Yes, NPR, Wine Grapes Can and Have Endured Climate Change

A September 9th story published by National Public Radio (NPR) asked the question: Can the most popular red wine in the U.S. endure climate change? The answer is yes, despite the story falsely suggesting the opposite. Data suggests that Napa valley grapes have survived hotter temperatures in the past, and despite over 30 years of modest global warming, grape production has actually increased in the area.

Here are some excerpts of the article:

But increasingly severe heat waves are taking a toll on the grape variety, especially in late summer during ripening. As temperatures keep rising, the wine industry is slowly confronting a future where Napa may not be the prime cabernet region it once was.

…

The vineyard is already at the hotter northern end of Napa Valley, but the extreme heat in recent years has been a wake-up call. A late-summer heat wave in 2022 hit temperatures just under 120 degrees at the vineyard, she says.

“When it gets that hot, the vines, they’re done,” she says. “They’re going to go dormant, and when that happens, they’re not ripening anymore.”

First, the author Lauren Sommer is conflating a short-term heat wave with long term climate change. Secondly, according to temperature records, while Napa valley set a new high temperature record of 114°F on September 6th 2022, it was only a degree hotter than the previous high temperature record of 113°F, set 61 years of global warming ago, in 1961.

A one-degree difference on one day spanning 61 years is not indicative of climate change, but simply natural weather variation. Weather does not operate in the same time span as climate. Figure 1 below, plotted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric administration (NOAA), displays monthly average high temperature for September. It is clear that that NAPA county has experienced a number of hot Septembers throughout its history. Some were even higher than September 2022 when the entire month is averaged:

Note that many past Septembers had monthly average temperatures greater than or equal to September 2022.

In the table that NOAA provides with the graph plot, they indicate that September 2022 was not unusual at all, ranking 121 out of 129 years for maximum temperature, indicating that eight previous Septembers were hotter:

Also, production numbers for red grapes indicate that their output has not been harmed by recent temperatures. Figure 3, below, tracking grape production in California, with Napa in green, shows a steady increase in in tonnage harvested, not just in the Napa region, but for all regions:

If long-term climate change was in fact detrimental to wine grape production, surely it would show up data informing figure 3, but it doesn’t. Climate change doesn’t come in the form of a single day’s hot temperatures, such as what NPR is conflating, it comes in the form of sustained increases over time.

The data suggests NPR’s Lauren Sommer may have been drinking too much wine when she wrote that story or, more likely, she failed to look into the actual temperature and grape production data before commencing to write a story in the “climate change causes everything bad” narrative; choosing her anecdotes to fit the narrative..

We can add this poorly researched story to the dozens of similar stories that Climate Realism has taken the media to task over faulty or selective reporting. Obviously, wine grapes can and have endured climate change, and the media is just dealing in scary stories without merit. NPR’s reporting on grapes seems more an expression of “sour grapes” at so many alarming climate scare stories having been debunked, rather than factual reporting on any dangers facing grape and wine production.

Anthony Watts

Anthony Watts is a senior fellow for environment and climate at The Heartland Institute. Watts has been in the weather business both in front of, and behind the camera as an on-air television meteorologist since 1978, and currently does daily radio forecasts. He has created weather graphics presentation systems for television, specialized weather instrumentation, as well as co-authored peer-reviewed papers on climate issues. He operates the most viewed website in the world on climate, the award-winning website wattsupwiththat.com.

Originally posted at ClimateREALISM

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September 14, 2024 at 04:05PM

POLITICIANS MAKING A FORTUNE OUT OF NET ZERO

Quite a few politicians seem to get away with a conflict of interest in the area of climate change. In some cases it seems quite blatant, as can be seen in the following article: 

The Baroness making a fortune from Net Zero | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

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September 14, 2024 at 02:05PM

Data Say Summer 2024 Not So Hot

For sure you’ve seen the headlines declaring 2024 likely to be the Hottest year ever.  If you’re like me, your response is: That’s not the way it’s going down where I live.  Fortunately there is a website that allows anyone to check their personal experience with the weather station data nearby.  weatherspark.com provides data summaries for you to judge what’s going on in weather history where you live.  In my case a modern weather station is a few miles away Summer 2024 Weather History at Montréal–Mirabel International Airport  The story about Summer 2024 is evident below in charts and graphs from this site.  There’s a map that allows you to find your locale.

The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

First, consider above the norms for Summer from the period 1980 to 2016.l

Then, there’s Summer 2024 compared to the normal observations.

The daily range of reported temperatures (gray bars) and 24-hour highs (red ticks) and lows (blue ticks), placed over the daily average high (faint red line) and low (faint blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The graph shows Summer had some warm days, some cool days and overall was pretty normal.  But since climate is more than temperature, consider cloudiness.

Wow!  Most of the summer was cloudy, which in summer means blocking the warming sun from hitting the surface.   And with all those clouds, let’s look at precipitation:

So, in the observations out 92 summer days, there were 56 days when it rained, including 11 days of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall. Given what we know about the hydrology cycles, that means a lot of heat removed upward from the surface.

So the implications for Summer temperatures in my locale.

There you have it before your eyes. Mostly warm days for the
three summer months, with exactly eleven hot afternoons (>30°C).
Otherwise comfortable and cool, and no hot
afternoons in September.

Summary:

Claims of hottest this or that month or year are based on averages of averages of temperatures, which in principle is an intrinsic quality and distinctive to a locale.  The claim involves selecting some places and time periods where warming appears, while ignoring other places where it has been cooling.

Remember:  They want you to panic.  Before doing so, check out what the data says in your neck of the woods.  For example, NOAA declared that “July 2024 was the warmest ever recorded for the globe.”

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September 14, 2024 at 12:14PM

Climate debate: Reasons for optimism

From Tom Nelson’s Substack

tom nelsonTom Nelson

The fact that so many people, including doctors such as Robert Malone, are now pushing back against the climate scam is a *very* positive development.

After discovering so many massive, high-profile lies in recent years, large numbers of people are asking themselves “What else are they lying about?”, and the answer is “just about everything”.

Elites tried for the Great Reset but they got a Great Awakening.

Some more reasons for optimism:

  1. Climate Nexus, a warmist organization which pushed climate hysteria for over a decade and had tens of employees, suddenly threw in the towel a few months ago.
  2. The Daily Kos ClimateDenierRoundup page, which spewed climate scam propaganda incessantly (2,200 posts!) for many years, abruptly stopped posting in December 2023.
  3. Joe Rogan, with his huge audience, was a full-on warmist in 2018 but now routinely scoffs at the climate scam:
  1. As a long-time reader of replies and comment sections on social media, I’ve seen a heartwarming increase in the number of climate realists pushing back.

One example:

  1. Facing increasing pushback, many warmist scientists have become less active on X, or have left X altogether. NASA’s Gavin Schmidt is one example.
  2. In recent months, lots of companies have been abandoning climate goals. Air New Zealand is one example.
  3. For eight weeks, Greta Thunberg didn’t bother to tweet a photo of herself with a “climate” sign. Even climate change’s poster child seems to be less interested in pushing this scam.

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September 14, 2024 at 12:03PM