, adequately funding the capital investments to serve data center growth over the next decade would require utilities to generate 10% to 19% in additional revenue each year than previously forecast,” Bain wrote in its report. “That could incrementally increase customer bills by 1% annually through 2032, according to our analysis.”

AI data centers account for about 44% of the anticipated growth, while residential demand — which includes electric vehicles (EVs) — drive 27% of the increase, according to Bain’s projections. The rest of the growth will come from manufacturing and commercial electricity use.

Bain joins a growing list of power grid operators and experts to warn that America’s electrical system is coming under strain as demand surges and regulations force the premature retirement of reliable fossil fuel-fired capacity.

Specifically, the Biden-Harris administration finalized regulations in April that will require existing coal plants to use carbon capture and storage (CCS) to control 90% of their carbon emissions by 2032 if they want to stay running past 2039, and certain new natural gas plants will also have to cut their emissions by 90% by 2032, according to the Environmental Protection Agency. The federal government maintains that the rules will not degrade grid reliability, though power grid experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation that they are expecting the opposite if the rules are enforced.

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

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October 12, 2024 at 04:07AM

What Happened To The Express’ Monster Hurricane?

By Paul Homewood

 

I must have slept through this hurricane a few days ago!

 

From the Express:

 image

UK weather map

The UK is bracing for the arrival of Hurricane Kirk, which is expected to bring brutal weather conditions, with winds reaching up to 70mph.

A shocking weather forecast from WX Charts shows the storm system sweeping in from the Atlantic, with peak gusts and rainfall threatening to cause widespread disruption on Wednesday and Thursday of this week.

According to the charts, the storm will bring gale-force winds that could see peak gusts reaching up to 75mph across parts of the UK, particularly impacting coastal areas.

The South Coast will be worst hit as the ex-hurricane makes its way through the English Channel.

The latest weather charts, valid for 6am on Thursday, show intense wind fields expanding from the Atlantic, engulfing Ireland, Wales, and Scotland by noon.

In addition to strong winds, WX Charts reveal that large areas of the UK could see significant rainfall, with accumulations between 30-40mm over a 24-hour period. Southern parts of England could be hit with over 100mm on rain.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1957874/storm-tracker-map-hurricane-kirk-uk-weather-warning

As the storm system moves east, the winds will continue to build, battering much of the country, with gusts in excess of 62 mph predicted across central and northern parts of the UK.

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October 12, 2024 at 04:03AM